| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Zanzibarb 3y 14 | P A Curtin — 17% R295 W50 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 24 (6) | 19 (2) | 28 (6) | 16 (2) | 31 (5) | 15 (1) | 31 (5) | 26 (1) | 25 (2) | - | 34 | 29 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 5 | 3/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Vixons Arielb 2y 16 | G A Griffiths — 20% R163 W32 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 52 | 27 (6) | 26 (6) | 19 (6) | 49 (2) | 38 (4) | 48 (1) | 36 (3) | 32 (1) | 28 (2) | 34 (4) | 28 | 46 | 29 | 37 | 30 | 32 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Rhyming Ellab 3y 4 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 24 (3) | 29 (1) | 25 (3) | 30 (1) | 61 (5) | 27 (3) | 18 (2) | 20 (5) | 31 (5) | - | 41 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 22 | 26 | 6 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Winterfield Dotb 2y 28 | C Jones — 13% R307 W39 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 48 | 40 (2) | 35 (2) | 21 (2) | 29 (4) | 25 (5) | 40 (3) | 26 (6) | 38 (2) | - | - | 37 | 37 | 30 | 34 | 26 | 30 | 3 | 10/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ My Premiercountyd 2y 5 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 20 (6) | 22 (4) | 28 (3) | 81 (3) | 27 (3) | 30 (1) | 74 (4) | 22 (4) | 23 (4) | 18 (5) | 20 | 30 | 34 | 30 | 41 | 36 | 1 | 6/4F | |
| 6 | ▶ Pennys Shadowb 5y 13 | P A Curtin — 17% R295 W50 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 20 (6) | 24 (2) | 20 (6) | 31 (1) | 22 (4) | 22 (4) | 21 (1) | 29 (5) | 19 (1) | - | 41 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 25 | 29 | 4 | 4/1 | |
My Premiercounty is the class standout with P41 — 11 points ahead of the second-best (Vixons Ariel, P30). At D4 level, that's a substantial class advantage that should tell. He has no pace profile data (EP 0, CS 0, None) which makes his sprint dynamics unknown — a genuine risk factor. Drawn T5 at 18.8% — the third-best trap in D4. Speed 48 is mid-range, below Vixons Ariel's 56 — the speed deficit is the main concern at sprint distance where raw speed matters more than at 480m. CD form from four Monmore 264m starts (3,3,1,4) includes a win — he's proven he can sprint at this venue. Suitability is moderate: track 30, distance 30, trap 20, class 34 (mean 28). Trainer Marston at 20% and 20.6% from 34 D3-level runs is a solid signal. The form trajectory (22→14→13→23→18) is flat-to-improving from a low base. The case for My Premiercounty rests on the class override — P41 in a D4 field is running well below his ability level. The speed deficit to Vixons Ariel (48 vs 56) is a concern, but performance rating captures overall ability including dimensions beyond raw sprint speed. His CD win from T5 specifically proves the draw isn't a barrier. The Marston trainer signal and the class gap are the decisive factors.
DANGER: Best speed in the field (56) which is the most important factor at 264m sprint distance. CD form includes a Monmore 264m win. P30 is second-best. The Closer profile at 264m is a structural risk but she's proven she can overcome it here. If she breaks faster than her Closer label suggests, she's the main threat to the pick.
Outstanding CD form — 1,2,2,4,1,3 at Monmore 264m with an 83% placed rate is the best venue record in the field. Second-best trap (T1, 19.6%). But P26 is 15 points behind the class standout, and the flat form trajectory (21-26 range) shows she hasn't improved. The CD form makes her a place contender but the class gap favours the pick.
Worst trap (T3, 13.8%) and lowest performance (P22) with a CD form in clear decline (6,5,5 in last three Monmore 264m starts after earlier wins). The data emphatically does not support this runner. Oppose.
The likely leader through the bend with EP 51 and pace cons 96 — the most predictable runner in the field. CD form includes a Monmore 264m win. All-Rounder profile sustains rather than fades. But P26 is 15 behind the pick and T4 at 16.7% is below average. An each-way contender from the front but the class gap makes the win difficult.
Best trap (T6, 21.1%) and second-best speed (53) are strong structural assets. Early CD form (2,2,2,1) was outstanding but the last two (5,5) show decline. Improving overall form (30 last time is a PB this sequence). An each-way contender from the best draw but the 16-point class gap to the pick limits her to a place fight.
1,939 runs. T6 (21.1%) and T1 (19.6%) best traps. T3 worst at 13.8%. Speed R1 25.6% — decisive at sprint distance. V3 Tier 3 wins 26.4% (129r) — high for a Tier 3 profile. Marston 20% from 34r. Curtin 18.6% from 43r.
T1:19.6% T2:17.5% T3:13.8% T4:16.7% T5:18.8% T6:21.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.