Loading racecard
Loading...
Loading racecard
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Mistakeb 2y 6 | R Taberner — 20% R716 W143 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | 77 | 55 | 52 | 46 (3) | 55 (2) | 61 (1) | 53 (3) | 41 (5) | 52 (4) | 43 (5) | 42 (4) | 58 (3) | 55 (4) | 44 | 42 | 18 | 42 | 51 | 48 | 1 | 5/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Yama Nightmareb 3y 25 | C S Fereday — 18% R466 W86 P233 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 61 | 25 (6) | 38 (5) | 60 (5) | 74 (4) | 57 (3) | 48 (4) | 52 (4) | 44 (5) | 68 (1) | 61 (1) | 42 | 38 | 12 | 38 | 50 | 46 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Aero Colossusd 1y 14 | R Taberner — 20% R716 W143 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 40 | 42 (5) | 65 (2) | 74 (1) | 46 (3) | 71 (1) | 52 (3) | - | - | - | - | 8 | 50 | - | 50 | - | 13 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Cashen Pogachad 2y 24 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R325 W46 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | 71 | 49 | 50 | 58 (2) | 46 (5) | 52 (4) | 64 (1) | 54 (3) | 39 (3) | 37 (6) | 54 (1) | 51 (2) | - | 3 | 27 | 44 | 25 | 55 | 42 | 4 | 11/8F | |
| 6 | ▶ Bloos Bro Bugsyd 2y 6 | J B Thompson — 19% R516 W96 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | 74 | 46 | 48 | 58 (1) | 45 (4) | 46 (5) | 50 (3) | 41 (3) | 40 (5) | 46 (5) | 41 (5) | 49 (5) | - | 40 | 31 | 11 | 28 | 51 | 45 | 3 | 9/2 | |
The predicted winner from the meeting's most dominant trap position — T1 wins 23.0% from 291 runs at Monmore 480m A6. Aero Mistake is a Closer (EP 0, CS 100) with the field's best composite (48) and strong suitability across the board — track 42, distance 42, trap 44, all above field average. Recent form (P52→P43→P42→P58→P55) has been disrupted by crowding and missed breaks — the comments read as a dog constantly getting into trouble (Crd3, Crd1 in multiple races). AvgPerf 51 is level with the field's best. Trainer Taberner at 26% is moderate overall but DOMINATES A6 480m Monmore at 35.1% from 37 runs — a very strong trainer signal at these specific conditions. The Closer profile means she'll be relying on others to fade, but from T1 on the rail she minimises the ground she needs to cover to close.
Primary danger. Best early pace, best bend rating, dominant trap — she'll lead and force the closers to do the work. But the Fader tag and recent missed breaks make her vulnerable late. If she breaks well, she's dangerous.
Structural advantage from dominant T6 draw and strong trainer, but recent form decline (63→41 over four runs) is worrying. The All-Rounder profile should handle the Monmore layout but needs to reverse the downward trajectory.
Best raw avgperf at 55 but suitability collapse (trap suit 3 from T5 which wins 16.3%) makes him hard to back. The steady decline in form trajectory (57→56→54→52→51) adds another concern. Needs everything to go right from the worst draw.
Complete unknown with only trial form. Could be talented enough for A6 (Taberner wouldn't throw away an entry) but impossible to assess competitively. One for the tracksiders who've seen her in the trials.
Three dominant traps (T1, T2, T6) — unusual flat bias. LOW SEPARATION with R1 at 22.4% vs R3 at 18.4%. The pick (T1) is in the most dominant trap. Taberner (35.1% from 37 runs) and Jones (30% from 20 runs) are standout trainers at A6 480m Monmore. V3 Tier 2 actually wins MORE than Tier 1 here (23.8% vs 21.9%) — mid-rated dogs overperform.
T1:23.0% T2:21.0% T3:17.8% T4:19.7% T5:16.3% T6:21.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Aero Mistake | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Yama Nightmare | 60 | 28 | Fader |
3Aero Colossus | 35 | 74 | Closer |
5Cashen Pogacha | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Bloos Bro Bugsy | 50 | 46 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.