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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Swift Remid 2y 23 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 42 | 39 (6) | 43 (6) | 35 (3) | 79 (1) | 72 (2) | 45 (6) | 62 (2) | 63 (3) | 61 (2) | 55 (4) | 32 | 37 | 34 | 32 | 56 | 38 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hazelgrove Duskb 2y 15 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 35 | 70 (2) | 70 (2) | 76 (1) | 80 (1) | 51 (5) | 76 (1) | 57 (3) | 76 (1) | 63 (2) | - | 27 | 28 | 37 | 53 | 70 | 43 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Thunder Runb 2y 7 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 54 | 80 (1) | 42 (6) | 75 (1) | 52 (5) | 60 (4) | 50 (5) | 61 (3) | 54 (4) | 66 (3) | 58 (4) | 35 | 39 | 21 | 33 | 61 | 50 | 2 | 13/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Lochd 2y 14 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 49 | 59 (4) | 78 (1) | 60 (3) | 64 (2) | 44 (5) | 54 (4) | 40 (6) | 48 (4) | 45 (5) | 66 (2) | 26 | 35 | 9 | 24 | 58 | 43 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Da Man Joeyd 3y 9 | M N May — 23% R222 W50 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 51 | 78 (1) | 69 (2) | 56 (4) | 64 (3) | 53 (5) | 63 (3) | 80 (1) | 59 (3) | 51 (6) | 77 (1) | 48 | 30 | 16 | 34 | 66 | 55 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hazelgrove Pearlb 2y 17 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 55 | 53 (5) | 76 (1) | 76 (1) | 56 (4) | 44 (5) | 66 (2) | 64 (2) | 74 (1) | 74 (1) | 73 (1) | 45 | 40 | 32 | 54 | 64 | 48 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Swift Loch | 28.13 | 28.80 | 28.70 | 48 | +0.57 | Fastest best time | |
| 5 | Da Man Joey | 28.20 | 28.60 | 27.80 | 61 | -0.40 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Thunder Run | 28.36 | 28.78 | 28.26 | 53 | -0.10 | Won last week | |
| 6 | Hazelgrove Pearl | 28.41 | 28.72 | 28.59 | 48 | +0.18 | 5 wins from 10 C&D | |
| 1 | Swift Remi | 28.42 | 28.69 | 28.88 | 44 | +0.46 | Cold form | |
| 2 | Hazelgrove Dusk | 28.44 | 28.58 | 28.43 | 53 | -0.01 | 4 wins from 10 C&D |
Kinsley's downhill run to the first bend hands the advantage to dogs who break sharply, and it shapes every race over this 462m trip. At A4 grade (1,847 runs) trap 3 is the best box at 20.6% while trap 1 collapses to 11.7% — a rough deal for Swift Remi on the rail, and trap 5 at 14.1% is no gift either. There is no runaway leader in this field, but Thunder Run and Hazelgrove Pearl race prominently and should dispute the early running down the hill. The clock, though, points one way: Da Man Joey ran 27.80 to win last week — comfortably the fastest recent time in this field — and in a race without a dominant front runner, the fastest dog with a strong finish can reel them in over the full trip.
The fastest dog in the race, full stop. He clocked a scorching 27.80 to win in A5 last week — no rival here has been within half a second of that lately — and he is the top-rated runner in the field on raw speed, with 3 wins from 9 course-and-distance starts behind him. The knocks are real: he saves his best for the closing stages and trap 5 wins only 14% at this grade. But there is no runaway front runner in this line-up to steal an unassailable lead, and over the full 462m his class on the clock should simply be too much.
Won here at this grade last week with a career-best effort, clocking 28.26, and he lands trap 3, the best box at A4, winning over one in five. He races handily rather than needing luck from behind, and a 29% career strike rate says he takes his chances. The one in front of the pick early — and the hardest to get past.
Two straight sixth-place finishes and now drawn in trap 1, which wins under 12% at this grade — the worst box on the track at A4. He had a purple patch in the spring with a win and a second, but the current form is stone cold and the draw compounds it.
The most consistent dog in the race — 4 wins and 7 places from 10 course-and-distance starts, runner-up in each of his last two with ratings in the seventies throughout. The catch is his style: he does his best work late on a track that flatters those in front. Likely to be in the frame again; whether he gets there first depends on the leaders tiring.
Owns the fastest personal best in the field at 28.13 and won in A5 company two starts back, but he was well held on his step back up last week and needs to reproduce his peak to trouble the principals. The middle draw is fair at this grade.
Five wins from ten course-and-distance runs is the best strike rate in the race, and she was winning at this grade only two starts back with ratings in the mid-seventies. A faded effort last week takes some gloss off, but she breaks well, races handily and knows the way round here better than most.
Key insight: Trap 3 leads at 20.6% from 311 runs while trap 1 wins just 11.7% from 231. The top-rated dog wins only 17.6% at A4 here, so pace shape and the clock matter more than the raw figures — and one dog holds a clear edge on the clock today.
T1:11.7% T2:17.1% T3:20.6% T4:19.0% T5:14.1% T6:16.3%
1,847 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Swift Remi | 50 | 49 | All-Rounder |
2Hazelgrove Dusk | 35 | 83 | Closer |
3Thunder Run | 51 | 51 | All-Rounder |
4Swift Loch | 50 | 48 | All-Rounder |
5Da Man Joey | 45 | 68 | Closer |
6Hazelgrove Pearl | 54 | 40 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swift Remi | 0.619 | 0.621 |
| 2 | Hazelgrove Dusk | — | 0.619 |
| 3 | Thunder Run | — | 0.623 |
| 4 | Swift Loch | — | 0.623 |
| 5 | Da Man Joey | 0.627 | 0.619 |
| 6 | Hazelgrove Pearl | — | 0.622 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.