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Jenner Eight 50th Race
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bowes Hill Bockod 2y 16 | R M Emery — 15% R115 W17 P62 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 42 | 66 (3) | 78 (1) | 53 (4) | 66 (2) | 58 (3) | 65 (4) | 69 (4) | 74 (3) | 69 (2) | 73 (2) | 10 | 12 | - | 20 | 66 | 46 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hollyoak Taylord 2y 4 | R W Butler — 17% R178 W30 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 46 | 65 (2) | 80 (5) | 65 (1) | 74 (2) | 63 (1) | 68 (2) | 75 (4) | 54 (3) | - | - | 45 | 48 | 6 | 61 | 69 | 57 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sporting Havenb 5y 24 | B G Backhurst — 15% R226 W35 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 44 | 57 (4) | 78 (1) | 62 (3) | 50 (5) | 78 (1) | 74 (1) | 55 (4) | 61 (3) | 46 (3) | 49 (3) | 29 | 32 | - | 32 | 63 | 46 | 6 | 18/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Roseville Chicb 2y 15 | R M Emery — 15% R115 W17 P62 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 53 | 44 (5) | 52 (5) | 79 (1) | 61 (4) | 67 (2) | 71 (2) | 51 (4) | 63 (2) | 48 (5) | 46 (5) | 22 | 25 | 6 | 26 | 58 | 40 | 4 | 9/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Jenner Eightd 3y 38 | B D O'sullivan — 20% R496 W100 P282 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 66 | 61 | 18 (6) | 37 (3) | 38 (1) | 33 (2) | 30 (4) | 25 (5) | 34 (3) | 89 (1) | 69 (2) | 90 (1) | 36 | 36 | 36 | 30 | 83 | 56 | 3 | 10/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Zari Mahoonaghb 2y 7 | B G Backhurst — 15% R226 W35 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 63 | 72 (5) | 81 (2) | 61 (1) | 41 (3) | 74 (6) | 31 (1) | 73 (5) | 49 (1) | 68 (5) | - | 39 | 59 | 18 | 45 | 63 | 53 | 1 | 4/5F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bowes Hill Bocko | 29.54 | 29.85 | 29.86 | 49 | +0.32 | 3rd last time out | |
| 2 | Hollyoak Taylor | 29.57 | 29.84 | 29.85 | 51 | +0.28 | 3 wins from 10 | |
| 3 | Sporting Haven | 29.72 | 29.93 | 29.96 | 44 | +0.24 | 3 wins from 8 | |
| 4 | Roseville Chic | 29.70 | 29.99 | 30.27 | 38 | +0.57 | Best trap | |
| 5 | Jenner Eight | Recent runs all at 277m D-grade, not this trip - last race at today's course and distance was an A1 win in December. | — | Won at A1 here | ||||
| 6 | Zari Mahoonagh | Last race was at Open Race level over 460m at Towcester - different track and trip to today. | — | Dropping from Open Race | ||||
This is the class race of the afternoon, an A2 clash over Central Park's 491 metres, where the tricky first bend still bites even at the longer trip. Trap 4 has been the best draw at this grade at just over 22 per cent, with trap 2 next best, while trap 3 has been the graveyard box at under 15 per cent. Hollyoak Taylor is the model of consistency here and has been racing at this exact level regularly. Zari Mahoonagh arrives on the back of a run at Open Race level, a notch above this company, and was runner-up in her only previous crack at this exact grade and trip. Jenner Eight is the intriguing outsider - she was smart enough to win at the top grade over this course and distance last winter but has been freshened up through the lower grades since and was well beaten last time, so there's real uncertainty over whether that old form is still there.
The model of consistency in this field - three wins and seven places from her last ten starts over this exact course and distance, comfortably the strongest record on offer, and she's been racing at this level regularly rather than stepping up or down. Second last time out and rarely strays far below her average, and trap 2 has been the second-best draw at this grade. Fast early but tends to lose a little ground late, which is worth watching, but the sheer weight of proven course-and-distance form makes her the one to beat.
The intriguing wildcard of the race. Back in the winter she was smart enough to win twice at the top grade over this exact course and distance, rated among the best figures recorded here all season. Since then she's been freshened up through much easier grades over the shorter sprint trip, and was only sixth last time in modest company. Stepping straight back up to A2 over 491m today is a big ask on the face of that recent sprint form, but if the ability that won at the top level is still there, she's fast enough to be involved. A genuine each-way puzzle rather than a confident play.
A fairly consistent performer who finished third last time out and has placed twice from eight starts over this course and distance. Finishes his races off from off the pace but the pattern is inconsistent. Trap 1 is a touch below average at this grade, and there isn't quite enough here to trouble the pace-setters at the top of the market.
Has a fine course-and-distance record with three wins from eight starts here, and finishes strongly from off the pace. The problem is the draw - trap 3 has been comfortably the weakest box at this grade - which makes her task considerably harder from an outside perspective on paper, even with the form to back her claims.
Sits in trap 4, the best-performing box at this A2 grade at just over 22 per cent, which keeps her involved. Her own form has cooled since a peak of 79 a few runs back, and she carries the slowest recorded time in this field. The trap is doing the heavy lifting in her case rather than raw ability.
Was competing at Open Race level last time out, a notch above tonight's company, and in her only previous run at this exact grade and trip she was a close-up second. Course-and-distance form elsewhere reads two wins from five, including a win at the easier A4 grade. Dropping back in class from that Open Race level is a promising sign, and trap 6 has been a fair draw at this grade.
Key insight: Trap 4 and trap 2 have been the best draws at this A2 grade and trip, while trap 3 has been comfortably the weakest. The model's top pick only wins 19.6% here, one of the flatter composite signals on today's card, while the fastest dog in the field wins 22.8% - the more useful lean at this grade.
T1:17.0% T2:19.9% T3:14.9% T4:22.1% T5:16.8% T6:18.6%
1,290 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bowes Hill Bocko | 5 | 100 | Closer |
2Hollyoak Taylor | 55 | 0 | Fader |
3Sporting Haven | 23 | 100 | Closer |
4Roseville Chic | 49 | 0 | All-Rounder |
5Jenner Eight | 65 | 0 | Fader |
6Zari Mahoonagh | 51 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 388m | 450m | 460m | 480m | 491m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bowes Hill Bocko | — | 0.627 | — | — | — | 0.608 | — |
| 2 | Hollyoak Taylor | — | — | — | — | — | 0.608 | — |
| 3 | Sporting Haven | — | — | 0.619 | — | — | 0.610 | — |
| 4 | Roseville Chic | — | — | — | — | 0.611 | 0.611 | — |
| 5 | Jenner Eight | 0.615 | — | — | — | — | 0.601 | — |
| 6 | Zari Mahoonagh | — | — | 0.642 | — | — | 0.607 | 0.601 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.