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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Velardid 2y 24 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 54 | 76 (2) | 42 (6) | 36 (2) | 80 (1) | 25 (5) | 63 (2) | 42 (1) | 42 (5) | 75 (1) | 33 (4) | 31 | 50 | 33 | 42 | 63 | 44 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Jellab 1y 35 | D E Fradgley — 22% R106 W23 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 53 | 65 (5) | 80 (1) | 73 (4) | 47 (4) | 29 (4) | 42 (1) | 66 (4) | 68 (4) | 32 (5) | 80 (1) | 31 | 52 | 60 | 37 | 65 | 45 | 1 | 9/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Hazelgrove Dawnb 2y 24 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 45 | 63 (3) | 59 (5) | 62 (2) | 27 (4) | 26 (5) | 54 (5) | 69 (6) | 84 (3) | 59 (1) | - | 14 | 48 | 31 | 26 | 63 | 38 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Grantstown Roadd 2y 27 | T D Coote — 19% R521 W97 P280 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 53 | 62 (4) | 64 (3) | 52 (4) | 80 (1) | 64 (3) | 51 (5) | 58 (3) | 80 (1) | 65 (3) | 42 (6) | 32 | 42 | 33 | 22 | 62 | 41 | 4 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Deecee Phoenixb 3y 15 | W M Lyons — 18% R942 W168 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 49 | 53 (6) | 81 (1) | 57 (3) | 64 (2) | 62 (2) | 37 (1) | 49 (3) | 76 (1) | 74 (1) | - | 27 | 41 | 37 | 46 | 64 | 44 | 5 | 11/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Ecologyb 2y 17 | J Robinson — 19% R288 W54 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 40 | 80 (1) | 68 (2) | 75 (2) | 73 (2) | 67 (3) | 58 (5) | 75 (2) | 66 (3) | 76 (2) | 78 (2) | 39 | 38 | 37 | 46 | 72 | 51 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hazelgrove Dawn | 28.29 | 28.60 | 28.62 | 50 | +0.33 | 1 win from 7 C&D | |
| 5 | Deecee Phoenix | 28.30 | 28.70 | 28.70 | 47 | +0.40 | Wrong box for style | |
| 6 | Swift Ecology | 28.32 | 28.47 | 28.36 | 57 | +0.04 | Won last time | |
| 4 | Grantstown Road | 28.34 | 28.67 | 28.65 | 47 | +0.31 | 2 wins from 10 | |
| 1 | Velardi | 28.37 | 28.70 | 28.46 | 49 | +0.09 | Career-best last run | |
| 2 | Jella | 28.38 | 28.49 | 28.32 | 57 | -0.06 | Model pick |
Kinsley's downhill run to the first bend gives fast starters a flying head start, and it still shapes the race over the standard 462m trip. At A4 grade (1,847 runs) trap 3 is the best box at 20.6% while trap 1 collapses to just 11.7% — the rail is no friend at this grade. Jella is the fastest breaker in the race by a wide margin and should be slung clear down the hill from trap 2; Grantstown Road and Hazelgrove Dawn will be scrapping for the middle, while Swift Ecology and Deecee Phoenix — the two strongest finishers — need the leaders to tire. The longer trip gives the closers more time than in the sprints, but front runners still call the tune here.
The fastest starter in the race by a distance and joint-quickest on raw speed. Won at this grade here two starts back and then held her own in open company at Doncaster. With Kinsley's downhill catapult to the first bend she should be several lengths clear before the strong finishers get organised, and she owns 2 wins from 4 course-and-distance starts. The one drawback is a habit of tiring late — over 462m she needs the flying start to stick.
Clearly the class act on recent form — won here at this grade last week with the best rating in this field, and he has placed in 7 of his 10 course-and-distance starts. The catch is he finishes fast rather than breaking fast, and Kinsley's downhill start hands the advantage to the speedsters. If Jella falters on the front end he is the one who profits.
Ran a career-best rating when second in stronger A3 company last week and owns 2 wins from 6 course-and-distance starts, so the ability is current. The trouble is the draw: trap 1 wins under 12% at this grade here — historically the worst box on the track at A4 — and he is not quick enough away to escape the early scrimmaging.
Placed third in stronger A3 company last week, so she arrives in decent heart, and she lands the statistically best box at this grade. The snag is her running style — she does her best work late, and one win from seven course-and-distance tries suggests this downhill circuit rarely lets her finish into it.
A versatile sort with 10 course-and-distance runs under his belt and solid recent efforts in A3 company without winning. He races handily, which helps here, but 2 wins from those 10 course starts tells you he usually finds one or two too good at this level.
Won at this grade three starts back and produced a career-best rating recently, so there is ability here. But he saves his run for the closing stages, and trap 5 wins only 14% at this grade — a poor launching pad for a dog who needs everything to unfold in front of him.
Key insight: Trap 3 leads at 20.6% from 311 runs while trap 1 wins just 11.7% from 231 — the rail is the worst draw at A4. The top-rated dog wins only 17.6% at this grade, barely better than the second-rated, so the ratings alone settle nothing here.
T1:11.7% T2:17.1% T3:20.6% T4:19.0% T5:14.1% T6:16.3%
1,847 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Velardi | 55 | 40 | Fader |
2Jella | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Hazelgrove Dawn | 47 | 61 | Closer |
4Grantstown Road | 53 | 40 | All-Rounder |
5Deecee Phoenix | 44 | 60 | Closer |
6Swift Ecology | 42 | 73 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 275m | 280m | 450m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velardi | 0.618 | — | — | — | 0.621 |
| 2 | Jella | 0.622 | 0.634 | 0.596 | 0.633 | 0.617 |
| 3 | Hazelgrove Dawn | 0.629 | — | — | — | 0.619 |
| 4 | Grantstown Road | — | — | — | — | 0.621 |
| 5 | Deecee Phoenix | 0.618 | — | — | — | 0.621 |
| 6 | Swift Ecology | — | — | — | — | 0.616 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.