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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Pulleen Mistyb 1y 25 | J J Luckhurst — 13% R252 W33 P113 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 51 | 43 (6) | 57 (5) | 31 (5) | 36 (4) | 19 (2) | 36 (6) | 31 (1) | - | - | - | 2 | 23 | - | - | 49 | 34 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Lastminute Larryd 2y 18 | B D O'sullivan — 20% R496 W100 P282 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 43 | 65 (2) | 70 (2) | 74 (1) | 37 (6) | 43 (5) | 58 (5) | 87 (2) | 63 (2) | 58 (4) | 50 (3) | 11 | 34 | 12 | 36 | 61 | 46 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bombay Bossd 3y 34 | R M Emery — 15% R115 W17 P62 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 38 | 55 (4) | 56 (4) | 45 (6) | 82 (1) | 50 (4) | 60 (3) | 74 (1) | 73 (1) | 55 (4) | 55 (3) | 9 | 14 | 20 | 22 | 59 | 42 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Waikiki Stoned 2y 8 | S Mavrias — 16% R217 W34 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 54 | 67 (2) | 63 (2) | 69 (2) | 48 (6) | 78 (1) | 62 (2) | 65 (3) | 49 (2) | 43 (5) | - | 40 | 31 | 36 | 43 | 62 | 56 | 1 | 11/10F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Da Ballerinab 2yN/R 4 | B G Backhurst — 15% R226 W35 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 55 | 75 (1) | 42 (6) | 53 (4) | 52 (5) | 68 (1) | 61 (5) | 53 (1) | 95 (1) | 52 (3) | 61 (1) | 28 | 13 | - | 27 | 60 | 46 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Insane Investab 4y 46 | G Andreas — 14% R249 W36 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 53 | 42 (5) | 59 (3) | 65 (2) | 69 (2) | 76 (1) | 55 (3) | 61 (2) | 58 (2) | 58 (3) | 54 (4) | 34 | 28 | 18 | 28 | 59 | 32 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pulleen Misty | 29.90 | 30.12 | 30.34 | 43 | +0.44 | Weakest in field | |
| 2 | Lastminute Larry | 29.89 | 30.20 | 29.99 | 48 | +0.10 | Top trainer (26%) | |
| 3 | Bombay Boss | 29.42 | 29.93 | 30.23 | 56 | +0.81 | 3 wins from 10 | |
| 4 | Waikiki Stone | 29.54 | 29.96 | 29.96 | 57 | +0.42 | 6 places from 10 | |
| 5 | Da Ballerina | 29.86 | 30.19 | 29.86 | 50 | 0.00 | Won last time (A4) | |
| 6 | Insane Investa | 29.71 | 29.98 | 30.38 | 50 | +0.67 | Best trap |
Central Park's dimensions look galloping but the tricky first bend and short run-up make it play tighter than the numbers suggest, though the extra distance here gives the dogs racing off the pace a bit more time to get into it. At this A3 grade over 491 metres, trap 6 has been comfortably the best draw at just over 23 per cent, with the inside trap 1 next best - the middle traps have all been fairly ordinary. Waikiki Stone and Pulleen Misty both have the early pace to be involved at the first bend, but Bombay Boss, Da Ballerina and Lastminute Larry are the closers who look set to be finishing this one off, with the extra ground at 491m playing to their strengths.
The standout on course and distance form - three wins and three places from his last ten starts over this exact track and trip, comfortably the best record in the race. He also owns the fastest recorded time and best average performance figure in the field, and finishes his races off strongly from off the pace, which fits the extra ground at 491m. Trap 3 is only a middling draw at this grade, but with the best combination of proven course-and-distance form and raw ability on offer, he's the one to beat.
Carries the best average performance rating in the field and matches the fastest recorded time, with six places from his last ten starts over this course and distance - a genuinely competitive record. He's fast early but has a habit of losing ground in the closing stages, which is a slight concern at this trip, and trap 4 has been the weakest draw at this grade. On raw numbers alone he's right in the mix and the biggest threat to the selection.
The slowest dog in the field on recorded times and carrying the lowest average performance figure too. Fast away but fades late, and with only two starts over this course and distance there isn't much of a form line at this specific combination. Trap 1 is a reasonable draw but she looks up against it on ability.
Trained by the in-form B D O'Sullivan, who has the best strike rate of any handler in this race at 26 per cent - a genuine positive. He finished second last time out and has placed four times from eight starts over this course and distance. A confirmed closer who should be doing his best work in the final stages, though trap 2 has been a modest draw at this grade.
Won last time out, though that was at the easier A4 grade rather than today's A3, so there's a step up in class to negotiate. A confirmed closer with only three starts over this exact course and distance, one of which was a win. Trap 5 has been a below-average draw at this grade.
Drawn in trap 6, comfortably the best-performing box at this A3 grade and trip at just over 23 per cent, and has placed five times from his last ten starts over this course and distance. Form has cooled a little from an earlier peak of 76 down to 42 last time out, and the trainer's win rate is on the low side, but the standout draw alone keeps him firmly in this.
Key insight: Trap 6 is the clear standout box at this A3 grade and trip, winning almost a quarter of the time, while the model's top pick is actually less reliable than its second pick here (19.9% vs 21.2%) - a sign the composite isn't a strong guide at this specific grade. The fastest dog in the field wins 23.8% of the time, the more trustworthy number to lean on.
T1:18.1% T2:16.7% T3:18.0% T4:15.4% T5:16.9% T6:23.3%
1,092 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Pulleen Misty | 57 | 0 | Fader |
2Lastminute Larry | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Bombay Boss | 45 | 76 | Closer |
4Waikiki Stone | 55 | 24 | Fader |
5Da Ballerina | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Insane Investa | 58 | 4 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 491m | 664m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pulleen Misty | 0.612 | 0.613 | — |
| 2 | Lastminute Larry | — | 0.615 | 0.622 |
| 3 | Bombay Boss | — | 0.611 | — |
| 4 | Waikiki Stone | — | 0.610 | — |
| 6 | Insane Investa | — | 0.612 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.