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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Pippy Longsocksb 3y 14 | J B Thompson — 19% R518 W97 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 23 (5) | 30 (2) | 24 (5) | 32 (2) | 37 (1) | 36 (1) | 20 (6) | 31 (1) | 20 (5) | 27 (3) | 41 | 32 | 43 | 41 | 26 | 30 | 3 | 2/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Dashgrove Poshb 2y 45 | J M Walton — 20% R244 W49 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 38 (3) | 38 (5) | 20 (5) | 32 (1) | 21 (5) | 21 (5) | 26 (2) | 25 (2) | 28 (2) | - | 15 | 48 | - | 57 | 19 | 26 | 4 | 16/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Highway Blued 2y 13 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 26 (3) | 27 (4) | 27 (2) | 35 (1) | 24 (3) | 79 (5) | 27 (3) | 37 (5) | 22 (1) | - | 62 | 34 | 44 | 34 | 25 | 31 | 2 | 7/4F | |
| 4 | ▶ Aero Maisieb 1y 12 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 53 (4) | 63 (1) | 57 (2) | 50 (3) | 51 (2) | 39 (5) | 45 (6) | 38 (5) | 52 (6) | - | 69 | 36 | 15 | 46 | 36 | 41 | 1 | 11/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Elderberry Lunab 5y 13 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R318 W45 P163 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 20 (5) | 23 (5) | 23 (4) | 17 (3) | 25 (6) | 27 (4) | 26 (3) | 31 (3) | 23 (1) | - | 34 | 36 | 38 | 36 | 24 | 28 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Noduff Charlied 2y 3 | C S Fereday — 19% R454 W85 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 22 (4) | 31 (6) | 30 (5) | 38 (4) | 17 (5) | 45 (3) | 42 (6) | 32 (2) | - | - | 8 | 48 | - | 25 | 33 | 31 | 6 | 7/1 | |
The predicted winner with composite 41, 10 points clear of the next-best (Highway Blue and Noduff Charlie at 31). AvgPerf 36 leads the field. A Closer (EP 50, CS 74, PC 89) — the Closer profile at 264m is a genuine concern, though her EP of 50 suggests she's not always at the back. Trap suit 69 is outstanding — the best in the field by a wide margin, confirming genuine success from T4 or similar draws at 264m. Recent form (P24→P26→P41→P23→P59) is mixed: the P23 win at D4 264m shows ability, the P59 at 480m is a different discipline. Her last 264m effort (P24 3rd with 'forced to check and crowded') suggests she was better than the result. Trainer Taberner at 26% is solid (25% at D4 264m specifically). T4 at 16.6% from 356 runs is below expected — a structural headwind that the individual trap suit (69) partially compensates for.
Primary danger on structural grounds — T6's 21.3% dominance is the biggest structural signal in the race. But the switch from 480m to 264m and poor distance/trap suitability create genuine uncertainty. The trap says yes but the dog's individual data says maybe.
Best speed and good suitability but fatally compromised by the dead T3 draw (13.8% from 349 runs). The aggregate data is too strong to ignore — can be opposed on structural grounds.
Proven sprint winner with strong early pace and a good T1 draw, but the form decline (three consecutive mid-to-low-20s after winning at 30-32) suggests she's gone off the boil. Needs to reverse the trend.
Proven sprint winner with decent T5 structural position but inconsistent form (P31 win followed by P17 6th). Mid-field D4 dog with no standout edge in this field.
Returning from a fall with only a trial win since — unknown confidence level. Decent suitability scores suggest sprint aptitude but the disrupted form and poor trap suit (15) make her a risky proposition.
LOW SEPARATION at D4 264m. T6 DOMINANT (21.3%), T3 DEAD (13.8%). The pick (T4) is in a neutral-to-weak trap at 16.6% — no structural help. T6 goes to Noduff Charlie who's been running 480m recently. Trap bias should be a primary factor in this race.
T1:19.4% T2:17.8% T3:13.8% T4:16.6% T5:18.6% T6:21.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.