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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Blessed Starb 1y 14 | C S Fereday — 18% R466 W86 P233 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 43 | 46 (3) | 52 (1) | 38 (2) | 44 (3) | 34 (6) | 32 (5) | - | - | - | - | 20 | 32 | - | 20 | 37 | 32 | 2 | 2/1F | |
| 2 | ▶ Coppice Annieb 3y 45 | M J Russell — 14% R175 W25 P90 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 52 | 22 (5) | 33 (5) | 35 (4) | 41 (2) | 39 (4) | 44 (4) | 47 (2) | 51 (2) | 43 (6) | 48 (2) | 39 | 39 | 37 | 37 | 43 | 41 | 1 | 9/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Black Scorpiond 3y 16 | C Jones — 12% R309 W38 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 60 | 27 (6) | 37 (5) | 41 (4) | 45 (1) | 56 (4) | 39 (1) | 41 (5) | 33 (3) | 45 (6) | - | 40 | 14 | - | 32 | 47 | 41 | 4 | 3/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Jollyd 2y 5 | M Shaw — 6% R31 W2 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 47 (4) | 42 (3) | 63 (1) | 44 (4) | 43 (4) | 58 (1) | 49 (1) | 40 (3) | 44 (2) | 36 (5) | 53 | 50 | - | 32 | 39 | 41 | 5 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Yama Sweetieb 2y 25 | C S Fereday — 18% R466 W86 P233 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 59 | 30 (4) | 43 (2) | 55 (5) | 42 (2) | 37 (2) | 43 (2) | 48 (1) | 32 (3) | 40 (3) | 30 (6) | 40 | 48 | 25 | 39 | 37 | 39 | 6 | 10/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Not A Lotb 2y 6 | P A Curtin — 17% R300 W51 P170 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 35 | 36 (3) | 40 (3) | 52 (6) | 33 (5) | 86 (1) | 65 (4) | 53 (5) | 30 (4) | 81 (2) | 84 (1) | 40 | 48 | - | 28 | 54 | 49 | 3 | 7/1 | |
Coppice Annie is the clear pick here on consistency, profile match, and suitability. She's an All-Rounder (EP 52, CS 48, pace cons 83) — the most sustainable pace profile in a field dominated by Faders and Closers. Her performance trajectory is solid: 43→48→28→33→48, with the latest 48 showing a return to her best level after a mid-sequence dip. At Monmore 480m — a fair track that doesn't punish any running style — the All-Rounder profile is ideal because she can sit behind the pace and sustain her effort without needing to come from last. Suitability is strong across the board: track 39, distance 37, trap 39, class 37 for a mean of 38 — comfortably the best in the field alongside Yama Sweetie. Her CD form of 2,4,4,2,2,6 shows four top-4 finishes from six Monmore 480m runs, with two seconds — she knows the track and distance combination well. Speed 55 is joint-highest in the field with Blessed Star. Trainer Russell at 16% is moderate but adequate. The combination of top suitability, consistent All-Rounder profile, strong CD record, and the best recent form figure (48) makes her the most reliable selection in a tactical race where the Faders will weaken.
DANGER: Rail draw + Fereday's 28.1% A9 record + closing profile give her a route into the race. Recent form is atrocious (five sub-35 perfs) but the structural advantages — T1, best trainer, closing into Fader-heavy field — make her impossible to dismiss entirely.
The early pace (EP 78, bend 60) is spectacular but CS 0 and pace consistency 44 mean he'll lead and fade. CD form 3,6,4,4,3 with no Monmore 480m wins confirms the pattern. Expect to see him in front through bend 2, then weakening through bends 3 and 4. One to oppose despite the eye-catching splits.
Decent suitability profile (mean 34, track 50) but declining form trajectory (latest 36) and poor CD form (one placing from six Monmore 480m runs) undermine the case. A mid-division finisher who lacks the closing speed or consistency to threaten the principals.
Strong CD form (three recent Monmore wins) and joint-best suitability (mean 38) are genuine positives. But speed 42 is significantly below the field, the Fader profile (CS 16) will weaken late, and she's drawn in the worst trap (T5, 16.2%). The CD form keeps her honest but the speed deficit is hard to ignore.
Best performance in the field (54) by a clear margin with Curtin at 25% — but 6,6,6 in three Monmore 480m starts is damning evidence that this extreme Closer profile (EP 0, CS 100) doesn't translate to results at this venue. The class override is tempting given the performance gap but the venue-specific evidence overrides it.
1,420 runs. Very fair trap spread — T1 marginally best at 21.9% but no dominant box. Speed R1 wins 22.5%. C S Fereday is the standout trainer at 28.1% from 32 runs. V3 Tier 1 wins 27.2% — front-runners have an edge but not dominant.
T1:21.9% T2:16.5% T3:20.2% T4:17.0% T5:16.2% T6:18.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Blessed Star | 45 | 64 | Closer |
2Coppice Annie | 52 | 48 | All-Rounder |
3Black Scorpion | 78 | 0 | Fader |
4Swift Jolly | 48 | 52 | All-Rounder |
5Yama Sweetie | 56 | 16 | Fader |
6Not A Lot | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.