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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Yama Beautyb 2y 19 | C S Fereday — 18% R466 W86 P233 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 54 | 22 (6) | 24 (5) | 21 (5) | 25 (4) | 22 (6) | 47 (5) | 22 (1) | 31 (6) | 30 (4) | - | 33 | 29 | - | 19 | 29 | 28 | 6 | 22/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Hawkfield Bionicb 2y 25 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R325 W46 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 53 | 35 (6) | 23 (3) | 31 (5) | 40 (1) | 22 (2) | 37 (5) | 42 (3) | 37 (3) | 27 (4) | - | 55 | 31 | - | 19 | 32 | 33 | 1 | 2/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Coologue Mollyb 2y 7 | C Jones — 12% R309 W38 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 51 | 43 (2) | 41 (3) | 39 (2) | 38 (3) | 40 (2) | 34 (2) | 43 (2) | 32 (5) | 36 (3) | 39 (2) | 36 | 40 | 15 | 32 | 37 | 37 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Winterfield Stard 3y 7 | C Jones — 12% R309 W38 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 48 | 39 (2) | 31 (4) | 24 (5) | 32 (5) | 36 (3) | 29 (6) | 28 (5) | 30 (5) | 24 (6) | 28 (5) | 18 | 25 | 16 | 24 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Glenvale Dickied 1y 24 | J M Walton — 20% R242 W49 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 56 | 23 (6) | 58 (1) | 22 (6) | 48 (2) | 44 (2) | 44 (3) | 48 (1) | 48 (2) | 26 (6) | 28 (6) | 4 | 41 | 26 | 31 | 41 | 36 | 4 | 11/8F | |
| 6 | ▶ Burnpark Amberb 3y 14 | J M Walton — 20% R242 W49 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 45 | 22 (6) | 28 (4) | 28 (3) | 24 (3) | 41 (6) | 41 (3) | 52 (3) | 38 (1) | 49 (4) | - | 30 | 36 | 25 | 27 | 41 | 38 | 2 | 9/2 | |
The predicted winner with composite 38, though only marginally ahead of the field. Burnpark Amber is a Closer (CS 55) with decent consistency (PC 79) and has won twice recently from wide draws — including a P52 win where she showed early pace and led for two bends. Her trajectory (P41→P41→P52→P38→P49→P37) shows a dog capable of 50+ performances but also liable to underperform with several 37-41 efforts. Speed 52 is solid for the grade. The concern is the Closer profile at A9 grade where the race may not produce enough early pace for her to pick off — T6 is a neutral trap at 18.2% from 253 runs, neither dominant nor dead. Trainer Walton at 12% is a low win rate. She has the ability but needs things to go right from a wide draw in a low-quality race.
Primary danger. Structural advantage from dominant T3 draw backed by the field's best suitability scores. Inconsistent form is the concern, but the trap data from 255 runs is a stronger signal than any individual performance number in a low-separation race.
Best raw speed and bend in the field but crippled by T5 draw and virtually zero trap suitability. Capable dog in the wrong position — needs luck to overcome the structural headwind.
Will show early pace but lacks the quality to sustain it. Weak trap draw and low performance ratings make him a pace angle rather than a winning chance. Likely to fade in the closing stages.
Extreme Closer who needs everything to go wrong for the leaders. Capable of a big performance when it clicks (P52 win, P50 at 630m) but the inconsistency and zero early pace make him a speculative proposition at best.
Dominant T1 draw gives structural advantage but the field's worst speed and lowest composite suggest she's outclassed. The trap advantage alone keeps her from being completely dismissed, but would need significant improvement to win.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 wins 20.9% vs R3 at 17.1% — just 3.8pp gap. Ratings offer minimal predictive value at A9 grade. T1 and T3 are structurally dominant. Speed rank 1 (22.6%) is actually the strongest signal here, ahead of composite rank. V3 Tier 1 wins 26.4% — dogs rated in the top tier have a real edge. Griffiths (50% from 12 runs) and Taberner (27.3% from 22 runs) are the standout trainers.
T1:21.6% T2:16.3% T3:20.4% T4:16.7% T5:16.4% T6:18.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Yama Beauty | 48 | 37 | All-Rounder |
2Hawkfield Bionic | 55 | 46 | Front Runner |
3Coologue Molly | 49 | 44 | All-Rounder |
4Winterfield Star | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Glenvale Dickie | 52 | 54 | All-Rounder |
6Burnpark Amber | 51 | 55 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.