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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Alyssab 4y 63 | B Heaton — 15% R223 W34 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 52 (5) | 58 (4) | 43 (4) | 56 (3) | 37 (3) | 37 (3) | 82 (1) | 50 (6) | 68 (4) | 64 (3) | 40 | 49 | 13 | 17 | 49 | 13 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Da Boy Frankd 4y 16 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 35 (2) | 42 (1) | 42 (1) | 36 (2) | 42 (1) | 36 (2) | 30 (4) | 42 (1) | 35 (3) | 34 (5) | 45 | 57 | 58 | 65 | 38 | 42 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Pro Cooperd 4y 15 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 43 (1) | 43 (1) | 33 (3) | 41 (1) | 42 (1) | 39 (1) | 23 (6) | 48 (5) | 32 (3) | 37 (1) | 21 | 38 | 42 | 59 | 39 | 38 | 5 | 9/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Clongeen Generald 2y 6 | J G Hurst — 17% R267 W46 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 42 (1) | 24 (5) | 39 (2) | 25 (6) | 42 (1) | 21 (6) | 26 (5) | 30 (5) | 37 (3) | 47 (1) | 38 | 44 | 45 | 44 | 33 | 36 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Holborn Bettyb 2y 45 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 40 (6) | 58 (3) | 67 (2) | 61 (4) | 66 (4) | 76 (3) | 83 (1) | 62 (5) | 66 (2) | 65 (3) | 36 | 42 | 26 | 18 | 58 | 15 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Knotmor Aced 2y 15 | D E Fradgley — 22% R106 W23 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 43 (4) | 58 (2) | 68 (1) | 76 (3) | 50 (4) | 57 (2) | 47 (5) | 74 (5) | 100 (1) | 71 (2) | 16 | 37 | 21 | 14 | 54 | 43 | 4 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knotmor Ace | No 268m form — recent sprints over 280m elsewhere. Times not directly comparable. | — | No Kinsley form | ||||
| 3 | Pro Cooper | 16.23 | 16.50 | 16.08 | 54 | -0.15 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Clongeen General | 16.28 | 16.71 | 16.32 | 47 | +0.04 | Won last time | |
| 2 | Da Boy Frank | 16.35 | 16.50 | 16.30 | 49 | -0.05 | 4 wins from 10 C&D | |
| 5 | Holborn Betty | No 268m form — recent races over 462m. Times not comparable. | — | First 268m try | ||||
| 1 | Ballymac Alyssa | 16.51 | 16.53 | 16.66 | 46 | +0.15 | Fast trial 16.37 | |
Kinsley's downhill run to the first bend acts like a catapult for fast breakers, and over the 268m sprint the race is usually settled before halfway. At D2 grade here (688 runs) trap 3 is the best box, winning 22.2%, while trap 5 is a graveyard at just 6.1% — and unusually for this track, raw speed figures are less reliable at this grade, so proven course craft counts double. Knotmor Ace has the most raw pace but has never raced this course and distance; Ballymac Alyssa has the bend skills but is fresh from four months off. Expect Pro Cooper and Da Boy Frank, the two proven course specialists, to be fighting it out down the hill with Aikins-style early dash from the middle.
Won 6 of his last 10 over this course and distance and arrives on the back of two straight wins, clocking 16.08 last time — the fastest recent time in the race by a decent margin. Drawn in trap 3, the best box at this grade, which wins more than one in five. All his recent form is at this level, honest and current. The one they all have to beat.
Comfortably the quickest in the field on raw speed and comes from smart open-race company, but he has never raced over Kinsley's 268m and his sharpest recent times were set over 280m at another track, so the clock does not translate directly. Just one win in his career backs up a 13% strike rate. If he takes to the downhill dash first time he wins; the draw and course inexperience are the risks.
Dropping in from open-class and Irish valuation company, and although she has not raced since March, a solo spin round here on 12 July was clocked at a fast 16.37 — a clear sign she is ready. She handles the first bend as well as anything in this field. Against that, her two previous course-and-distance starts produced nothing, and match fitness after four months off is a genuine question.
A model of consistency at this course and distance — 4 wins and 7 placings from 10 tries, and he has finished first or second in each of his last five D2 races here. Not the quickest in the field on the clock, but he is always in the firing line and knows every inch of the downhill dash.
Hit-and-miss type who won last time out but has alternated wins with unplaced efforts all season — finished 1st, 5th, 2nd, 6th and 1st in his last five. Trainer Hurst operates at a healthy 24% strike rate, the best of today's kennels. On his good nights he is competitive; the trick is knowing which night it is.
The best average rating in the race on paper, but it was earned over the longer 462m trip in A3 company — she has never raced this sprint distance, and she is drawn in trap 5, which wins a miserable 6% at this grade. Class is real; the circumstances are all wrong.
Key insight: Trap 3 is the standout box at D2 (22.2% from 108 runs) while trap 5 wins just 6.1% from 98 — one of the deadest draws on the card. The fastest-rated dog wins only 14.8% at this grade, well below its usual strike rate here, so course form outweighs raw speed figures.
T1:16.3% T2:18.9% T3:22.2% T4:15.7% T5:6.1% T6:14.7%
688 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 268m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (268m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 275m | 280m | 305m | 450m | 462m | 483m | 660m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymac Alyssa | 0.617 | — | — | — | 0.625 | 0.609 | 0.623 | 0.609 |
| 2 | Da Boy Frank | 0.616 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Pro Cooper | 0.616 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Clongeen General | 0.624 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Holborn Betty | — | — | — | — | — | 0.618 | — | — |
| 6 | Knotmor Ace | — | 0.635 | 0.584 | 0.601 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.