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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salacres Amarab 2y 17 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 58 | 68 (3) | 75 (2) | 53 (6) | 72 (3) | 68 (3) | 80 (1) | 45 (1) | 40 (2) | 38 (1) | 29 (3) | 64 | 50 | - | 49 | 37 | 43 | 2 | 9/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballygogue Jetd 3y 36 | A Welch — 15% R317 W47 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 13 | 58 (2) | 60 (3) | 49 (5) | 37 (6) | 35 (2) | 65 (6) | 63 (5) | - | - | - | 32 | 61 | - | 63 | 65 | 60 | 3 | 2/1F | |
| 3 | ▶ Easy Texasd 2y 48 | L G Tuffin — 26% R278 W71 P147 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 57 | 36 (5) | 60 (3) | 69 (2) | 25 (4) | 30 (4) | 52 (5) | 78 (6) | 62 (1) | 58 (3) | - | 44 | 39 | - | 34 | 59 | 52 | 1 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Cowardly Johnd 1y 14 | V A Lea — 15% R191 W29 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 38 | 54 (3) | 73 (1) | 38 (5) | 46 (4) | 55 (3) | 34 (2) | 30 (3) | 33 (3) | 32 (4) | 40 (1) | 29 | 41 | 18 | 39 | 34 | 35 | 4 | 9/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Burrow Amazingb 4y 16 | A Welch — 15% R317 W47 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 35 (2) | 31 (4) | 24 (6) | 28 (5) | 42 (1) | 24 (6) | 30 (4) | 28 (5) | 29 (5) | 42 (1) | 32 | 40 | 45 | 40 | 31 | 33 | 5 | 11/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Play On Wordsd 2yN/R 15 | V A Lea — 15% R191 W29 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 85 (2) | 67 (5) | 80 (2) | 100 (1) | 32 (4) | 42 (1) | 37 (2) | 25 (6) | 33 (2) | 32 (3) | 19 | 38 | 10 | 38 | 29 | 30 | - | - | |
The ideal runner for these conditions. P59 is comfortably second-best but functionally the best USABLE P in the race (Jet's 65 is neutralised by his zero EP at sprint distance). All-Rounder profile (EP 57, CS 72, PC 86) is perfectly balanced — quick enough to be prominent from the boxes and strong enough to sustain through the finish. That CS 72 is particularly important: unlike Amara's CS 28 which might weaken late, Texas maintains pace. Drawn in T3 which is the DOMINANT trap at D2 270m — 25.9% from 386 runs, a large reliable sample significantly above expected. Trainer Tuffin at 28% is a moderate-tier signal, the strongest trainer of the serious contenders. His form includes a standout 78 performance three runs back — outstanding for D2 level. The most recent competitive form (excluding the T1 trial): 58→62→78→53→24 chronologically. The 24 was a trial run at T1 which is noise — his last competitive 270m form was 53 (1st at T1) which was a win. Suitability is reasonable — track 39, distance 34, trap 44. The combination of functional best P, balanced pace profile, dominant T3 trap, and strong trainer makes this a clear pick despite not having the raw P of Jet.
DANGER: Best suitability (T50/D49/Tr64), best speed (56), best bend (58), improving form trajectory. The suitability and speed combination makes her the most structurally suited runner. Class step to D2 (P37 vs field) is the concern.
P65 is 6 clear of the field but EP 0 at 270m sprint makes this class advantage meaningless. He'll be last from the boxes with zero ability to close a gap at sprint distance. His recent form of 18 confirms the disconnect. Can be confidently opposed at 270m.
Previous D2 winner but form around that win (31, 18) suggests it was an outlier. P34 and Fader CS0 with only mild EP (43) don't inspire confidence. Will compete for 3rd-4th but repeat win unlikely.
Worst trap draw (T5 13.2%), flat form in the high 20s, and P31 well below D2 standard. The occasional 2nd at D2 shows he can place when luck falls right but structurally everything is against him.
Weakest P (29), below-expected trap, low class suit (10) suggesting limited D2 experience. 6th most recently after one good 2nd. Not competitive at this level.
T3 dominates at 25.9% from 386 runs — the clear best trap at D2 270m. T1 (22.0%) and T2 (21.3%) are also strong. T5 (13.2%) is weakest. R1 wins 23.9% from 913 runs. The T3 advantage is from a large, reliable sample.
T1:22.0% T2:21.3% T3:25.9% T4:19.2% T5:13.2% T6:16.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.