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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Dairyland Josed 1y 4 | J G Hurst — 17% R267 W46 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 26 (4) | 24 (5) | 37 (1) | 26 (5) | 26 (4) | 28 (4) | 20 (6) | 26 (2) | 27 (3) | 19 (6) | 26 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 27 | 27 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Makeit Baronessb 3y 8 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 31 (1) | 30 (1) | 21 (4) | 26 (3) | 21 (5) | 20 (3) | 16 (3) | 17 (5) | 21 (2) | 19 (4) | 32 | 29 | 28 | 41 | 24 | 28 | 6 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Gurtnara Jaxd 3y 17 | M N May — 23% R222 W50 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 25 (5) | 87 (1) | 66 (2) | 66 (3) | 83 (1) | 53 (4) | 49 (5) | 66 (3) | 76 (1) | 69 (2) | 20 | - | - | - | 25 | 16 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Queen Ettab 5y 15 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 23 (5) | 31 (3) | 37 (1) | 29 (3) | 33 (4) | 21 (1) | 22 (6) | 19 (5) | 30 (6) | - | 23 | 18 | 22 | 21 | 28 | 27 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Sporting Buchanb 1y 2 | J G Hurst — 17% R267 W46 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 26 (3) | 32 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | - | 24 | 29 | 29 | 2 | 7/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Tickets Katieb 2y 17 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 60 (2) | 78 (1) | 49 (2) | 60 (1) | 36 (5) | 49 (2) | 41 (3) | 47 (3) | 20 (5) | 19 (5) | 38 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 48 | 34 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tickets Katie | 16.53 | 16.95 | 16.33 | 58 | -0.20 | Model pick | |
| 1 | Dairyland Jose | 16.58 | 16.92 | 16.98 | 50 | +0.40 | 1 win from 10 | |
| 4 | Queen Etta | 16.58 | 16.90 | 17.06 | 50 | +0.48 | Out of frame lately | |
| 5 | Sporting Buchan | 16.66 | 16.86 | 16.96 | 51 | +0.30 | Only 2 career runs | |
| 2 | Makeit Baroness | 16.73 | 16.95 | 16.76 | 51 | +0.03 | Two straight wins | |
| 3 | Gurtnara Jax | 17.00 | 17.00 | 16.90 | 44 | -0.10 | Class dropper, slow break |
Kinsley's downhill slope to the first bend turbo-charges fast starters, and 268m gives the stragglers no time to recover. At D3 grade (1,950 runs) trap 6 is the best box at 19.3% while trap 3 is the dead spot at 13.6% — the wide-outside runner gets a clear lane away from the downhill crowding. That plays perfectly for Tickets Katie, who owns the fastest clock, the sharpest break and the best first-bend skills in this field by wide margins. Makeit Baroness brings two straight wins up the grades, and Gurtnara Jax owns far classier form than anyone here — but from the worst box with a slow break, the ex-A3 performer may never land a blow. One dog fits this race like a glove.
Ticks every single box on the card. The fastest in the field on the clock, the sharpest breaker, the best first-bend dog, and the quickest recent time at the trip — her 16.33 is over three lengths clear of anything else here on recent clockings. She drops in from much stronger handicap company, where she won and then finished second over the full trip this month, and she lands the best draw at this grade, the wide-outside box that wins 19.3%. On a downhill sprint track built for fast starters, she is the standout selection on the entire card.
Two wins on the spin — she took a D5, then followed up in D4 last week — and now tries D3 on a hat-trick bid. Rising through the grades with visible confidence and a 40% strike rate this season. The step up is the question, but momentum like hers wins races and she is the clear danger to the favourite.
One win from ten course-and-distance tries and out of the frame in three of his last four. Trainer Hurst operates at a healthy 24% strike rate, which is the best angle in, but the dog's own recent record is modest and others are moving forward while he treads water.
A fascinating profile — he was winning and placing in A3 company over the full trip this spring, class far beyond anything else in this line-up. But his one sprint try here fell flat, he is a slow starter by nature, and he is drawn in the dead box at this grade. All the class in the world cannot help if the race is over before he warms up.
A couple of course-and-distance wins from ten starts but out of the frame in four of her last five, and nothing in the recent figures suggests a revival is imminent. The middle boxes are the weakest launching pads at this grade too.
Just two career races — a win and a third — so there may well be more to come, and trainer Hurst's 24% strike rate adds interest. But two runs is a thin book of evidence against race-hardened rivals, and the one dog in this field with proven class holds every other card today.
Key insight: Trap 6 is the best box at D3 (19.3% from 326 runs) with trap 1 close behind at 19.1%, while trap 3 is the dead spot at 13.6% from 301. The fastest-rated dog wins 18.3% at this grade — and today the fastest dog also has the best draw.
T1:19.1% T2:16.4% T3:13.6% T4:13.9% T5:18.5% T6:19.3%
1,950 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 268m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (268m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 275m | 435m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dairyland Jose | 0.631 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Makeit Baroness | 0.632 | 0.665 | — | — |
| 3 | Gurtnara Jax | 0.634 | — | 0.607 | — |
| 4 | Queen Etta | 0.631 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Sporting Buchan | 0.629 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Tickets Katie | 0.632 | — | — | 0.632 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.