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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Vixons Ricchezzed 1y 26 | J B Thompson — 19% R515 W100 P281 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 50 | 77 (4) | 47 (1) | 49 (6) | 77 (2) | 87 (2) | 45 (1) | 37 (3) | 37 (1) | 32 (2) | 28 (5) | 72 | 55 | - | 78 | 33 | 45 | 1 | 1/1F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Clutchinatstrawsb 3y 16 | K Billingham-hine — 18% R605 W109 P343 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 64 (2) | 69 (1) | 43 (5) | 59 (2) | 53 (3) | 30 (3) | 37 (2) | 37 (1) | 28 (2) | 60 (2) | 41 | 36 | 18 | 60 | 42 | 43 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Zood 3y 15 | K Billingham-hine — 18% R605 W109 P343 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 48 (6) | 64 (5) | 77 (2) | 32 (2) | 65 (5) | 33 (5) | 43 (1) | 30 (4) | 36 (2) | 36 (1) | 54 | 34 | 23 | 35 | 34 | 36 | 3 | 7/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Cashed Iritab 2yN/R 13 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R325 W46 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 27 (4) | 19 (6) | 30 (3) | 36 (1) | 18 (5) | 30 (2) | 24 (4) | 28 (4) | 36 (1) | 22 (4) | 26 | 44 | - | 47 | 28 | 32 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Elderberry Sydd 4y 14 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R325 W46 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | - | 29 (3) | 32 (1) | 26 (3) | 24 (4) | 26 (4) | 23 (4) | 27 (2) | 26 (3) | 25 (4) | 26 (4) | 46 | 39 | 26 | 39 | 29 | 33 | 4 | 9/1 | - | |
Vixons Ricchezze is the standout pick in this sprint on multiple converging factors. She's drawn T1 — the best trap at 21.2% from 113 runs in Monmore 264m D2 — on the rail where she'll save ground through the single bend. She's an All-Rounder (EP 50, CS 29, pace cons 78) which is the optimal pace profile for a 264m sprint — enough early pace to get forward, enough consistency to hold position. Her suitability profile is exceptional: track 55, distance 78, trap 72, class 0 for a mean of 51 — distance suitability of 78 is extraordinary, confirming she's a sprint specialist who thrives at this trip. Her CD form at Monmore 264m is outstanding: 1,2,1,1 from four starts — three wins and a second. That's a 75% win rate and 100% placed rate at this specific venue and distance. Trainer Thompson at 22% overall and 26.9% from 26 D2 runs is the standout trainer in these conditions — a strong-tier signal. Speed 54 is the joint-best in the field. The raw performance P33 looks modest but at sprint distances, suitability and CD form are far more predictive than the overall performance rating which is influenced by longer-trip data. Everything aligns: best trap, best CD form, best suitability, best trainer in conditions, proven sprint specialist.
DANGER: Best performance in the field (P42) and outstanding CD form (2,1,2,1 — 100% placed from four Monmore 264m starts). The Closer profile at 264m should be a negative but the CD evidence proves she closes effectively at this specific venue/distance. The main threat to the pick.
Best raw speed (56) in the field and some CD form (a win, two seconds from six starts) but no pace profile data makes him an unpredictable wildcard. T3 at 15.0% is below average. Could feature if he breaks well but impossible to pick with confidence ahead of the proven CD specialists.
Low performance (P28) and speed (39) in a sprint where raw pace matters most. No pace profile data and inconsistent CD form (3,1,5,2,4,4). Unlikely to threaten the principals despite reasonable T5 draw (18.8%).
The most intriguing contradiction in the race: three Monmore 264m wins from six starts despite the field's lowest speed (38) and below-average performance (P29). Something about this specific venue/distance suits him that the numbers don't show. But the raw speed and performance gaps to T1 and T2 are too wide to justify a pick.
676 runs. T1 (21.2%) and T2 (20.9%) clearly the best draws. T4 worst at 9.0% (vacant here). Bend R2 oddly high at 22.6% — bend accuracy less important than raw EP at sprint distances. Thompson 26.9% from 26 runs is the standout trainer. V3 Tier 2 (All-Rounders) win 20.8% from 212 runs.
T1:21.2% T2:20.9% T3:15.0% T4:9.0% T5:18.8% T6:17.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 264m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (264m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vixons Ricchezze | 0.595 | 0.627 |
| 2 | Clutchinatstraws | 0.600 | 0.608 |
| 3 | Swift Zoo | 0.599 | — |
| 6 | Elderberry Syd | 0.609 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.