Loading...
The Future of Racing: PGR TV Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Balmoral Lucyb 2y 112 | D Blackbird — 16% R1106 W178 P611 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 51 | 76 (1) | 61 (2) | 74 (1) | 60 (3) | 29 (6) | 68 (2) | 58 (5) | 64 (3) | 58 (2) | - | 35 | 29 | 13 | 46 | 63 | 48 | 1 | 9/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Kendallb 3y 16 | C Mcnicholas — 14% R536 W77 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 43 | 59 (2) | 70 (2) | 46 (6) | 62 (2) | 58 (4) | 45 (6) | 74 (1) | 63 (2) | 50 (6) | 43 (6) | 27 | 26 | 28 | 39 | 58 | 42 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bathams Pantherd 2y 18 | C Mcnicholas — 14% R536 W77 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 42 | 73 (1) | 48 (5) | 64 (2) | 54 (4) | 56 (5) | 65 (2) | 62 (3) | 56 (5) | 61 (3) | 46 (5) | 23 | 20 | 14 | 27 | 60 | 37 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Romantic Jaked 2y 18 | M K Bulmer — 20% R275 W55 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 50 | 66 (3) | 54 (4) | 77 (1) | 58 (4) | 58 (3) | 43 (5) | 43 (6) | 41 (4) | 53 (4) | 72 (2) | 15 | 19 | 25 | 18 | 58 | 37 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Roisins Angelb 2y 113 | P Miller — 20% R610 W124 P337 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 55 | 74 (1) | 69 (1) | 51 (5) | 36 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | 30 | 13 | 39 | 60 | 40 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Stonepark Patsyd 4y 26 | S Linley — 16% R373 W58 P194 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 60 (2) | 51 (4) | 68 (2) | 53 (4) | 56 (5) | 74 (2) | 67 (3) | 60 (3) | 61 (4) | - | 20 | 30 | 20 | 27 | 60 | 41 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Balmoral Lucy | 27.63 | 28.14 | 27.74 | 56 | +0.11 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Droopys Kendall | 27.67 | 28.15 | 28.00 | 51 | +0.33 | ||
| 3 | Bathams Panther | 27.92 | 28.16 | 28.05 | 46 | +0.13 | ||
| 4 | Romantic Jake | 27.60 | 28.29 | 28.13 | 47 | +0.53 | Fastest time | |
| 5 | Roisins Angel | 27.88 | 28.32 | 27.88 | 46 | 0.00 | ||
| 6 | Stonepark Patsy | 27.74 | 28.07 | 28.12 | 50 | +0.38 |
Grade four at Sunderland's 450m trip is one of the more reliable grades on the card for the top-rated dog, and today the figures line up unusually cleanly behind one runner. Trap two has been the marginally better draw over the piece but trap one isn't far behind, and Balmoral Lucy - drawn there - tops this field on rating, on raw speed, and on recent form all at once, a rare alignment at a track that's normally hard to call. She won impressively last time out and looks the one to beat. Roisins Angel is the closest thing to a natural threat, having also won well last time out with a fast-early profile that suits if she can get across into a forward position. Droopys Kendall and Stonepark Patsy are the more sustained-pace types who'll look to keep tabs throughout, while Bathams Panther does best work from off a truly-run race.
Tops this field on every key measure - the fastest recent time, the highest overall rating, and the best last-race performance, having won impressively at this same trip last time out. A strong course-and-distance record backs it up too, two wins and five places from ten runs here. Drawn in one of the two best boxes in this grade and with form that's been trending in the right direction across her last six starts. When a dog leads on rating, speed, and recent form together it's a rare alignment at this track, and she ticks every box.
Won well last time out and the form has been building nicely across her last few starts. Fast into stride with the best first-bend figure in this field, which could see her cross over and dictate matters if she breaks well. Limited course-and-distance experience so far, just four runs at this trip, but two of those have been wins. The clear alternative if the market leader doesn't have things her own way.
Consistent sort who was runner-up last time out and rarely runs a bad race, even if a win has proved elusive so far at this course and distance despite ten runs. Balanced pace profile that can adapt to how the race unfolds. Trap six has been the weakest draw in this grade, which is the main obstacle to overcome today.
Runner-up last time out in this same grade and has a fine course-and-distance record, a win and five places from ten runs here. Balanced pace profile and gets the best-performing trap in this grade too. A fair, honest sort who should be in the frame again, even if there's a clear gap to the selection on the headline figures.
Third last time out and has the fastest recorded best time of anyone in this field, though his times have been more variable than the top two. Balanced pace profile with a fair course-and-distance record, a win and two places from ten runs at this trip. Capable of a big run on his day but needs it to click.
Won well last time out at the grade below and does his best work from off the pace, which could suit if the pace up front is strong. Fair course-and-distance record, a win and three places from ten runs at this trip. Trap three has been a below-par draw in this grade, adding to the task for a confirmed closer.
Key insight: Grade four is a fairly even grade at Sunderland with traps one and two the clear best draws. The top-rated dog wins 20.4% generally, but when the same dog leads on both composite AND raw speed - as today's selection does - that combination has historically been considerably stronger.
T1:20.4% T2:20.9% T3:15.5% T4:17.3% T5:18.3% T6:15.7%
2,162 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Balmoral Lucy | 50 | 47 | All-Rounder |
2Droopys Kendall | 48 | 53 | All-Rounder |
3Bathams Panther | 39 | 72 | Closer |
4Romantic Jake | 50 | 44 | All-Rounder |
5Roisins Angel | 55 | 28 | Fader |
6Stonepark Patsy | 51 | 54 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.