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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Romantic Richyd 2y 6 | A J Taylor — 13% R339 W44 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | 62 | 55 | 51 | 35 (4) | 39 (3) | 39 (5) | 45 (4) | 37 (5) | 47 (2) | 50 (2) | 54 (2) | 57 (2) | - | 54 | 51 | 28 | 48 | 50 | 50 | 1 | 3/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Peroni On Iced 2y 27 | A J Taylor — 13% R339 W44 P160 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | 43 | 49 | 39 (4) | 30 (6) | 46 (3) | 30 (6) | 31 (5) | 41 (5) | 62 (1) | 50 (2) | 41 (5) | 54 (2) | 42 | 33 | 39 | 31 | 43 | 40 | 4 | 16/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Silverhill Duckyb 2y 14 | P J Browne — 16% R115 W18 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | 81 | 46 | 54 | 37 (5) | 47 (5) | 72 (1) | 68 (1) | 50 (4) | 26 (4) | 36 (1) | 31 (1) | 28 (2) | - | 63 | 65 | - | 25 | 30 | 37 | 5 | 11/10F | |
| 4 | ▶ Harlequin Windyb 4y 25 | S A Cahill — 19% R381 W72 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | 73 | 54 | 43 | 64 (3) | 46 (2) | 42 (4) | 35 (6) | 36 (5) | 45 (4) | 63 (2) | 62 (1) | 44 (3) | 56 (3) | 37 | 29 | 16 | 28 | 50 | 43 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Sharp Surprised 2y 9 | J J Heath — 21% R366 W77 P229 Trainer form — last 3 months | 78 | 40 | 46 | 47 (2) | 51 (1) | 39 (4) | 40 (3) | 49 (2) | 45 (3) | 45 (3) | 39 (3) | 42 (5) | - | 32 | 47 | - | 28 | 44 | 41 | 3 | 5/2 | |
Tied for the best avgPerformance in this field at 50, which tells you about the quality of this A7 contest. Romantic Richy's Fader profile (EP57, CS20) is a concern on a galloping track where closers thrive, but two factors work in his favour. First, T1 is the dominant trap at Hove 500m A7 with a 24.4% win rate from 168 runs — nearly 8 percentage points above the 16.67% expected share. Second, his suitability profile is the best in the race: TSuit 51, DSuit 48, TrpS 54 show proven form at this venue, distance, and trap. His last five perfs read 54→45→51→43→22 which shows some inconsistency, but the 22 was an outlier — his broader average holds steady in the high 40s to low 50s. In a field where every runner has significant flaws, the combination of best trap, best suitability, and joint-best AP makes him the most logical selection.
DANGER: CS93 closer on the galloping Hove 500m is a live threat. If the Faders weaken through the final two bends, this dog picks up the pieces. Poor suitability scores prevent a higher rating.
Honest type who keeps running but lacks the peak performance to threaten the principals. Pace consistency is admirable but AP43 leaves too much ground to make up.
P J Browne 42% and excellent venue suitability make this dog a place contender, but AP30 is the lowest in the field by a distance and suggests the wins have come from weak fields rather than genuine ability.
Closing profile is right for the track but AP44, speed 40, and a recent 18 perf suggest this dog is outclassed even at A7. One to leave out.
T1 dominates at 24.4% from 168 runs — the strongest trap in the race. R2 composite actually outperforms R1 (23.1% vs 19.05%) meaning second-best on paper often wins. Reasonably fair distribution with T6 also competitive at 22.15%.
T1:24.4%(168) T2:20.09%(234) T3:17.24%(203) T4:17.47%(166) T5:19.55%(133) T6:22.15%(149)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Romantic Richy | 57 | 20 | Fader |
2Peroni On Ice | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Silverhill Ducky | 58 | 0 | Fader |
4Harlequin Windy | 43 | 93 | Closer |
6Sharp Surprise | 43 | 78 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.