Droopys Moose is the class act of this race with P64 — 17 points ahead of the second-best runner and 30+ above the field average. This is another strong class override scenario. He's an extreme Closer (CS 100, EP 0, pace cons 0) drawn T4 at 18.4%. His form trajectory is volatile but includes multiple peaks: 77→35→60→15→57, with a 77 and a 60 in his last five — when he fires he's running at a completely different level to this A10 field. Speed 48 is mid-range — below Hitthelids Lolly's 53 — which means he's not the fastest closer but the raw performance gap compensates. The main concern is the complete absence of Monmore CD form — no runs at this venue/distance at all. His suitability reflects this: track 43, distance 15, trap 27, class 0 (mean 21). Distance suitability of 15 is low, and track suitability 43 may come from shorter-distance Monmore runs rather than 480m. Trainer Marston at 20% is decent. The risk is straightforward: an untested dog at a new venue/distance can sometimes underperform despite superior ability. But P64 in an A10 field is such an enormous class advantage that even a below-par run (say a 35 — his worst recent figure) would still be competitive. The volatile form means he could run a 15 again, in which case Hitthelids Lolly inherits. But the probability-weighted expectation — given three of his last five runs are at 57-77 — strongly favours him.