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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Race With Belleb 5y 35 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R609 W113 P343 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 15 (6) | 21 (5) | 25 (4) | 33 (1) | 36 (1) | 23 (5) | 31 (1) | 23 (4) | 31 (1) | 22 (4) | 43 | 34 | 7 | 41 | 25 | 30 | 5 | 14/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Epic Susieb 2y 15 | M J Russell — 14% R179 W25 P91 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 37 (1) | 33 (1) | 19 (6) | 25 (3) | 32 (1) | 14 (5) | 28 (4) | 32 (1) | 19 (6) | 28 (5) | 47 | 55 | 40 | 48 | 29 | 36 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Stouke Salahd 5y 13 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 55 | 24 (4) | 27 (4) | 69 (4) | 29 (3) | 72 (4) | 28 (4) | 59 (5) | 36 (1) | 29 (4) | 28 (5) | 42 | 34 | 32 | 55 | 29 | 34 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Mottee Graceb 2y 24 | C D Marston — 15% R452 W67 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 27 (2) | 19 (6) | 28 (3) | 32 (1) | 23 (6) | 21 (3) | 22 (5) | 32 (3) | 91 (2) | 100 (1) | 66 | 42 | 32 | 42 | 56 | 54 | 1 | 5/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Bits And Bobsd 3y 33 | M J Russell — 14% R179 W25 P91 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 45 | 31 (6) | 68 (1) | 59 (1) | 28 (3) | 27 (3) | 30 (3) | 32 (1) | 27 (3) | 27 (2) | 27 (5) | 39 | 37 | - | 34 | 25 | 29 | 6 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Titanium Annieb 3y 4 | C S Fereday — 19% R454 W85 P228 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 28 (2) | 20 (6) | 19 (6) | 19 (5) | 32 (1) | 29 (2) | 27 (3) | 26 (4) | 36 (1) | 25 (5) | 39 | 37 | 34 | 42 | 29 | 33 | 4 | 5/2 | |
Mottee Grace is the dominant class act of this race with P56 — a staggering 27 points ahead of the next best runner. This is the most extreme class override on the entire Monmore card. At D3 grade with P56, she's running well below her ability level. She has no recorded pace profile (EP 0, CS 0, None) meaning we don't know her sprint dynamics — but at this performance level, pace profile is secondary to raw ability. Suitability is strong: track 42, distance 42, trap 66, class 32 (mean 46). Trap suitability of 66 for T4 is exceptional, overriding the poor aggregate T4 win rate of 14.7%. CD form from three Monmore 264m starts (3,6,4) is mixed — no wins at this venue/distance specifically, which is the only genuine concern. However, the limited CD sample (three runs) makes it hard to draw firm conclusions, and the class gap is so enormous that venue familiarity is a secondary factor. Form trajectory (32→36→35→32→26) is flat but the consistent mid-30s level represents her baseline — the P56 comes from her overall career average which includes higher peaks. Speed 51 is strong. Trainer Marston at 20% and 20.6% from 34 D3 runs is a solid signal.
DANGER: Best suitability in the field (mean 48) with two Monmore 264m wins. Joint-best speed (52). The early CD form (1,2,1) is excellent but the last two (6,5) raise concerns about recent decline. If she reverts to her earlier form, she's the main threat to the pick.
Best trap draw (T1, 22.5%) provides some structural support but P25 is 31 points behind the field leader. The one CD win is against a pattern of 4th-5th finishes. Insufficient ability to compete with the class act in this field.
Three Monmore 264m wins from five starts is an excellent sprint record. Fader profile is less concerning at 264m than at 480m. But P29 is 27 behind Mottee Grace — the class gap is too large despite the proven CD form. Would be a pick in a weaker field but faces an exceptional class opponent.
Closer profile at 264m is a fundamental structural mismatch — sprints don't allow closing runs. One placing (2nd) from six Monmore 264m starts confirms the pattern. Joint-best speed is irrelevant if she can't get into position to use it. Hard to see a path to the frame.
Two Monmore 264m wins and the second-best trap (T6, 19.1%) make her a live each-way contender. But the 27-point performance gap to Mottee Grace is insurmountable for the win. Will be fighting for minor places.
1,325 runs. T1 (22.5%) and T6 (19.1%) best traps. T4 worst at 14.7%. Marston 20.6% from 34 runs is a top trainer. Speed R1 21.1%. Most runners lack pace data — suitability and class become primary factors.
T1:22.5% T2:15.1% T3:19.2% T4:14.7% T5:15.2% T6:19.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.