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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Vixons Bagheerad 5y 23 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 52 | 32 (6) | 46 (5) | 45 (5) | 62 (1) | 48 (4) | 47 (3) | 47 (5) | 28 (6) | 39 (5) | 59 (3) | 42 | 41 | 35 | 35 | 43 | 42 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Bounceback Bucksb 3y 15 | C Jones — 13% R307 W39 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 57 | 41 (5) | 35 (3) | 49 (2) | 43 (3) | 30 (6) | 61 (1) | 48 (2) | 41 (4) | 46 (4) | 58 (3) | 32 | 34 | 45 | 34 | 51 | 45 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Aero Galacticad 1y 24 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 23 | 71 (1) | 55 (2) | 55 (3) | 68 (1) | 49 (3) | 63 (1) | 58 (2) | 59 (2) | 36 (4) | - | 8 | 25 | - | 25 | - | 7 | 6 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Hollywell Maveb 3y 15 | M Shaw — 0% R23 W0 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 50 | 69 (1) | 46 (3) | 56 (3) | 67 (1) | 63 (1) | 12 (6) | 61 (1) | 41 (4) | 44 (5) | 48 (2) | 34 | 37 | 34 | 55 | 42 | 42 | 5 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Peace O Mindb 2y 8 | C Jones — 13% R307 W39 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 51 | 59 (1) | 43 (4) | 38 (4) | 47 (6) | 35 (4) | 46 (5) | 57 (3) | 46 (2) | 59 (2) | - | 44 | 41 | 11 | 41 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Do Gooderd 3y 5 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R609 W113 P343 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 47 | 54 (3) | 65 (3) | 64 (3) | 64 (6) | 72 (2) | 60 (1) | 68 (3) | 64 (1) | 50 (1) | - | 38 | 57 | - | 45 | 60 | 55 | 1 | 6/5F | |
The predicted winner with the field's best composite (55) and avgperf (60) — a clear class edge over a field averaging around 47. Do Gooder is a pure Closer (CS 100) who will be at the rear through the first two bends and rely on his superior closing speed to pick off the faders. His form trajectory (P63→P46→P59→P24→P72→P56) is volatile but the high peaks (P72 at 630m, P63 at 480m) show genuine A6-level ability running in A7 — a class edge. The concern is T6, which wins just 16.4% from 231 runs at A7 480m — no structural help from the draw. And the Closer profile means he needs genuine early pace from the Faders to close into. Track suit 57 is the field's best, confirming strong Monmore form. Speed 57 is also field-best. Trainer Billingham-hine at 16% is below average.
Primary danger as the consistent All-Rounder who'll be thereabouts regardless of pace dynamics. Four consecutive 2nds suggest she runs to her level every time. If Do Gooder can't close or Bounceback fades too late, she picks up the pieces.
Will lead early but the Fader profile from the near-dead T2 draw makes it very hard to hold on. Sets the pace for the closers rather than winning the race himself.
Massive structural advantage from T1 but a 17-point avgPerf deficit to the pick is too large to overcome even with the best draw. If she ran to her P63 peak she'd be dangerous, but recent form (P28, P39 with crowding) suggests that level is behind her.
Capable Closer but outclassed by Do Gooder in the closing role and faces structural headwind from T4. The P61 win shows she can perform at this level but the inconsistency and competition for the closing position limit her.
Trial-only entry at A7 level — impossible to assess competitively. The Closer profile from the back of the field with no proven quality makes her very hard to include in any analysis. Wait and see runner.
T1 massively dominant at 25.4% from 295 runs — the strongest single-trap signal on this card. LOW SEPARATION (2.7pp between R1 and R3). Thompson 38.1% from 21 runs is the standout trainer. Speed ranks are nearly flat (R1 19.9%, R2 19.2%, R3 20.0%) — speed doesn't separate dogs here. The pick (T6) is in a weak trap at 16.4%.
T1:25.4% T2:15.2% T3:18.7% T4:16.4% T5:19.9% T6:16.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Vixons Bagheera | 54 | 43 | All-Rounder |
2Bounceback Bucks | 57 | 34 | Fader |
3Aero Galactica | 26 | 100 | Closer |
4Hollywell Mave | 50 | 57 | Closer |
5Peace O Mind | 50 | 42 | All-Rounder |
6Do Gooder | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.