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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Cluendarby Lassb 2y 13 | M Shaw — 0% R23 W0 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 26 (3) | 20 (6) | 24 (5) | 31 (1) | 26 (3) | 25 (3) | 22 (4) | 24 (2) | 22 (4) | 26 (2) | 40 | 31 | 22 | 31 | 22 | 26 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Ropewalk Stard 2y 26 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R318 W45 P163 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 35 (3) | 27 (3) | 28 (3) | 32 (1) | 27 (3) | 29 (2) | 19 (6) | 12 (6) | - | - | 39 | 57 | - | 57 | 12 | 26 | 2 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Vixons Famigilab 1y 5 | J B Thompson — 19% R518 W97 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 31 (1) | 20 (5) | 24 (3) | 22 (5) | 26 (5) | 22 (3) | 19 (4) | 20 (5) | 18 (6) | - | 46 | 32 | - | 31 | 19 | 25 | 1 | 10/11F | |
| 4 | ▶ Like Lightningd 1y 4 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 25 (3) | 23 (3) | 25 (3) | 32 (2) | 31 (2) | 23 (1) | 18 (5) | 22 (2) | - | - | 15 | 8 | - | 9 | 21 | 17 | 6 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballerina Dancerb 2y 15 | P A Curtin — 17% R295 W50 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 19 (3) | 24 (3) | 15 (6) | 26 (2) | 22 (4) | 27 (2) | 25 (2) | 24 (3) | 23 (3) | 19 (5) | 29 | 28 | 18 | 26 | 21 | 23 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Elderberry Flashd 4y 64 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R318 W45 P163 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 22 (5) | 20 (3) | 28 (4) | 19 (5) | 24 (4) | 19 (6) | 22 (5) | 30 (1) | 23 (3) | 24 (3) | 29 | 25 | 16 | 29 | 24 | 25 | 3 | 8/1 | |
The predicted winner with composite 26 — just marginally ahead in a compressed field. Her form is the definition of consistency: P22→P24→P22→P26→P24 — never worse than P22, never better than P26, at D4 264m exclusively. She runs from T1 every time (trap suit 40) and the comments show her as an early-pace rails runner who's always 'EveryChance.' T1 wins 19.4% from 242 runs — above expected and structurally favourable at sprints where the rail saves crucial ground. Track suit 31 and distance suit 31 are moderate. Trainer Shaw at 12% is low. The honest assessment is that she's the best of a weak bunch — consistent but not talented. In a field where everyone is between P19 and P26 average performance, consistency counts.
Primary danger on the strength of best suitability and most 264m winning form in the field. The inconsistency (P12 slow away) is concerning but when she breaks well, she wins at this level.
Perfect sprint pace profile ruined by the dead T3 draw (13.8% from 349 runs). If drawn in T1 or T6 she'd be the pick. But the geometry is against her and the data from 349 runs is clear.
Dominant T6 draw but Closer profile at 264m and poor suitability scores create conflicting signals. The trap data says she should win more often from here but her individual record from wide draws doesn't support it.
Mid-pack D4 dog with no standout quality in any dimension. Consistent enough to be involved but unlikely to win against dogs with better structural positions or sprint profiles.
Near-zero suitability scores (track 8, distance 9) are the clearest negative signal on the card. Can be confidently opposed regardless of trap position or pace profile — the venue/distance combination doesn't suit.
LOW SEPARATION with a quirk — R1 at 23.4% is significantly ahead of R2 at 13.9%, suggesting the top-rated dog does have an edge at D4 264m. But R3 at 18.5% overperforms R2, making the mid-ranks unpredictable. T6 DOMINANT, T3 DEAD. Speed rank 1 at 25.6% is actually the strongest signal — the fastest dog wins disproportionately at D4 264m sprints.
T1:19.4% T2:17.8% T3:13.8% T4:16.6% T5:18.6% T6:21.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.