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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Makeit Myellab 2y 6 | F J Gray — 21% R351 W72 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | 36 | 47 | - | 24 (4) | 27 (6) | 20 (5) | 33 (5) | 39 (4) | 23 (4) | 23 (5) | 25 (5) | 30 (2) | 22 (6) | 35 | 35 | 8 | 35 | 25 | 29 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Choices Jessb 1y 26 | J M Liles — 19% R433 W81 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | 42 | 49 | - | 21 (4) | 22 (4) | 27 (3) | 27 (3) | 25 (3) | 32 (2) | 32 (1) | 23 (3) | 69 (2) | 25 (4) | 35 | 37 | 15 | 37 | 26 | 30 | 2 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Devon Sunsetd 3y 7 | N J Deas — 17% R458 W76 P250 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 32 (1) | 28 (3) | 28 (4) | 20 (6) | 25 (3) | 21 (6) | 33 (2) | 30 (4) | 31 (3) | 35 (2) | 44 | 30 | 34 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 3 | 2/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Tommys Ponchod 2y 8 | J M Liles — 19% R433 W81 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 26 (4) | 25 (5) | 35 (2) | 27 (6) | 34 (2) | 37 (1) | 49 (2) | 34 (2) | 32 (1) | 29 (2) | 22 | 23 | - | 51 | 40 | 37 | 1 | 5/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Mustang Miamarb 2y 16 | A Welch — 15% R306 W47 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | 45 | - | 36 (3) | 36 (5) | 39 (4) | 50 (2) | 33 (6) | 34 (5) | 48 (2) | 42 (4) | 35 (4) | 21 (5) | 33 | 20 | 17 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 12/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Salacres Herbertd 4y 14 | P H Harnden — 18% R391 W70 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 20 (5) | 32 (6) | 22 (1) | 23 (5) | 22 (5) | 27 (4) | 28 (6) | 21 (2) | - | - | 28 | 26 | 34 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 5 | 10/1 | |
Absolutely dominates this field on every key metric. P40 is 13 points clear of the next-best (Devon Sunset at 27) — that's a class chasm at D3 level. Speed 61 is 8 points faster than anyone else. EP 100 means he'll lead from the break. At 270m sprint distance, his Fader profile (CS 0, PC 91) is irrelevant — the trip is too short for the fade to develop. His distance suitability of 51 is the best in the field by a wide margin, confirming strong form at 270m. He's recently dropped from D2 level (won D4, 2nd at D4, 2nd at T2) — the D3 field is weaker than what he's been facing. The trap draw (T4) wins 20.4% at D3 270m from 398 runs — average, but with this class advantage the trap is irrelevant. Trainer Liles at 18% is below average but class override is total here. The only way he loses is a bad break or first-bend interference, and even then the 13-point gap is hard to bridge.
DANGER: Joint-best trap (T2 23.0%), recent form of 2nd at D3 and 1st at D4 makes her the most in-form non-Poncho runner. P26 and moderate suit mean she's fighting for 2nd, not 1st.
Trainer Gray 36% and slight T1 advantage are positives, but P25 and flat form (5th, 5th, 2nd at D3) mean she's competing for places rather than the win in a race dominated by Poncho's class.
Best P (27) and speed (53) among the chasing pack. Can place when on song but 6th at D3 last time and inconsistent form trajectory suggest he's not reliable enough for a pick.
Slowest speed (45), worst trap (T5 13.7%), declining form (5th, 5th at D3), and low suitability across the board. Can be confidently opposed.
Speed 51 and P27 are competitive for the chasing pack but T6 draw (13.9%) is a structural negative. Inconsistent form with recent dip. Likely 3rd-5th range.
Even trap bias at D3 270m — T1 and T2 marginally best. T4 at 20.4% is close to expected. R1 wins 22.4% from 872 runs. With a 13-point P gap, this is a class override situation.
T1:22.8% T2:23.0% T3:21.6% T4:20.4% T5:13.7% T6:13.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.