| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Wessex Duchessb 3y 7 | K J Crocker — 16% R145 W23 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 29 (1) | 21 (4) | 28 (1) | 29 (1) | 21 (4) | 28 (1) | 19 (4) | 19 (4) | 15 (5) | 26 (2) | 16 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 17 | 4 | 18/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Wessex Lanced 3y 26 | K J Crocker — 16% R145 W23 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 31 (5) | 42 (3) | 34 (4) | 44 (2) | 24 (2) | 47 (2) | 22 (2) | 18 (5) | 19 (5) | 24 (3) | 28 | 11 | - | 11 | 22 | 20 | 3 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Makeit Theab 2y 6 | F J Gray — 20% R352 W70 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 26 (3) | 28 (2) | 29 (1) | 16 (5) | 22 (4) | 30 (1) | 21 (4) | 16 (5) | 24 (2) | 28 (1) | 59 | 48 | 46 | 48 | 23 | 33 | 1 | 11/8 | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Year Longd 1y 36 | N J Deas — 17% R450 W76 P247 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 48 (2) | 37 (4) | 40 (2) | 34 (4) | 14 (6) | 18 (6) | 20 (3) | 23 (2) | - | - | 43 | 28 | 18 | 28 | 23 | 27 | 2 | 1/1F | |
| 5 | ▶ Savana Floridab 2y 27 | A Welch — 15% R316 W47 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 16 (6) | 13 (6) | 15 (6) | 20 (4) | 23 (3) | 20 (4) | 21 (2) | 29 (1) | 25 (2) | 14 (5) | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Makeit Juiceb 3yN/R 15 | V A Lea — 15% R191 W29 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 37 (2) | 22 (3) | 16 (6) | 28 (1) | 20 (5) | 19 (4) | 25 (2) | 15 (5) | 21 (2) | 20 (5) | 15 | 30 | 17 | 31 | 21 | 23 | - | - | |
The standout runner in this race on multiple metrics. Speed 54 is the best in the field. Suitability is head and shoulders above the rest — track 48, distance 48, trap 59 — all far exceeding any other runner. The trap suit of 59 is extraordinary, suggesting T3 is exactly where she thrives. Trainer Gray at 36% is the best trainer by a huge margin — a strong-tier signal that historically produces elevated win rates when they're the best trainer in a field. She's won at D5 (2nd last D5 run, 1st at T1 before that) proving she can get the job done at this level. Her form (chronologically: 17→20→28→23→24) shows consistency in the low-to-mid 20s — her P23 is joint-best. T3 at D5 270m wins 21.9% from 41 runs — solid despite the small sample. In a field of P18-23 runners, the combination of best speed, vastly superior suitability, and best trainer make this a clear selection. The form numbers look modest in isolation but they're as good as anything in this field, and the structural edges are decisive.
DANGER: Joint-best P (23) and second-best speed (53) with light career suggesting improvement. T4 draw (13.9%) is a negative from small sample. The main threat to Thea but lacking her suitability edge.
Worst suitability (T13/D13), slowest speed (46), and low P (18). One 2nd at D5 but more typically 5th. Not competitive enough for the win.
T2 trap shows 26.2% but from only 42 runs — too small to rely on. Poor suitability (T11/D11) and inconsistent form. Can place but not enough evidence for a serious winning chance.
Worst trap (T5 8.6%), worst suitability (all 10-11 range), joint-worst P (18). One 2nd at D5 but structurally everything is against her. One to oppose.
Mid-pack D5 runner with a 2nd place showing but flat form and low trap suitability (15) from T6. Competes for 3rd-4th without threatening the win.
Small sample (237 runs). T2 leads at 26.2% but from only 42 runs — low confidence. T5 is very weak at 8.6% from 35 runs. T3 at 21.9% from 41 runs and T6 at 21.2% from 33 runs are both solid. With small samples, broader factors (form, suit, trainer) should carry more weight than trap percentages.
T1:16.3% T2:26.2% T3:21.9% T4:13.9% T5:8.6% T6:21.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.