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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tia Lilly Dancerb 5y 15 | B G Backhurst — 15% R226 W35 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 23 (6) | 30 (6) | 35 (6) | 54 (2) | 45 (1) | 31 (4) | 40 (3) | 40 (2) | 38 (3) | 41 (1) | 40 | - | 44 | - | 34 | 36 | 6 | 12/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Insane Aceb 5y 16 | G Andreas — 14% R249 W36 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 39 (1) | 38 (2) | 27 (6) | 31 (3) | 36 (2) | 36 (1) | 51 (5) | 41 (5) | 51 (5) | 47 (4) | 49 | 30 | 31 | 42 | 35 | 37 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Senahel Hoffad 3y 19 | G L Davidson — 16% R204 W33 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 23 (6) | 26 (6) | 25 (6) | 46 (1) | 31 (4) | 37 (2) | 39 (2) | 38 (2) | 45 (1) | 35 (3) | 53 | 35 | 28 | 35 | 32 | 33 | 2 | 4/5F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Autumn Janeb 1y 5 | D O Pearce — 20% R119 W24 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | - | 32 (4) | 28 (4) | 32 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 31 | 25 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Nineteen Boldd 2y 18 | B D O'sullivan — 20% R496 W100 P282 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 28 (3) | 27 (4) | 41 (1) | 33 (3) | 37 (2) | 35 (1) | 26 (5) | 29 (4) | 29 (4) | 31 (3) | 31 | 37 | 31 | 30 | 32 | 30 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Quivers Amazed 3y 5 | D O Pearce — 20% R119 W24 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 22 (6) | 33 (2) | 29 (5) | 35 (1) | 21 (6) | 27 (4) | 35 (1) | 27 (6) | 31 (2) | 34 (1) | 40 | 27 | 9 | 26 | 29 | 31 | 4 | 20/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tia Lilly Dancer | 16.80 | 17.06 | 17.31 | 45 | +0.51 | Last time out 6th | |
| 2 | Insane Ace | 16.68 | 16.82 | 16.98 | 57 | +0.30 | Won LTO | |
| 3 | Senahel Hoffa | 16.56 | 16.83 | 17.30 | 53 | +0.74 | 2 wins from 10 | |
| 4 | Autumn Jane | 16.70 | 16.86 | 16.70 | 60 | 0.00 | Fastest but lightly raced | |
| 5 | Nineteen Bold | 16.67 | 17.01 | 17.23 | 49 | +0.56 | Top trainer (26%) | |
| 6 | Quivers Amaze | 16.86 | 17.03 | 17.32 | 44 | +0.46 | Best trap |
Another minimum-trip sprint where the tricky first bend at Central Park settles most of the argument early - there's no time for anyone to make up lost ground. At this D2 grade, trap 6 has been the best draw at just over 20 per cent with trap 4 close behind, while trap 2 has been the weakest box at just over 14 per cent. Insane Ace has the early pace to lead into that bend from trap 2 and won last time out doing exactly that, though the draw works against her. Autumn Jane is the fastest recorded dog in this field from a much stronger trap, while Quivers Amaze is the closer hoping the leaders come back to her.
Won last time out and carries the best average performance figure in the field along with the second-fastest recorded time. Extremely quick out of the boxes, though she does tend to lose ground in the closing stages - not usually a problem over the minimum trip if she can get a length or two clear. Her course-and-distance record of two wins and four places from six starts is excellent. Trap 2 has been the weakest box at this grade, so she'll need to overcome the draw, but the form and pace are strong enough to think she can.
The fastest dog in this field by a clear margin and drawn in trap 4, the second-best box at this grade - a strong combination on paper. The catch is she's only had three career starts and hasn't placed in any of them over this exact course and distance, so there's no proven record to back up the raw speed yet. If the ability matches the clock, she's the biggest threat to the selection.
A versatile runner who can race handy or come from off the pace, and trap 1 has been an above-average draw at this grade. Only two starts over this exact course and distance so far, without a win or place. Beaten a long way last time out, so needs to bounce back to figure here.
Owns the fastest recorded time in the field and has a decent course-and-distance record of two wins and five places from ten starts. Trainer G L Davidson has a solid 26 per cent win rate at this level. Trap 3 is only middling at this grade, and her last run was well below her best.
Trained by B D O'Sullivan, who shares the best trainer strike rate in this race at 26 per cent. Her own course-and-distance record reads two wins and three places from ten starts, a reasonable return, but trap 5 is only middling at this grade and her recent form hasn't been threatening to win.
Drawn in trap 6, the single best-performing box at this D2 grade and trip at just over 20 per cent. Finishes strongly from off the pace, which is a tough ask over the minimum trip, and carries the slowest recorded time in this field. The trap gives her a squeak but the form doesn't inspire much confidence.
Key insight: Trap 6 and trap 4 have been the best draws at this D2 grade and trip, while trap 2 has been the weakest box by some margin. The fastest dog in the field wins 24.9% of the time here, well clear of the top-rated dog on the composite at 22.3%, so speed is the more reliable lean.
T1:19.3% T2:14.3% T3:17.5% T4:20.3% T5:17.1% T6:20.5%
2,158 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 277m | 450m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tia Lilly Dancer | 0.604 | 0.616 | 0.623 | — |
| 2 | Insane Ace | — | 0.607 | — | 0.618 |
| 3 | Senahel Hoffa | — | 0.608 | — | — |
| 4 | Autumn Jane | — | 0.609 | — | — |
| 5 | Nineteen Bold | — | 0.614 | — | — |
| 6 | Quivers Amaze | 0.619 | 0.615 | 0.632 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.