| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Winterfield Jackd 4y 24 | C Jones — 13% R307 W39 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 47 | 36 (3) | 30 (6) | 44 (4) | 36 (1) | 32 (3) | 36 (2) | 37 (3) | 41 (3) | 32 (2) | - | 34 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 35 | 33 | 1 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Stormy Bonitob 2y 7 | J B Thompson — 19% R518 W97 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 56 | 20 (6) | 39 (2) | 40 (2) | 31 (4) | 34 (4) | 36 (4) | 47 (1) | 30 (5) | 31 (4) | 23 (5) | 6 | 19 | 17 | 19 | 33 | 27 | 5 | 6/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Whats Up Macd 3y 5 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 53 | 31 (4) | 28 (5) | 46 (1) | 25 (5) | 30 (5) | 30 (4) | 32 (4) | 26 (6) | 32 (4) | 22 (6) | 38 | 30 | 23 | 25 | 34 | 33 | 2 | 11/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Straight Fired 4y 12 | C S Fereday — 19% R454 W85 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 46 | 38 (2) | 30 (4) | 26 (4) | 30 (4) | 40 (2) | 33 (3) | 30 (4) | 26 (5) | 22 (6) | 42 (2) | 28 | 22 | 24 | 20 | 32 | 29 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Betrayld 2y 13 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 48 | 36 (2) | 47 (1) | 34 (5) | 38 (3) | 47 (1) | 39 (2) | 20 (6) | 37 (3) | 32 (5) | 44 (2) | 18 | 30 | 32 | 24 | 31 | 29 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Road Runner Loub 3y 23 | C S Fereday — 19% R454 W85 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 54 | 47 (6) | 36 (1) | 28 (2) | 23 (5) | 21 (6) | 33 (6) | 37 (4) | 25 (4) | 31 (3) | - | 28 | 11 | - | 11 | 29 | 25 | 6 | 9/2 | |
Winterfield Jack is the pick in this weak but tactically interesting A10 contest. He's a Closer (CS 70, pace cons 87) drawn in T1 — the best trap at 22.2% from 153 runs in Monmore 480m A10. His performance P35 is the highest in the field, and his form trajectory (40→19→29→45→47) shows a clear improving trend — the last two figures of 45 and 47 are his best recent runs, suggesting he's hitting form at the right time. Speed 54 is the joint-best in the field alongside Road Runner Lou's 50 (actually the outright best). CD form of 2,3,4,3,4,2 from six Monmore 480m starts shows three placed efforts (two 2nds and a 3rd) — he's consistently competitive here without dominating. Suitability is moderate: track 26, distance 26, trap 34, class 24 (mean 28). Trainer Jones at 10% is below threshold, which is the main negative. But in a field where the performance gap is minimal (P35 vs field average P32), the structural advantages of T1 draw, improving form, and a Closer profile in a Fader-led race are decisive. The rail saves ground through all four bends, and with the two Faders weakening ahead of him, he'll close into the frame. The improving trajectory (29→45→47 in last three) suggests he could find another personal best here.
DANGER: The most consistent runner at Monmore 480m — CD form of three consecutive 3rds plus a win proves he always finds the frame here. Best pace consistency (89) and All-Rounder profile suit the fair track. Declining form trajectory (47→37→18→26→26) is a concern but the CD evidence overrides the headline numbers.
Best early pace (EP 60, bend 56) and Thompson's 22% trainer edge are the positives. But CS 21 means he fades, last two perfs of 12 and 13 are dire, and suitability mean 15 is worst in the field. Will lead through the first two bends then weaken sharply. One to oppose.
Reliable Closer (CS 62, pace cons 92) but the slowest dog in the field (speed 43) by a wide margin. The consistency ensures he'll run his race but at 11 speed points behind the leader, he'll close into places at best rather than the win. Mid-division finisher.
Improving form trajectory (18→23→42→47→39) is encouraging but CD form (one placing from five Monmore 480m starts) and poor trap suitability (18 at T5) suggest this venue doesn't suit him. The structural negatives outweigh the improving trend.
The data strongly argues against Road Runner Lou in this race. Worst suitability (mean 12), worst trap (T6, 16.3%), no CD form (zero placings from five starts), and lowest joint-performance (P29). The Fader profile from the outside draw at a fair 480m track is a structural mismatch. Confidently oppose.
1,488 runs. T1 22.2% and T2 20.7% dominate. Speed R1 23.7%. Very tight field (P29-35) means structural factors will decide. Two Faders up front will weaken, setting up the closers.
T1:22.2% T2:20.7% T3:17.5% T4:18.4% T5:16.5% T6:16.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Winterfield Jack | 46 | 70 | Closer |
2Stormy Bonito | 60 | 21 | Fader |
3Whats Up Mac | 49 | 51 | All-Rounder |
4Straight Fire | 46 | 62 | Closer |
5Betrayl | 51 | 49 | All-Rounder |
6Road Runner Lou | 55 | 44 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.