| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Noduff Venetiand 3y 34 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 47 | 22 (6) | 26 (5) | 44 (4) | 42 (3) | 35 (5) | 49 (2) | 35 (4) | 28 (5) | 57 (1) | 51 (1) | 27 | 28 | 22 | 17 | 36 | 36 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Tromora Spiceb 2y 6 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R317 W43 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 55 | 47 (2) | 44 (3) | 41 (2) | 36 (5) | 40 (3) | 40 (2) | 43 (2) | 44 (4) | 24 (3) | 32 (5) | 23 | 29 | 23 | 28 | 42 | 55 | 1 | 11/10F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Coologue Pipb 2y 9 | G A Griffiths — 23% R157 W36 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 46 | 42 (2) | 35 (3) | 34 (4) | 27 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 3 | 16/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Afternoondelightd 1y 15 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 49 | 39 (2) | 34 (3) | 32 (4) | 25 (5) | 30 (6) | 20 (1) | 18 (5) | - | - | - | 11 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 44 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Aero Bassettd 3y 8 | G A Griffiths — 23% R157 W36 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 55 | 44 (3) | 35 (3) | 44 (3) | 38 (4) | 48 (1) | 25 (6) | 30 (4) | 31 (4) | 30 (3) | 26 (6) | 21 | 29 | 31 | 14 | 37 | 50 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Brynoffa Poshb 2y 15 | J M Walton — 16% R222 W36 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 43 | 29 (6) | 49 (1) | 36 (4) | 19 (5) | 39 (2) | 24 (6) | 24 (5) | 30 (3) | 27 (5) | - | 12 | 31 | 32 | 27 | 34 | 42 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noduff Venetian | 29.48 | 29.78 | 30.15 | 47 | +0.67 | Fading late | |
| 2 | Tromora Spice | 29.42 | 29.65 | 29.52 | 59 | +0.10 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Coologue Pip | 29.83 | 30.21 | 29.83 | 37 | 0.00 | Only 4 runs | |
| 4 | Afternoondelight | 29.55 | 30.02 | 29.55 | 50 | 0.00 | Fader profile | |
| 5 | Aero Bassett | 29.55 | 29.82 | 29.55 | 54 | 0.00 | Speed rank 2 | |
| 6 | Brynoffa Posh | 29.47 | 30.03 | 29.83 | 46 | +0.36 | Best closer |
Monmore's 480 metres plays fairer than most of the circuit's other distances — the run to the first bend is long enough that early speed alone doesn't decide much, with the best-bending dog winning only around one in six races here. Trap 1 remains the strongest draw at this grade at just over one in five, while trap 5 is the one to be wary of. Tromora Spice quickens well from trap 2 and looks capable of setting a sound pace that the closers, Noduff Venetian and Brynoffa Posh, will have to work hard to peg back. Afternoondelight is fast into the race but has a history of fading late, and could set it up for those coming from behind rather than winning it herself.
The fastest dog in this field on recent times and also rated the best on average performance — a rare case where speed and form point to the same runner. She quickens to the bend and finished second last time out, with a consistency figure that stands out in a race short on proven ability. Drawn in trap 2, which isn't the outright best box at Monmore but has still produced close to one winner in five at this grade. Trainer P I Cowdrill isn't prolific here but this looks the pick on raw ability alone.
Second-fastest in the field on the clock and finished third last time out, with a peak effort in the races before that showing she's capable of running with the selection. A front runner who quickens nicely to the bend, and trainer G A Griffiths' yard is among the better-performing connections in this field. The one most likely to go with the pick if she travels well early, even though trap 5 hasn't been kind at this grade.
Finished sixth last time out with form of 22, 26 and 44 in the races before that — solid without ever threatening to dominate this grade. Ranks only fourth on speed in this field and tends to finish from off the pace, which is less of an asset at Monmore 480 where the run to the first bend doesn't reward pure closers the way tighter tracks do. Trainer C S Fereday's yard has a modest strike rate at the track.
Only four starts to her name so the sample is thin, but she's shown steady improvement and was second last time out. Slowest in the field on the clock, which is hard to overlook, though trainer G A Griffiths boasts one of the better strike rates among this field's connections. Needs more experience before she can be fully trusted at this level.
Fast enough into the race but has a habit of running out of steam late on, and the recent form — 39, 34, 32 — sits below most of these. Weakest closing speed of the pace-minded runners in this field, meaning she'll need the finish to collapse in front of her rather than picking up the pieces herself. Hard to fancy from this draw against sharper form elsewhere.
Boasts the strongest finishing speed of any dog in this field and has touched a useful peak in recent form, but she's drawn in trap 6 — statistically the weakest box at this grade and distance. She'll need the pace up front to be strong enough to give her something to run at late on. Others have the stronger overall case on this evidence.
Key insight: Trap 1 remains the best draw at this level, winning just over one in five, but the gap to the rest of the field is modest — the top-rated dog only edges the second-rated one by two percentage points.
T1:21.3% T2:18.2% T3:18.9% T4:16.2% T5:15.7% T6:15.9%
1,951 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Noduff Venetian | 52 | 62 | Closer |
2Tromora Spice | 58 | 52 | Front Runner |
3Coologue Pip | 48 | 42 | All-Rounder |
4Afternoondelight | 39 | 28 | Fader |
5Aero Bassett | 56 | 48 | Front Runner |
6Brynoffa Posh | 44 | 70 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noduff Venetian | — | 0.620 |
| 2 | Tromora Spice | 0.612 | 0.618 |
| 3 | Coologue Pip | — | 0.629 |
| 4 | Afternoondelight | 0.620 | 0.625 |
| 5 | Aero Bassett | — | 0.621 |
| 6 | Brynoffa Posh | 0.625 | 0.626 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.