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Friday Night Executive Boxes @ Sunderland Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Kates Redwoodb 2y 27 | P Miller — 20% R610 W124 P337 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 44 | 43 (5) | 45 (5) | 79 (1) | 75 (1) | 66 (2) | 70 (1) | 34 (6) | 51 (3) | 37 (6) | 64 (2) | 41 | 28 | 10 | 42 | 57 | 35 | 5 | 9/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Please Nancyb 2y 36 | M K Bulmer — 20% R275 W55 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 51 | 62 (3) | 69 (4) | 82 (1) | 61 (4) | 92 (1) | 52 (4) | 56 (4) | 90 (1) | 72 (2) | 61 (5) | 21 | 23 | 40 | 20 | 70 | 37 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Church St Katieb 3y 18 | P Miller — 20% R610 W124 P337 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 47 | 63 (5) | 50 (4) | 62 (6) | 50 (3) | 62 (4) | 55 (4) | 81 (5) | 55 (1) | 66 (5) | - | 26 | 28 | 14 | 13 | 59 | 37 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Gallant Queenb 4y 29 | E Y Bell — 20% R535 W109 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 50 | 80 (2) | 82 (1) | 67 (2) | 66 (4) | 56 (3) | 79 (1) | 50 (5) | 55 (5) | 73 (3) | 85 (1) | 37 | 35 | 37 | 42 | 71 | 51 | 2 | 7/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Fredas Kahlob 3y 10 | G Strike — 20% R424 W85 P225 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 57 | 17 (3) | 70 (3) | 64 (3) | 79 (1) | 55 (5) | 65 (3) | 51 (5) | 50 (3) | 78 (1) | 61 (2) | 34 | 13 | - | 20 | 56 | 43 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kates Redwood | 27.80 | 28.24 | 28.52 | 38 | +0.72 | Slow last time | |
| 2 | Please Nancy | 27.83 | 27.86 | 27.91 | 55 | +0.08 | ||
| 3 | Church St Katie | 27.94 | 28.15 | 27.94 | 46 | 0.00 | ||
| 5 | Gallant Queen | 27.56 | 28.01 | 27.56 | 61 | 0.00 | Model pick, best trap | |
| 6 | Fredas Kahlo | 27.76 | 28.10 | 27.76 | 53 | 0.00 |
This grade three race is a five-runner affair over the 450m trip, and it's Sunderland's upper grades where the top-rated dog tends to hold up best - the composite has been noticeably more reliable here than at the lower grades on this card. Trap five, where today's stand-out runner is drawn, has also been the best-performing box in this exact grade. Gallant Queen leads the field on rating, on raw speed and on last-time-out form all together, a genuine alignment of every key signal. Please Nancy is the closest thing to a match on ability, finishing best of all from off a truly-run race but with a pace profile that can be hit-and-miss. Fredas Kahlo is fast into stride and will look to make the running, while Church St Katie and Kates Redwood round out a race that otherwise looks to be between the front two.
Leads this field on every key measure - top rating, fastest recent time, and the best last-race performance, having been narrowly touched off in second last time out at a big figure. Outstanding course-and-distance form too, three wins and five places from ten runs at this trip, and gets the best-performing trap in this exact grade. When a dog stacks up this cleanly across rating, speed and current form together, it's about as strong a signal as this card produces.
A big finisher who does all her best work in the closing stages, with the second-highest rating in the field and a solid recent effort last time out. The concern is how she gets there - very slow away and heavily reliant on a strong closing burst, which makes her results more unpredictable than most in this field. If the pace up front is strong enough to bring her into it, she has the engine to trouble the selection.
Fast into stride with the best first-bend figure in this field and has generally raced to a fair standard, though his most recent outing came outside graded competition and shouldn't be taken at face value. Solid course-and-distance record, two wins and three places from ten runs here. Tends to fade in the closing stages, which could leave him vulnerable if the front two are as good as their figures suggest.
A fair, honest sort with a balanced pace profile who was fifth last time out without threatening the front two. Course-and-distance form is modest for the number of runs, a win and a place from ten at this trip. Trap three has been a below-par draw in this grade, and there's little in the recent figures to suggest she can trouble the leading pair today.
Has a strong course-and-distance record on paper, three wins and five places from ten runs at this trip, but the recent form has fallen away sharply and his last time out was well below his best on the clock. Balanced pace profile but nothing in the current figures suggests he can bridge the gap to this field's leading pair.
Key insight: Grade three sits in Sunderland's more reliable upper-grade band, and trap five - today's key draw - has been the best-performing box in this exact grade at 19.3%. When the composite leader also tops the speed and recent-form figures, that stacking has historically been a considerably stronger signal than the composite alone.
T1:17.3% T2:15.8% T3:16.0% T4:18.1% T5:19.3% T6:15.6%
1,992 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Kates Redwood | 47 | 48 | All-Rounder |
2Please Nancy | 8 | 100 | Closer |
3Church St Katie | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Gallant Queen | 50 | 56 | Closer |
6Fredas Kahlo | 58 | 37 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 435m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kates Redwood | — | 0.628 |
| 2 | Please Nancy | 0.605 | 0.619 |
| 3 | Church St Katie | — | 0.626 |
| 5 | Gallant Queen | — | 0.622 |
| 6 | Fredas Kahlo | — | 0.624 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.