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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Deecee Gracieb 2y 5 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 65 | 63 (3) | 60 (4) | 86 (1) | 60 (4) | 54 (6) | 41 (6) | 47 (5) | 84 (1) | 47 (1) | 40 (6) | 51 | 39 | 19 | 22 | 61 | 58 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Monroe Marleyd 2y 26 | J G Hurst — 17% R267 W46 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 49 | 65 (3) | 85 (1) | 49 (5) | 70 (2) | 82 (1) | 75 (2) | 77 (1) | 39 (5) | 56 (3) | 75 (1) | 35 | 48 | 26 | 47 | 68 | 45 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Grovenor Eeveeb 2y 24 | B Heaton — 15% R223 W34 P105 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 40 | 82 (1) | 64 (4) | 64 (3) | 38 (1) | 29 (3) | 19 (6) | - | - | - | - | 3 | 35 | 30 | 30 | 71 | 32 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Aghaburren Fused 4y 36 | I Zivkovic — 13% R588 W79 P277 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 56 | 50 (5) | 75 (2) | 56 (4) | 54 (3) | 74 (2) | 59 (5) | 55 (5) | 85 (1) | 67 (2) | 48 (5) | 36 | 26 | 40 | 23 | 62 | 41 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Killieford Negrid 4y 24 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 47 | 68 (2) | 63 (4) | 84 (1) | 51 (6) | 85 (1) | 67 (2) | 81 (1) | 52 (4) | 68 (3) | 71 (2) | 26 | 29 | 45 | 48 | 69 | 43 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deecee Gracie | 28.06 | 28.68 | 28.38 | 56 | +0.32 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Monroe Marley | 28.20 | 28.61 | 28.64 | 50 | +0.44 | 4 wins from 10 C&D | |
| 4 | Aghaburren Fuse | 28.24 | 28.64 | 28.80 | 47 | +0.56 | Placed 4 of last 5 | |
| 5 | Killieford Negri | 28.25 | 28.54 | 28.61 | 52 | +0.36 | Wrong box for style | |
| 3 | Grovenor Eevee | 28.65 | 28.65 | 28.45 | 46 | -0.20 | Won last week |
Kinsley's downhill charge to the first bend is a catapult for fast breakers, and at A3 grade (786 runs) trap 3 is the best box at 23.5% with trap 1 strong at 21.7%, while the wide boxes struggle — trap 5 wins just 12%. This five-runner heat has a clear shape: Grovenor Eevee owns explosive early speed and should be slung clear down the hill from the plum draw, with Deecee Gracie — the fastest dog in the field on the clock — hunting her down from the rail. Monroe Marley and Killieford Negri are the strong finishers, both proven course winners, but they need the leaders to come back to them. Eevee does her best work early and Gracie sustains hers longest — the final hundred metres should decide it between those two.
The fastest dog in the field on every measure of the clock — the best personal best at 28.06, the top raw speed figure and the best first-bend rating too. She won impressively at this grade three starts back with a huge career-best effort, and two handicap runs since have kept her race-fit without telling us anything new. Trap 1 is the second-best box at A3, winning 21.7%, and she breaks well enough to use it. With the speed to go with the leader down the hill and the engine to sustain it all the way home, she holds the strongest hand in a classy little race.
Explosive from the boxes — comfortably the sharpest early speed in this field — and she won at this grade here last week. A recent spin round this circuit was clocked at 28.00, faster than anyone in this line-up has gone lately, and she was mixing it in open-class company earlier in the summer. She lands trap 3, the best box at A3, and on a downhill track that slings fast breakers clear she will take beating on the front end. The caveats: a light course record, and a tendency to empty late if pressed — which the selection is precisely equipped to do.
Four wins from ten course-and-distance starts is the best course record in the race, and he placed third at this grade last week with recent efforts peaking very high indeed. He comes from off the pace, which is the one knock on this downhill circuit, but trainer Hurst's 24% strike rate and that course record keep him firmly on the shortlist.
Honest and reliable — placed in four of his last five at this grade — but only one win from nine course-and-distance runs says he keeps finding one too good at the finish. He breaks well enough to sit handy, and the middle draw is fair; the final furlong is where his races keep slipping away.
Three course-and-distance wins and placings galore, with recent efforts hitting real heights — his form figures at this grade are as good as anyone bar the course specialist. But he is a confirmed late runner drawn in trap 5, which wins just 12% at this grade, and on this downhill circuit that combination has buried better dogs than him.
Key insight: Trap 3 is the best box at A3 (23.5% from 162 runs) with trap 1 strong at 21.7%, while traps 5 and 6 collapse to about 12%. The top-rated dog wins 21.9% at this grade — one of the healthier figures at this tricky track.
T1:21.7% T2:18.7% T3:23.5% T4:17.0% T5:12.0% T6:12.1%
786 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Deecee Gracie | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Monroe Marley | 45 | 63 | Closer |
3Grovenor Eevee | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Aghaburren Fuse | 58 | 19 | Fader |
5Killieford Negri | 48 | 60 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 275m | 462m | 483m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deecee Gracie | 0.607 | — | 0.621 | — | — |
| 2 | Monroe Marley | — | — | 0.619 | — | — |
| 3 | Grovenor Eevee | 0.625 | 0.635 | 0.620 | 0.629 | — |
| 4 | Aghaburren Fuse | — | — | 0.620 | — | 0.618 |
| 5 | Killieford Negri | — | — | 0.618 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.