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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lose Controld 2y 18 | S A Cahill — 19% R380 W73 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 21 | 36 (1) | 24 (3) | 33 (2) | 32 (3) | 35 (2) | 30 (4) | 34 (3) | 40 (1) | 61 (5) | 42 (5) | 56 | 39 | 25 | 51 | 50 | 50 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Crystal Blackd 4y 26 | D D Knight — 18% R236 W42 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 47 | 30 (3) | 31 (3) | 36 (2) | 34 (2) | 28 (3) | 41 (5) | 52 (5) | 54 (4) | 70 (2) | 84 (1) | 77 | 54 | 20 | 65 | 36 | 46 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Punk Rock Roseb 3y 19 | S Maplesden — 17% R276 W47 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 57 | 90 (1) | 63 (3) | 61 (4) | 64 (4) | 86 (1) | 38 (3) | 33 (4) | 34 (4) | 40 (3) | 42 (1) | 63 | 60 | 15 | 59 | 55 | 57 | 1 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Droopys Larab 1y 35 | D A Dark — 30% R44 W13 P31 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 56 | 44 (5) | 66 (2) | 53 (3) | 33 (4) | 36 (2) | 34 (2) | 56 (5) | 68 (3) | 66 (3) | 60 (3) | 50 | 45 | 30 | 45 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Bingo Bulletb 4y 17 | B S Green — 20% R422 W83 P248 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 22 (6) | 32 (4) | 46 (1) | 32 (5) | 42 (2) | 45 (1) | 45 (1) | 28 (5) | 40 (3) | 35 (4) | 34 | 47 | 25 | 42 | 46 | 44 | 5 | 10/11F | |
| 6 | ▶ Me Fifib 4y 14 | B S Green — 20% R422 W83 P248 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 28 (6) | 28 (5) | 41 (5) | 30 (1) | 36 (3) | 35 (1) | 28 (3) | 30 (5) | 36 (4) | - | 44 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 6 | 12/1 | |
The form explosion makes this the standout selection. After four mediocre-to-poor runs (23→32→21→...), Punk Rock Rose has posted 66 and 79 in her last two outings — a dramatic leap that suggests something has clicked, whether maturity, fitness, or conditions. AP55 is the best in the race by 2 points. The Fader profile (EP59, CS40) is actually ideal for a 285m sprint — EP59 is the best in the field and gives her the lead through the first bend with a 57 bend rating (also best in the field). At 285m, the Fader profile doesn't have time to fully manifest — the race is over before the fade kicks in. TSuit 60, DSuit 59, TrpS 63 are all excellent, confirming strong CD form at Hove 285m from T3. T3 at 17.19% is below the best traps, but the performance advantage and improving form override the trap statistics. Trainer S Maplesden at 16% is lower-tier but the recent form (66→79) speaks for itself. A dog hitting peak form with the best EP, best bend, best AP, and excellent suitability in a sprint — that's multiple factors aligning.
DANGER: Second-best AP, sharp improving form (56→68), and balanced All-Rounder profile. The worst trap (14.29%) is the structural barrier, but if things fall right through the first bend she's the main threat to the pick.
Closer in a sprint with EP25 and bend 21 — the two worst early-pace metrics in the field. Even from the best trap, she can't get into position quickly enough at 285m. Structurally opposed.
Outstanding suitability (DSuit 65, TrpS 77) from the second-best trap, but AP36 is simply too low to win. The consistent 28-36 form band shows no sign of a breakthrough. Place possibility only.
Best speed (61) from a strong trap (23.08%) with best trainer (24%), but no pace profile data and thin sprint form prevent a higher assessment. The 60 last time could signal a breakthrough or a one-off.
Lowest AP (30), weakest form band (28-36), and no pace data to suggest hidden ability. Trainer B S Green runs Bingo Bullet as the better prospect. Confidently opposed.
R4 composite wins 30.3% — massive upset frequency at D2 285m. The top three composites COMBINED win less than R4 alone. T1 and T2 are the best traps at 23.29% and 23.21%. T4 at 14.29% is the weakest draw.
T1:23.29%(73) T2:23.21%(56) T3:17.19%(64) T4:14.29%(70) T5:23.08%(52) T6:16.67%(78)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 285m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.