Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Clay Lionessesb 3y 3 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 46 | 21 (5) | 42 (4) | 50 (2) | 48 (2) | 58 (1) | 32 (3) | 33 (1) | 69 (2) | 51 (2) | 34 (6) | 32 | 36 | 30 | 32 | 48 | 47 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Tommys Clodaghb 2y 14 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 24 | 29 (1) | 18 (5) | 19 (5) | 23 (4) | 32 (5) | 43 (3) | 26 (5) | 37 (3) | 37 (5) | 37 (5) | 49 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 36 | 6 | 10/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Beckys Cashoutb 3y 5 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 67 | 21 (5) | 26 (6) | 26 (6) | 30 (5) | 49 (2) | 38 (5) | 45 (2) | 32 (6) | 31 (1) | 15 (6) | 17 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 34 | 39 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballymacken Sunb 3y 5 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 49 | 31 (5) | 29 (6) | 58 (1) | 42 (4) | 39 (4) | 12 (6) | 17 (6) | 29 (1) | 14 (6) | 27 (2) | 26 | 23 | 40 | 29 | 39 | 40 | 4 | 10/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Coolavanny Nanob 3y 7 | M N May — 23% R222 W50 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 18 (6) | 48 (2) | 44 (4) | 41 (4) | 28 (6) | 37 (4) | 21 (6) | 59 (1) | 44 (3) | 44 (3) | 20 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 41 | 42 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Grange Bellb 2y 27 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 51 | 49 (2) | 53 (2) | 51 (5) | 26 (2) | 29 (1) | 16 (6) | 20 (5) | 54 (5) | 52 (2) | - | 40 | 27 | 33 | 38 | 52 | 50 | 1 | 6/5F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grange Bell | 28.92 | 29.17 | 28.85 | 65 | -0.07 | Model pick | |
| 1 | Clay Lionesses | 29.00 | 29.37 | 29.11 | 54 | +0.11 | 5 places from 8 C&D | |
| 5 | Coolavanny Nano | 29.01 | 29.60 | 29.08 | 50 | +0.07 | 1 win from 9 C&D | |
| 3 | Beckys Cashout | 29.06 | 29.52 | 29.52 | 44 | +0.46 | Leads, fades late | |
| 4 | Ballymacken Sun | 29.07 | 29.60 | 29.49 | 44 | +0.42 | Best box at A8 | |
| 2 | Tommys Clodagh | 29.41 | 29.61 | 29.11 | 44 | -0.30 | Sprinter trying 462m |
Kinsley's downhill launch to the first bend favours fast breakers, but A8 is the grade where the outside boxes come alive: from 1,547 runs at this level, trap 4 leads at 20.2% and traps 5 and 6 hold their own, while trap 2 is the weakest at 14.6%. Beckys Cashout is the sharpest breaker with the best first-bend skills and should lead them down the hill — but she has been emptying out late in race after race. Ballymacken Sun will press from the grade's best box. Behind them lurks Grange Bell, head and shoulders the fastest dog in this field, who finishes like a train but keeps finding one too good. If the front two tire as their records suggest, he is the one arriving late.
Head and shoulders above this field on the clock — his speed rating is the best here by a wide margin — and he posted the fastest recent time in the race, 28.85, when second at this level last week. The honest knock is that he almost never actually wins: one career victory and four straight placings over course and distance. But look at what runs in front of him today — two confirmed early leaders who both empty out late, on a grade where the wide boxes thrive. He finishes hardest of anyone in the race, and this time the ones in front should be coming back to him. The bridesmaid gets a real chance at the bouquet.
Drawn in the best box at this grade — winning 20% — with genuine early dash, and he won at this level only three starts back. If he crosses to the front early down the slope he could take them all the way, though like the dog inside him he has shown a tendency to weaken when pressed late.
Was quietly building a nice record at this level — a win four starts back and two seconds since — before a flat run in a sprint last time, which is easily forgiven as the wrong trip. Placed in five of her eight course-and-distance starts, she is the most reliable frame candidate in the race even if the rail is not the best spot at this grade.
Won a sprint last time out, but her six previous tries over this longer trip have produced no wins and no places, and the pattern says she simply does not see out the extra distance. Drawn in the weakest box at this grade for good measure.
The sharpest breaker in the race with excellent first-bend skills — expect her to lead the field down the hill. The problem is what happens next: she has been pulling up empty late on, without a top-two finish in her last six, and no wins from seven course-and-distance tries. She sets the race up for the finishers rather than winning it herself.
Placed second at this level recently and trainer May does well at this track, but the overall record — one win from nine course-and-distance runs — is hard to dress up, and there are faster and better-drawn rivals in this line-up.
Key insight: A8 is the Kinsley grade where wide draws work: trap 4 leads at 20.2% from 268 runs and trap 6 wins 17.7%, while trap 2 is weakest at 14.6%. The fastest-rated dog wins 19.0% at this grade — the best single signal in an unpredictable division.
T1:15.1% T2:14.6% T3:18.5% T4:20.2% T5:17.3% T6:17.7%
1,547 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Clay Lionesses | 42 | 65 | Closer |
2Tommys Clodagh | 28 | 78 | Closer |
3Beckys Cashout | 60 | 23 | Fader |
4Ballymacken Sun | 57 | 23 | Fader |
5Coolavanny Nano | 48 | 44 | All-Rounder |
6Grange Bell | 52 | 56 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clay Lionesses | 0.628 | 0.636 |
| 2 | Tommys Clodagh | 0.644 | 0.641 |
| 3 | Beckys Cashout | 0.638 | 0.639 |
| 4 | Ballymacken Sun | 0.647 | 0.641 |
| 5 | Coolavanny Nano | 0.644 | 0.641 |
| 6 | Grange Bell | 0.637 | 0.631 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.