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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Freyas Fancyb 2y 15 | P A Curtin — 16% R281 W46 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 45 | 26 (6) | 29 (1) | 20 (6) | 22 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 35 | 18 | - | - | 26 | 38 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Winterfield Jackd 5y 15 | C Jones — 16% R255 W41 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 44 | 34 (4) | 32 (4) | 35 (4) | 46 (1) | 36 (3) | 30 (6) | 44 (4) | 36 (1) | 33 (3) | - | 23 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 36 | 49 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Whats Up Macd 3y 16 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 57 | 24 (2) | 29 (1) | 39 (3) | 35 (2) | 36 (4) | 32 (2) | 18 (6) | 31 (4) | 28 (5) | 46 (1) | 28 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 35 | 52 | 1 | 5/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Paper Over Crackb 1y 16 | P A Curtin — 16% R281 W46 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 47 | 30 (4) | 36 (4) | 22 (5) | 32 (5) | 39 (3) | 47 (1) | 36 (3) | 39 (4) | 28 (2) | - | 26 | 21 | 39 | 18 | 33 | 50 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Tommys Snowmanb 2y 7 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 59 | 27 (5) | 19 (6) | 32 (3) | 20 (6) | 24 (6) | 28 (4) | 40 (3) | 21 (5) | 45 (1) | 45 (1) | 13 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 45 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Elderberry Flashd 5y 24 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R317 W43 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 51 | 18 (4) | 24 (2) | 23 (6) | 20 (4) | 22 (5) | 20 (3) | 28 (4) | 19 (5) | 24 (4) | 16 (6) | 15 | 14 | - | - | 24 | 37 | 6 | 25/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freyas Fancy | 30.28 | 30.28 | 30.28 | 42 | 0.00 | Consistent but slow | |
| 2 | Winterfield Jack | 29.96 | 30.17 | 30.04 | 53 | +0.08 | Best avg form | |
| 3 | Whats Up Mac | 29.89 | 30.00 | 30.00 | 58 | +0.11 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Paper Over Crack | 29.70 | 30.00 | 30.21 | 57 | +0.51 | Big closer | |
| 5 | Tommys Snowman | 29.93 | 30.27 | 30.15 | 50 | +0.22 | Fades late | |
| 6 | Elderberry Flash | 30.26 | 30.35 | 30.26 | 42 | 0.00 | 0 wins recently |
Monmore's 480 metres is a fairer test than the track's sprint trips — the long run to the first bend means early speed alone rarely settles it, and the best-bending dog only wins around one in six races here. Trap 1 remains the strongest draw at this grade, but the gaps are modest. Whats Up Mac is the standout on the clock and has been racing well at this exact course and distance combination for months. Paper Over Crack has the finishing kick to trouble anyone who goes too early, while Tommys Snowman and Elderberry Flash both tend to fade in the closing stages and look like makers of the race rather than finishers of it.
The fastest dog in this field on the clock and also has the best first-bend figure, a useful combination at a track where the bend is the first fight for position. She's raced at this exact course and distance repeatedly in recent months, including a win and two runner-up finishes, so this isn't unfamiliar ground even though her most recent run came over the shorter sprint trip. Trainer C D Marston has one of the better strike rates among these connections. The clear standout on the numbers.
Rates the best of this field on average performance and finishes his races well, with a closing speed figure that stands out. Fourth last time out but with a 46-rated effort in the races before that showing he's capable of running with the pick. Trainer C Jones has a reasonable strike rate at Monmore. The most obvious threat to the selection if the pace holds up enough for him to get involved late.
Recent form of 26, 29 and 20 in a race won't inspire much confidence, and she ranks only fifth on speed in this field. Trainer P A Curtin has a fair one-in-five strike rate at the track but this looks a moderate performer even by this grade's standards. Best draw in the race but the form doesn't back it up.
Second-fastest in the field on the clock and boasts a strong closing speed figure, meaning she should be finishing her races off well. Form has been a little in and out — a 47 a few runs back shows the capability, even though the most recent starts have been moderate. Trainer P A Curtin has a fair strike rate at the track. Would be no surprise to see her involved in the finish.
Quick enough into the race but has a poor record of holding that pace late on, with a closing speed figure well below the rest of this field. Recent form of 27, 19 and 32 shows a dog who is competitive without ever winning at this level. Drawn in trap 5, statistically the weakest box at this grade. A tough watch from this draw.
Steps up from the sprint distance and the recent form — 18, 24 and 23 — is some way below this field. Quick away but tends to weaken through the closing stages, and trap 6 has been the weakest draw at this grade. Hard to make a case for her here against sharper form.
Key insight: Trap draw plays a role but nothing overwhelming at this grade — trap 1 tops the table at just over one in five, with the rest bunched fairly closely behind.
T1:21.3% T2:18.2% T3:18.9% T4:16.2% T5:15.7% T6:15.9%
1,951 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Freyas Fancy | 47 | 49 | All-Rounder |
2Winterfield Jack | 48 | 58 | Closer |
3Whats Up Mac | 52 | 51 | All-Rounder |
4Paper Over Crack | 46 | 65 | Closer |
5Tommys Snowman | 57 | 16 | Fader |
6Elderberry Flash | 55 | 19 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freyas Fancy | 0.619 | 0.631 |
| 2 | Winterfield Jack | — | 0.628 |
| 3 | Whats Up Mac | 0.620 | 0.625 |
| 4 | Paper Over Crack | — | 0.625 |
| 5 | Tommys Snowman | — | 0.631 |
| 6 | Elderberry Flash | 0.624 | 0.632 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.