| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Luminous Daisyb 3y 6 | D O Pearce — 20% R119 W24 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 24 (5) | 37 (1) | 27 (4) | 29 (3) | 56 (3) | 50 (2) | 60 (1) | 44 (2) | 51 (3) | 48 (4) | 43 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 10/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Epic Princessb 4y 16 | J J Luckhurst — 13% R252 W33 P113 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 34 (3) | 35 (2) | 77 (3) | 68 (4) | 83 (1) | 62 (4) | 60 (5) | 73 (2) | 68 (2) | 78 (2) | 30 | 35 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 26 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Hollyoak Stormzyb 3y 17 | R W Butler — 17% R178 W30 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 25 (5) | 26 (5) | 15 (5) | 37 (1) | 21 (5) | 22 (6) | 35 (6) | 22 (6) | - | - | 25 | 20 | 8 | 23 | 25 | 22 | 6 | 20/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Autumn Maryb 1y 1 | D O Pearce — 20% R119 W24 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 26 (5) | 37 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 27 | 25 | - | 24 | 31 | 31 | 4 | 7/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Baggios Divab 3y 7 | D O Pearce — 20% R119 W24 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 35 (3) | 36 (3) | 36 (2) | 35 (3) | 36 (6) | 49 (2) | 54 (2) | 53 (4) | 46 (5) | 43 (6) | 27 | 11 | 42 | 10 | 35 | 27 | 2 | 11/8F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ross Skyb 4y 15 | S Mavrias — 16% R217 W34 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 24 (6) | 25 (5) | 31 (4) | 32 (5) | 20 (5) | 28 (6) | 45 (1) | 35 (3) | 30 (5) | 43 (2) | 30 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 29 | 30 | 5 | 11/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luminous Daisy | 16.69 | 16.93 | 17.00 | 49 | +0.31 | 1 win from 4 | |
| 2 | Epic Princess | 16.67 | 16.72 | 16.67 | 59 | 0.00 | Front runner | |
| 3 | Hollyoak Stormzy | 16.57 | 17.13 | 17.09 | 46 | +0.52 | Lowest form | |
| 4 | Autumn Mary | 16.60 | 16.95 | 17.29 | 46 | +0.69 | Lightly raced | |
| 5 | Baggios Diva | 16.60 | 16.71 | 16.60 | 61 | 0.00 | Fastest but a closer | |
| 6 | Ross Sky | 16.56 | 16.95 | 17.32 | 46 | +0.76 | Best trap |
Sprints at Central Park are all about getting across into that awkward first bend cleanly - there's no time for closers to make up lost ground over the minimum trip. At this D2 grade, trap 6 has been the pick of the draw at just over 20 per cent with trap 4 close behind, while trap 2 has been the weakest box at just over 14 per cent. Epic Princess is the one with the pace to lead into that bend from trap 2 and has been a remarkably consistent front-runner, though the draw works against her. Baggios Diva owns the fastest recorded time in the field but is a confirmed closer, a running style that rarely pays off at this trip. Ross Sky sits in the best trap on paper but hasn't shown the form to back it up.
The second-fastest dog in the field and a genuine front-runner who is quick to the bend and very consistent doing it - exactly the profile that wins over the minimum trip at this track, where there's no time for closers to get involved. Her form dipped over her last couple of starts after a strong peak of 83 a few runs back, showing she has the capability even if recent figures haven't matched it. The one real knock is the draw - trap 2 has been the weakest box at this grade - but on running style and raw speed she's the one with the best chance of leading and staying there.
Owns the fastest recorded time in this field by a clear margin and has been admirably consistent, rarely straying far from her average. The catch is her running style - she's a confirmed closer who finishes strongly from off the pace, and that style rarely pays off over the minimum trip at a track where the first bend is everything. If the pace up front is fast enough to set it up, she has the toe to be involved, but it's asking a lot of a closer at this distance.
A fair record over this course and distance with one win and one place from four starts, and trap 1 has been a solid draw at this grade. Fast away but tends to fade in the closing stages, which could be an issue over the minimum trip if she can't get clear. Form has been up and down without a clear trend either way.
Carries the lowest average performance figure in this field and hasn't been threatening to win recently. Nine course-and-distance starts have brought just one win and two places, and trap 3 is only middling at this grade. Needs a big step forward to figure.
Lightly raced with only two starts on record, so there isn't much of a form line to go on yet - one run doesn't tell you much and two isn't a great deal more. Drawn in trap 4, the second-best box at this grade, which is a point in her favour, but she remains largely unproven against this kind of company.
Sits in trap 6, the single best-performing box at this D2 grade and trip at just over 20 per cent, which keeps him in with a squeak. His own form has been modest and inconsistent, though, without a standout recent performance, and his course-and-distance record of one win from ten starts is unremarkable. The trap is doing most of the work in his case.
Key insight: Trap 6 and trap 4 have been the best draws at this D2 grade and trip, while trap 2 has been the weakest box by some margin. The fastest dog in the field wins 24.9% of the time here, well clear of the top-rated dog on the composite at 22.3%, so speed is the more reliable lean.
T1:19.3% T2:14.3% T3:17.5% T4:20.3% T5:17.1% T6:20.5%
2,158 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 450m | 476m | 480m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luminous Daisy | 0.611 | — | — | 0.617 | — |
| 2 | Epic Princess | 0.603 | — | — | — | 0.604 |
| 3 | Hollyoak Stormzy | 0.619 | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Autumn Mary | 0.612 | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Baggios Diva | 0.603 | 0.620 | 0.616 | — | — |
| 6 | Ross Sky | 0.612 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.