| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Heaven Reversedb 2y 14 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 54 | 32 (2) | 37 (1) | 49 (3) | 35 (2) | 69 (1) | 69 (1) | 48 (4) | 56 (3) | 35 (5) | 63 (1) | 51 | 48 | 28 | 42 | 56 | 49 | 3 | 11/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Swift Janeb 3y 17 | A K Jenkins — 15% R164 W25 P85 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 61 | 33 (6) | 63 (2) | 69 (1) | 53 (4) | 44 (4) | 34 (6) | 29 (2) | 26 (4) | 26 (5) | 77 (1) | 31 | 33 | 38 | 39 | 52 | 36 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Newinn Velvetb 1y 14 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R570 W110 P316 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 44 | 50 (4) | 59 (2) | 55 (3) | 70 (1) | 63 (1) | 43 (4) | 40 (5) | 32 (6) | 45 (4) | 30 (6) | 26 | 33 | 14 | 33 | 52 | 50 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Clonearl Swiftb 3y 6 | J M Walton — 16% R222 W36 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 50 | 69 (1) | 64 (2) | 54 (3) | 49 (5) | 59 (3) | 42 (4) | 54 (2) | 56 (3) | 61 (2) | 40 (5) | 38 | 27 | 17 | 33 | 57 | 56 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballymac Pradab 1y 25 | D J Page — 22% R117 W26 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 29 (4) | 37 (1) | 36 (3) | 30 (5) | 27 (4) | 31 (5) | 36 (4) | - | - | - | 38 | 20 | - | - | 32 | 15 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Peace O Mindb 2y 6 | C Jones — 16% R255 W41 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 41 | 41 (5) | 69 (1) | 63 (1) | 45 (4) | 36 (5) | 54 (3) | 59 (1) | 43 (4) | 38 (4) | - | 52 | 31 | - | 34 | 51 | 49 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heaven Reversed | 29.05 | 29.37 | 29.39 | 49 | +0.34 | Up in trip, fades late | |
| 2 | Swift Jane | 28.99 | 29.43 | 30.38 | 34 | +1.39 | Well below best | |
| 3 | Newinn Velvet | 28.95 | 29.38 | 29.29 | 52 | +0.34 | Consistent finisher | |
| 4 | Clonearl Swift | 29.04 | 29.23 | 29.08 | 57 | +0.04 | Model pick, won LTO | |
| 5 | Ballymac Prada | Recent runs all over the shorter sprint trip — times not comparable. | — | No 480m form | ||||
| 6 | Peace O Mind | 28.97 | 29.37 | 29.50 | 49 | +0.53 | Modest recently | |
Monmore's 480 metres is a fairer test than the sprint trip but this is a grade where the ratings model has historically struggled badly at this track, so raw speed and recent peak form carry extra weight tonight. Clonearl Swift is fastest in the field and also rates best on recent form, having won at the grade above last time out with her best effort yet — a genuine standout on the data. Newinn Velvet is the more reliable finisher of the chasing pack and has been racing consistently at this exact course, distance and grade. Heaven Reversed steps up in trip after a sprint and has a habit of fading late, which could leave her vulnerable if the pace is strong.
The fastest dog in this field on the clock and also rates best on average performance, having won at the grade above last time out with her best effort of recent times. A strong finisher who does her best work in the closing stages, which suits Monmore's fairer 480 metre test. Trainer J M Walton has a reasonable strike rate at the track. The clear standout on both the clock and recent form in a grade where the ratings model has otherwise struggled at this track.
Second-fastest in the field on the clock and one of the strongest finishers here, doing most of her best work in the closing stages. Fourth last time out at this exact course, distance and grade, with a string of solid efforts either side of that. Trainer K Billingham-hine has a decent strike rate at the track. If the race is run to suit a strong finisher, she's the type most likely to be involved.
Steps up from the shorter sprint trip and her overall figures are decent — second-best average performance in this field — but she has a tendency to lose ground in the closing stages, which is a bigger concern at the longer distance. Two big 69-rated efforts a handful of runs back show real ability. Trainer J B Thompson has a modest strike rate at the track. The trip and the fading tendency are the two question marks.
Well below her best last time out, finishing sixth, and slowest in this field on the clock by some distance. There have been much bigger efforts in her recent past — a 63 and a 69 — but the current form doesn't match that. Trainer A K Jenkins has one of the better strike rates among these connections. Needs a big bounce-back to figure.
Steps up sharply from the sprint trip and there's no recent form at this distance to judge her by, making the clock times not directly comparable to the rest of this field. Recent form of 29, 37 and 36 over the shorter trip was modest anyway. Trainer D J Page has a solid strike rate at the track, but the step up in distance is a real unknown.
A versatile racer who can adapt to the shape of the race, but her recent form of 41, 69 and 63 has cooled since a big effort a few runs back. Fifth last time out at this exact course, distance and grade. Trainer C Jones has a fair strike rate at the track. Capable of better but not quite matching the leading pair on current evidence.
Key insight: The ratings model is one of the least reliable at Monmore in this grade band, so speed and recent peak form matter more here than the composite rating.
T1:21.1% T2:17.4% T3:17.5% T4:17.4% T5:19.3% T6:20.9%
1,626 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Heaven Reversed | 60 | 22 | Fader |
2Swift Jane | 60 | 30 | Fader |
3Newinn Velvet | 45 | 65 | Closer |
4Clonearl Swift | 50 | 58 | Closer |
5Ballymac Prada | — | — | No data |
6Peace O Mind | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heaven Reversed | 0.598 | 0.612 |
| 2 | Swift Jane | 0.607 | 0.613 |
| 3 | Newinn Velvet | — | 0.612 |
| 4 | Clonearl Swift | — | 0.609 |
| 5 | Ballymac Prada | 0.600 | — |
| 6 | Peace O Mind | — | 0.612 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.