| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Going Going Goneb 4y 36 | N J Deas — 17% R447 W76 P245 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 20 (4) | 25 (2) | 18 (5) | 24 (2) | 29 (1) | 22 (4) | 21 (3) | 15 (6) | 17 (5) | 24 (2) | 33 | 21 | 45 | 25 | 22 | 24 | 5 | 12/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballygraigue Avab 1y 5 | D D Porter — 17% R521 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 22 (5) | 31 (5) | 20 (3) | 35 (6) | 28 (1) | 29 (3) | - | - | - | - | 14 | 43 | - | 47 | 29 | 31 | 1 | 4/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Makeit Joyb 3y 7 | V A Lea — 15% R191 W29 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 28 (1) | 16 (6) | 17 (6) | 18 (4) | 22 (5) | 14 (6) | 31 (1) | 29 (1) | 18 (6) | 21 (4) | 39 | 25 | 28 | 26 | 22 | 25 | 4 | 7/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Salacres Selectb 1y 14 | P H Harnden — 18% R396 W71 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | - | 19 (5) | 18 (5) | 25 (2) | 24 (2) | 28 (2) | 30 (3) | 27 (1) | 28 (2) | - | - | 15 | 47 | - | 51 | 28 | 31 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Unknown Feverb 1y 7 | D D Porter — 17% R521 W90 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 32 (4) | 45 (1) | 41 (1) | 23 (6) | 25 (5) | 25 (6) | 36 (2) | 36 (1) | 32 (1) | 29 (2) | 34 | 30 | - | 30 | - | 11 | 6 | 5/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Freshersb 3y 27 | J M Liles — 19% R423 W79 P222 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 37 (4) | 31 (5) | 33 (5) | 49 (3) | 48 (2) | 35 (5) | 55 (5) | 17 (6) | 14 (6) | 20 (4) | 15 | 28 | - | 25 | 29 | 27 | 3 | 2/1F | |
Joint-best P in the field at 29, and her most recent performance of 29 came winning at D5. She's lightly raced with only 3 career starts — won D5, 3rd at T3, 1st at T3 — which means there's natural improvement to come as she gains experience. Critically, she has the best suitability among the non-Select runners: track 43, distance 47, trap 14 (low trap suit is a concern). Speed 50 is mid-range. T2 at D4 270m wins 20.1% from 409 runs — close to expected. The light racing history cuts both ways — there's upside if she's still improving, but also uncertainty about how she handles competitive graded fields. Her D5 win was comprehensive enough to suggest D4 is within her range. Trainer Porter at 10% is weak. The selection comes down to preferring her upside and form direction over Select's T4 trap advantage — she's the more progressive dog with the better recent form.
DANGER: T4 trap advantage (27.7%) combined with best suitability (T47, D51) is a powerful structural case. Speed 35 (slowest) and D5 stepping to D4 are genuine concerns. The trap+suit combination could overcome the speed deficit in a weak field.
Won D5 but stepping up to D4 with only one decent recent run (29). Weak trap draw (T1 17.9%) and modest suitability. Too soon to back the improvement at a higher grade.
Has proven D4 ability (won previously) and decent T3 draw (22.4%) but current form has regressed significantly (18 most recent). The D4 win was the peak — she's below that level now.
Outstanding raw speed (58, best by 8) but completely unproven — two trial 2nds don't tell us if D4 graded racing is within her range. High-risk unknown quantity. Could win or finish last.
Joint-best P (29) disguises severely declining form (14 most recent, 6th at D4 last). Worst trap draw (T6 16.8%) and low suitability. The Fader EP 85 holds at 270m but declining form suggests she won't be leading this time.
T4 dominates at 27.7% from 365 runs. T3 (22.4%) is solid. T1 (17.9%) and T6 (16.8%) are weakest. R1 wins 24.8% from 876 runs. In a tight field, trap advantage is the tiebreaker.
T1:17.9% T2:20.1% T3:22.4% T4:27.7% T5:20.6% T6:16.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.