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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Ezrad 1y 17 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 51 | 64 (5) | 43 (1) | 39 (2) | 73 (1) | 69 (1) | 67 (6) | 62 (2) | 62 (2) | 37 (1) | 52 (3) | 34 | 44 | 20 | 31 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 15/8 | |
| 2 | ▶ Slippy Conord 2y 111 | G A Griffiths — 20% R163 W32 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 54 | 57 (1) | 30 (6) | 54 (2) | 56 (3) | 52 (2) | 58 (1) | 38 (5) | 35 (6) | 42 (4) | 32 (5) | 45 | 41 | 17 | 41 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Aero Immorald 2y 26 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 55 (4) | 79 (4) | 75 (1) | 58 (2) | 62 (2) | 66 (1) | 38 (6) | 36 (6) | 63 (1) | 54 (2) | 22 | 31 | 14 | 27 | 48 | 41 | 4 | 5/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Four The Huntd 3y 45 | C S Fereday — 19% R454 W85 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 49 | 36 (6) | 68 (4) | 66 (4) | 60 (5) | 69 (1) | 63 (1) | 48 (2) | 75 (3) | 77 (3) | 70 (4) | 28 | 46 | 52 | 32 | 62 | 53 | 1 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Longacres Bertied 1y 5 | P J Doocey — 21% R140 W29 P76 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 42 | 64 (2) | 55 (4) | 69 (1) | 51 (4) | 45 (5) | 41 (5) | 64 (1) | 64 (1) | 32 (5) | 25 (6) | 15 | 25 | 20 | 31 | 43 | 36 | 5 | 8/1 | |
The class of the field by a significant margin — avgPerf 62 in a field averaging around 47. That 15-point class gap is one of the biggest on today's card. His composite of 53 is 7 clear of the next-best. Four The Hunt is a pure Closer (CS 100) who recently ran at A5/S2 level — including a stunning P92 win at 630m where he led from early pace and won going away. At 480m his form reads P53→P52→P59→P50 with consistent 2nd and 3rd places, always finishing strongly. Track suit 46 is the field's best, confirming strong Monmore form. The concern is T4 at just 16.4% from 274 runs — no structural help, and the pure Closer profile means he'll be last early. But the class override principle applies: when a dog is 15+ points above the field average, the quality gap can overwhelm pace disadvantages. He fades from 1st to 1st at this level. Trainer Fereday at 14% is below average.
Primary danger. Best early pace and a recent win at this level, but the Fader profile from a near-dead T2 draw makes it very hard to hold off a Closer with a 14-point class advantage.
Massive T1 structural advantage and a leading style that maximises the rail. But avgPerf 44 vs the pick's 62 is a class chasm. Will lead for much of the race before being overhauled in the closing stages.
Improving All-Rounder with decent recent form but a history of being crowded in running. Needs a clear run from T3 and even then faces a big class gap to the pick. Mid-pack prospect.
One brilliant P65 win at A8 but otherwise modest form. The step into A7 and the weak T6 draw (16.4%) with poor suitability make it hard to trust the P65 as repeatable. Would need to reproduce that career-best to feature.
T1 massively dominant at 25.4%. LOW SEPARATION (2.7pp). The pick (T4) is in a weak trap at 16.4%. BUT the pick's class edge (avgPerf 62 vs field avg ~47) is exceptional — 15 points above field average is a class override scenario. Thompson 38.1% from 21 runs is standout trainer.
T1:25.4% T2:15.2% T3:18.7% T4:16.4% T5:19.9% T6:16.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Aero Ezra | 50 | 59 | Closer |
2Slippy Conor | 58 | 24 | Fader |
3Aero Immoral | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Four The Hunt | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Longacres Bertie | 54 | 32 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.