| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Antigua Luigid 3y 4 | J J Heath — 21% R377 W81 P238 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 50 | 62 (3) | 67 (2) | 65 (4) | 80 (2) | 56 (5) | 75 (3) | 69 (4) | 70 (2) | 66 (2) | 71 (3) | 42 | 38 | 51 | 36 | 66 | 56 | 4 | 7/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Sussex Cycloneb 2y 15 | J T Kingsley — 14% R160 W22 P83 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 38 | 63 (4) | 52 (5) | 72 (3) | 74 (2) | 51 (6) | 85 (1) | 84 (1) | 86 (1) | 66 (4) | 58 (5) | 53 | 81 | - | 60 | 69 | 67 | 1 | 4/5F | |
| 3 | ▶ Sly Big Birdb 2y 26 | S Maplesden — 17% R276 W47 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 43 | 63 (6) | 69 (3) | 46 (5) | 52 (4) | 52 (4) | 71 (2) | 59 (5) | 78 (1) | 73 (1) | 64 (3) | 63 | 53 | 15 | 50 | 67 | 63 | 2 | 16/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Barbie Bulletb 4y 25 | B S Green — 20% R422 W83 P248 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 57 | 54 (4) | 70 (3) | 62 (4) | 70 (5) | 81 (1) | 55 (4) | 64 (3) | 66 (4) | 73 (2) | 58 (4) | 47 | 37 | 26 | 39 | 68 | 59 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Dangerous Billyd 2y 18 | A J Taylor — 13% R339 W45 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 54 | 41 0 | 39 (5) | 54 (6) | 67 (5) | 50 (2) | 70 (5) | 67 (4) | 58 (2) | 86 (4) | - | 23 | 53 | 47 | 27 | 63 | 53 | 5 | 8/1 | |
Best AP in the race at 69, CS100 on the galloping Hove 500m, and — the headline factor — TSuit 81. An 81 track suitability is exceptional by any standard; this is a dog that has proven, repeatedly, that Hove is her venue. She knows every inch of this track and her results there confirm it. DSuit 60 adds distance confidence, TrpS 53 is solid. Form reads 52→72→74→51→85 — the 85 last time is outstanding, the kind of run that wins open races. The inconsistency (two 50s mixed in) is a concern, but the pattern suggests she either runs to a very high level or has an off-day — there's no middle ground. The 85 last run is the freshest signal. EP37 means she'll be well behind through the first bend, but on a track where only 21% of winners lead all the way at 515m (and similar at 500m), that's manageable. Trainer J T Kingsley at 12% is the weakest in the race, but with a TSuit of 81 and a last run of 85, the dog is carrying the trainer rather than vice versa.
DANGER: Most consistent form in the field (five runs 59-78, never a bad day), strong TrpS 63, and AP67 is competitive. If the pick underperforms, this reliable All-Rounder collects.
DANGER: CS100 from best trap (22%), best bend (57), and best trainer (24%) with consistent form (never below 58). Very live alternative to the pick. TSuit 37 vs Sussex Cyclone's 81 is the key differentiator.
The form collapse (71→71→22→25) is too severe to overlook. This dog was a genuine A2 performer 3-4 runs ago but something has gone wrong. Until evidence of recovery appears, he's one to leave out.
Fader from the widest draw with the poorest distance and trap suitability in the field. Will be prominent early but outclassed by the closers through the final stages. One to oppose.
Fair trap distribution — T4 narrowly best at 22%. R1 and R2 are virtually identical (21.99% vs 22.04%), meaning the second-best on paper wins just as often as the best. At A2, the closers in this field can exploit the galloping track.
T1:21.13%(213) T2:19.82%(227) T3:19.21%(203) T4:22%(200) T5:21.18%(85) T6:20.69%(174)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Antigua Luigi | 56 | 33 | Fader |
2Sussex Cyclone | 37 | 100 | Closer |
3Sly Big Bird | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Barbie Bullet | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Dangerous Billy | 62 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.