| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Sly Wobblebottomd 4y 17 | S Maplesden — 17% R279 W48 P159 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 54 | 67 (2) | 60 (4) | 70 (3) | 47 (5) | 72 (2) | 57 (4) | 71 (2) | 67 (4) | 55 (4) | 44 (5) | 52 | 48 | 23 | 43 | 66 | 60 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hometownd 4y 15 | D D Knight — 17% R229 W38 P123 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 46 | 69 (2) | 83 (2) | 62 (4) | 52 (4) | 69 (2) | 87 (1) | 50 (4) | 63 (3) | 78 (2) | 89 (1) | 60 | 60 | 59 | 59 | 72 | 68 | 1 | 15/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Razor Gund 3y 25 | P J Browne — 14% R118 W16 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 50 | 61 (2) | 51 (5) | 37 (6) | 67 (3) | 57 (5) | 64 (3) | 50 (5) | 65 (3) | 73 (3) | 85 (1) | 44 | 38 | 28 | 35 | 68 | 58 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Slick Mickd 2y 16 | G S Byford — 25% R246 W61 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 49 | 71 (3) | 71 (3) | 71 (3) | 84 (1) | 58 (5) | 74 (2) | 53 (5) | 76 (2) | 74 (2) | 42 (6) | 41 | 67 | 30 | 52 | 68 | 63 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Boom Boom Bulletb 3y 110 | B S Green — 21% R424 W90 P261 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 53 | 52 (5) | 51 (4) | 56 (5) | 53 (6) | 54 (5) | 59 (4) | 88 (1) | 88 (1) | 68 (3) | 55 (5) | 37 | 36 | 27 | 33 | 67 | 56 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
This is as clear a pick as you'll find on any card. AP72 is the best in the race by 4 clear points. The form trajectory is stunning: 50→63→78→89→88 — a relentless upward curve that's now plateaued at an elite level. Two consecutive runs in the high 80s from a Closer (CS93) on the second-most galloping track in the UK is the ideal combination. The suitability profile is the strongest in the field across every single dimension: TSuit 60, DSuit 59, TrpS 60, ClsS 59 — all at or near 60. This dog knows Hove, knows 500m, handles this trap, and thrives at A1. The only mild concern is T2's trap bias at 21.16%, which is below T1 and T6 — but on a fair track at the top level, the raw ability gap overwhelms any marginal trap disadvantage. Trainer D D Knight at 18% is moderate, but the dog is doing the work herself. The condition data shows R1 composite wins 26.45% at Hove 500m A1, and Hometown IS the R1 composite with that 72 AP.
DANGER: When he fires, his 89 and 86 perfs are untouchable. T1 is the strongest trap in A1. But the alternating form makes him a liability as a pick — you're betting on a coin flip.
DANGER: CS100 on a galloping track, strong consistent form (four runs 71-82), and TSuit 67. If anything goes wrong for Hometown, Slick Mick is the most likely beneficiary.
P J Browne 42% trainer and two peak runs of 84-86 keep him honest, but a last run of 43 and moderate suitability scores put him behind the top closers.
Honest A1 performer with a recent 75, but outclassed on suitability and closing speed by the top two. The improving form gives some hope but the data doesn't support a pick at this level.
R1 composite dominates at 26.45% — the top-rated dog wins more than a quarter of A1 races at Hove 500m. T1 is the best trap at 26.14% from 264 runs, with T6 strong at 24.34%. Significant gap between R1 and R3 (26.45% vs 11.7%) means the model's top pick is reliable at this grade.
T1:26.14%(264) T2:21.16%(241) T3:20.09%(234) T4:17.96%(206) T5:17.95%(78) T6:24.34%(152)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Sly Wobblebottom | 54 | 33 | All-Rounder |
2Hometown | 44 | 93 | Closer |
3Razor Gun | 51 | 42 | All-Rounder |
4Slick Mick | 36 | 100 | Closer |
5Boom Boom Bullet | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 500m | 515m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sly Wobblebottom | 0.604 | — |
| 2 | Hometown | 0.599 | — |
| 3 | Razor Gun | 0.603 | — |
| 4 | Slick Mick | 0.598 | 0.596 |
| 5 | Boom Boom Bullet | 0.603 | 0.601 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.