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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mineola Bam Bamb 3yN/R 15 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 16 (4) | 52 (2) | 13 (5) | 19 (4) | 18 (5) | 34 (5) | 16 (6) | 51 (4) | 20 (5) | - | 23 | 22 | - | 8 | 25 | 22 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Onlyfoolsrushinb 3y 5 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 14 (6) | 15 (6) | 28 (1) | 19 (4) | 17 (6) | 17 (5) | 16 (5) | 31 (5) | - | - | 18 | 23 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Hazelgrove Parisb 3y 16 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 24 (2) | 45 (5) | 35 (5) | 26 (2) | 23 (2) | 18 (5) | 19 (5) | 22 (3) | 17 (6) | 18 (6) | 13 | 20 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 22 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Clay Kimeyd 3y 13 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 21 (3) | 31 (5) | 44 (3) | 57 (1) | 57 (1) | 40 (3) | 52 (2) | 56 (1) | 21 (3) | 19 (5) | 25 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Jaxleg Jessb 5y 14 | B Heaton — 15% R223 W34 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 40 (5) | 21 (3) | 23 (3) | 21 (3) | 23 (3) | 15 (6) | 21 (4) | 22 (3) | 19 (5) | 18 (6) | 19 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 24 | 23 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kilgarran Rickeyd 3y 3 | J S Atkins — 15% R279 W42 P143 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 41 (4) | 53 (4) | 53 (3) | 16 (5) | 18 (6) | 20 (4) | 24 (2) | 21 (6) | 25 (4) | - | 11 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kilgarran Rickey | 16.90 | 17.37 | 16.78 | 54 | -0.12 | Handicap times flattered | |
| 1 | Mineola Bam Bam | 17.12 | 17.39 | 17.49 | 50 | +0.37 | 0 wins from 9 C&D | |
| 2 | Onlyfoolsrushin | 17.13 | 17.43 | 17.56 | 47 | +0.43 | Two straight sixths | |
| 3 | Hazelgrove Paris | 17.15 | 17.28 | 17.12 | 57 | -0.03 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Jaxleg Jess | 17.20 | 17.36 | 16.90 | 49 | -0.30 | Habitual placer | |
| 4 | Clay Kimey | 17.23 | 17.28 | 17.22 | 54 | -0.01 | Class dropper |
Kinsley's downhill slope decides these 268m dashes early, and D5 — the basement sprint grade — is a division of dogs who rarely win: every runner here except one arrives without a recent victory of any kind. From 1,452 runs at this grade trap 2 is the best box at 20.7% with trap 4 close behind, while trap 6 is the weakest — and unusually, the fastest-rated dog wins 21% of these, one of the more dependable signals at this level. That points to Hazelgrove Paris, the quickest in the field on the clock with the fastest recent trip time. Clay Kimey brings the best class credentials, dropping in from A8 company, while the rest are trying to prove that habitual placing can finally become winning.
The quickest dog in the field on the clock — and at this grade the fastest-rated runner wins more often than any draw does. She backed it up with the fastest recent time at the trip, 17.12, when second last week, and she has placed in three of her last five here. The honest caveat is that she has not won in nine course-and-distance tries — but in a race stuffed with dogs carrying the same baggage, the one with the most speed holds the best cards. Speed settles basement sprints down this hill.
Dropped to the basement grade after a spell in A8 company, where she won twice in the spring — comfortably the best class credentials in this line-up. Trap 4 is a strong box at D5, winning just over 20%, and she was third here last week on her first try at the grade. If the class translates to the sprint she is the one they all fear.
No wins from nine course-and-distance runs and mostly out of the frame, with his better efforts coming when the race unfolds in front of him — a late runner on precisely the wrong track for it. The recent figures offer little encouragement.
Lands the statistically best box at this grade but arrives with two straight sixth-place finishes and the weakest recent ratings in the field. A D5 win three starts back is the entire case for the defence — the draw is doing all the heavy lifting here.
Remarkably consistent — third after third after third — but no wins from ten course-and-distance runs is a flashing warning that she knows exactly where the line is and prefers not to get there first. Her quickest recent time came in a handicap with the benefit of a head start, so treat the clock with caution.
His best recent ratings came in handicaps where he enjoyed a head start, flattering both his times and his figures. He has never won a race, places rarely, and is drawn in the weakest box at this grade. Almost everything in the book argues against him.
Key insight: Trap 2 is the best box at D5 (20.7% from 251 runs) with trap 4 close at 20.3%, while trap 6 is weakest at 15.5%. The fastest-rated dog wins 21.2% at this grade — the most reliable single signal in the basement sprints.
T1:16.0% T2:20.7% T3:17.0% T4:20.3% T5:17.3% T6:15.5%
1,452 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 268m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 268m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (268m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 275m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Onlyfoolsrushin | 0.650 | 0.658 | — |
| 3 | Hazelgrove Paris | 0.645 | — | 0.649 |
| 4 | Clay Kimey | 0.645 | — | 0.637 |
| 5 | Jaxleg Jess | 0.648 | — | — |
| 6 | Kilgarran Rickey | 0.648 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.