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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Balmoral Lucyb 2yN/R 28 | D Blackbird — 16% R1106 W178 P611 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 76 (1) | 61 (2) | 74 (1) | 60 (3) | 29 (6) | 68 (2) | 58 (5) | 64 (3) | 58 (2) | - | 34 | 34 | - | - | 63 | 34 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Las Vegasd 1y 6 | P Miller — 20% R610 W124 P337 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 41 (1) | 25 (6) | 26 (5) | 30 (4) | 36 (2) | 39 (1) | 36 (1) | 37 (5) | 45 (5) | 24 (4) | 29 | 35 | 37 | 45 | 32 | 34 | 3 | 15/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Beechwood Kateb 5y 16 | E Y Bell — 20% R535 W109 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 32 (3) | 37 (1) | 32 (2) | 32 (2) | 23 (5) | 37 (1) | 28 (4) | 22 (6) | 37 (1) | 20 (6) | 32 | 28 | - | 41 | 31 | 33 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Lostrigg Bennyd 3y 8 | D Blackbird — 16% R1106 W178 P611 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 37 (1) | 32 (2) | 30 (3) | 28 (3) | 30 (2) | 31 (4) | 36 (1) | 35 (1) | 23 (1) | 77 (2) | 52 | 43 | 31 | 44 | 32 | 36 | 4 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Flukeb 3y 7 | E Y Bell — 20% R535 W109 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 37 (1) | 24 (5) | 33 (1) | 27 (2) | 19 (5) | 22 (5) | 47 (6) | 53 (5) | 41 (6) | 70 (4) | 46 | 32 | 13 | 42 | 28 | 32 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Roanna Chanceb 2y 8 | D Blackbird — 16% R1106 W178 P611 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | - | 16 (5) | 32 (4) | 40 (1) | 33 (2) | 45 (5) | 61 (4) | 61 (3) | 63 (1) | - | - | 16 | 20 | 26 | 25 | 29 | 25 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Balmoral Lucy | Never raced at 261m - all recent form is over 450m. Times not comparable. | — | No 261m form | ||||
| 2 | Las Vegas | 16.00 | 16.27 | 16.00 | 50 | 0.00 | ||
| 3 | Beechwood Kate | 15.89 | 16.23 | 16.13 | 51 | +0.24 | Fastest time | |
| 4 | Lostrigg Benny | 15.99 | 16.19 | 15.99 | 52 | 0.00 | Model pick, worst trap | |
| 5 | Fluke | 15.94 | 16.31 | 15.94 | 51 | 0.00 | ||
| 6 | Roanna Chance | 16.04 | 16.36 | 17.17 | 32 | +1.13 | Slow last time | |
Sunderland's 261m sprint is a genuinely flat draw overall, with only a couple of points separating the traps track-wide, but in this specific grade two boxes stand out - trap six and trap one have both been landing over one in five winners while trap four has struggled to little more than one in eight. At a sprint like this, early pace and bend ability matter far more than any suitability figure, and the standout name on paper is Balmoral Lucy, a big class-dropper who won impressively at a much higher grade over the longer 450m trip last time - but she has never raced this minimum trip before, which is a real unknown regardless of how good her recent form looks. Lostrigg Benny has the fastest all-round figures of the confirmed sprinters and an outstanding course-and-distance record. Beechwood Kate has the fastest raw time in the field, while Las Vegas and Fluke are others with solid recent form at this trip.
The fastest and best-rated of the confirmed sprinters in this field and boasts an outstanding course-and-distance record - three wins and five places from eight runs at this exact trip, an excellent strike rate. Won at the grade below last time out and has been rock solid across his last six starts, never far off the mark. The one blemish is the draw, trap four has been the weakest box in this grade, but the sheer weight of course form and pace here is hard to overlook.
A significant class-dropper who won impressively last time out at a much higher grade over 450m, and her wider form puts her a clear cut above this field on paper. The catch is she has never raced over the minimum 261m trip before - there is simply no evidence she can produce that same level of running over a completely different sort of race, and gets the second-best draw in trap one to boot. Talented but a genuine unknown at this trip.
The fastest raw time in the field and has a fine course-and-distance record, three wins and five places from ten runs at this trip. Was third last time out in this same grade and has been a picture of consistency. Trap three is a fair draw and she has to be respected on pure pace alone.
Won this same grade last time out and has a good course-and-distance record, three wins and four places from eight runs at this trip. Form has been a little in and out over the last few starts but the pace is competitive with the leading contenders. Trap two has been a below-par draw in this grade, which is the main knock against him.
Won well last time out at the grade below with a competitive time, and has a fair course-and-distance record of two wins and three places from six runs at this trip. Form has been a little modest before that recent success. Trap five is a moderate draw in this grade, leaving him needing to build on that latest effort.
Gets the best-performing trap in this grade but was well beaten last time out and the pace figures are well behind the rest of this field. Course-and-distance record is thin, a win and two places from four runs at this trip. The draw gives her a chance but there's little in the recent form to get excited about.
Key insight: In this grade trap six (22.4%) and trap one (21.2%) are clearly the best draws, while trap four has been the weakest at 12.6%. The composite top pick wins 20.2%, close to the field average - sprints at Sunderland are genuinely hard to separate on ratings alone.
T1:21.2% T2:14.5% T3:16.6% T4:12.6% T5:15.3% T6:22.4%
990 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 261m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 261m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (261m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 290m | 325m | 335m | 400m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Las Vegas | 0.623 | — | — | — | — | 0.639 |
| 3 | Beechwood Kate | 0.622 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Lostrigg Benny | 0.620 | 0.609 | — | — | — | 0.618 |
| 5 | Fluke | 0.625 | — | — | 0.554 | 0.559 | — |
| 6 | Roanna Chance | 0.627 | — | 0.554 | — | — | 0.625 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.