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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lady Luckb 2y 111 | G A Griffiths — 20% R163 W32 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 32 (1) | 47 (1) | 24 (6) | 24 (6) | 24 (6) | 29 (6) | 30 (6) | 23 (4) | 27 (2) | 12 (6) | 62 | 43 | 51 | 65 | 30 | 39 | 2 | 11/8F | |
| 2 | ▶ Tis Niced 2y 17 | C Jones — 13% R307 W39 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 20 (4) | 21 (6) | 23 (5) | 27 (3) | 44 (6) | 35 (2) | 30 (3) | 24 (5) | - | - | 46 | 48 | - | 37 | 27 | 33 | 3 | 16/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Elderberry Mistyb 4y 15 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R318 W45 P163 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 29 (2) | 29 (2) | 22 (6) | 27 (3) | 31 (1) | 27 (2) | 23 (2) | 26 (4) | 27 (2) | 28 (2) | 45 | 33 | 37 | 35 | 23 | 28 | 5 | 9/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Drumdoit Kodad 2y 35 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 23 (6) | 23 (4) | 16 (4) | 23 (6) | 27 (4) | 27 (2) | 32 (3) | 23 (1) | 27 (4) | - | 34 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 27 | 28 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ El Barno Blitzd 2y 7 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 35 (6) | 43 (1) | 34 (4) | 46 (6) | 27 (2) | 25 (6) | 29 (4) | 25 (2) | 20 (3) | - | 6 | 31 | 14 | 29 | 26 | 25 | 6 | 6/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Killimor Canyab 2y 14 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 16 (6) | 19 (5) | 19 (5) | 19 (6) | 23 (3) | 29 (2) | 19 (4) | 24 (3) | 20 (5) | 80 (2) | 29 | 32 | - | 25 | 52 | 44 | 1 | 5/1 | |
The clear class standout with composite 44 — 5 points clear of the field — and avgPerf 52, a huge 22+ points above the field average of ~30. This class gap is remarkable for D4 264m. Most of Killimor Canya's recent form comes from Valley 260m (P80→P69→P60→P71), a tight sprint venue where she placed 4th four times at higher competition. The trial win at Monmore 264m (P21) is encouraging but limited competitive Monmore form. Drawn in the DOMINANT T6 position (21.3% from 348 runs). Track suit 32 and distance suit 25 are moderate — reflecting the fact that most of her sprint form is at Valley, not Monmore. Trainer Marston at 20% is reliable. The case for her is pure class — she's been running at a level well above D4, and even if the Monmore sprint specifics are unproven, the quality gap should carry her.
Primary danger with field-best suitability and early pace from a favourable T1 draw. The class gap to the pick (30 vs 52 avgPerf) is the concern, but D4 264m is where suitability and EP often override raw ratings.
One win from leading contradicts the Closer label, but subsequent form decline (three consecutive 4th-6th finishes) suggests that level isn't sustainable. Wrong pace profile for sprints and fading form.
Dead T3 draw (13.8% from 349 runs) is the primary concern. Has shown ability (P28 2nd) but the structural headwind and inconsistent form make her very hard to back. Needs the dead trap curse to be broken.
Most consistent sprint form with proven early pace (QuickAway every race) but the T4 draw and mid-pack ratings limit him. A reliable place contender rather than a winner.
Field-best speed but chronic slow-away tendency at a distance where the break decides everything. Trap suit 6 from T5 adds another concern. Can be opposed with reasonable confidence.
LOW SEPARATION but R1 at 23.4% has a meaningful edge at D4 264m. T6 DOMINANT — the pick is in the best structural position. Speed rank 1 at 25.6% is the strongest signal. Killimor Canya's avgPerf 52 is significantly above the field, suggesting a class edge that the 23.4% R1 win rate will capture.
T1:19.4% T2:17.8% T3:13.8% T4:16.6% T5:18.6% T6:21.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.