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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mustang Beyonceb 4y 24 | J M Liles — 16% R394 W65 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 26 (4) | 28 (4) | 19 (6) | 25 (6) | 26 (5) | 31 (3) | 27 (6) | 32 (3) | 37 (1) | 28 (4) | 41 | 35 | 27 | 13 | 27 | 26 | 2 | 7/4JF | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Pauls Opiniond 2y 15 | D Jeans — 15% R219 W33 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | - | 36 (1) | 20 (4) | 19 (6) | 32 (1) | 28 (2) | 22 (4) | 23 (5) | 33 (4) | 33 (5) | 23 (5) | 26 | 27 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 21 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Dashing Tomd 3y 7 | P H Harnden — 15% R361 W54 P206 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 33 (2) | 27 (4) | 24 (4) | 22 (6) | 53 (5) | 26 (6) | 48 (6) | 61 (4) | 68 (4) | 71 (2) | 28 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 27 | 23 | 3 | 7/4JF | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Lively Parisb 1y 5 | D Jeans — 15% R219 W33 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 33 (2) | 23 (5) | 32 (1) | 52 (1) | 43 (4) | 42 (3) | 30 (5) | 27 (4) | 31 (5) | - | 4 | 19 | - | 24 | 35 | 25 | 1 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballycleary Javab 2y 6 | D D Porter — 17% R479 W80 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | - | 20 (6) | 32 (1) | 17 (6) | 30 (1) | 21 (4) | 25 (2) | 19 (5) | 21 (3) | 20 (5) | 28 (1) | 17 | 36 | 12 | 37 | 23 | 26 | 6 | 20/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Dublin Jimmyd 4y 14 | D D Porter — 17% R479 W80 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 31 (3) | 30 (3) | 32 (2) | 32 (2) | 27 (5) | 26 (5) | 36 (1) | 34 (3) | 37 (1) | 28 (4) | 27 | 31 | 34 | 35 | 31 | 32 | 4 | 9/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mustang Beyonce | 16.08 | 16.40 | 16.34 | 56 | +0.26 | Pick, tied fastest, best trap | |
| 2 | Pauls Opinion | 16.23 | 16.69 | 16.88 | 40 | +0.65 | Well off best last time | |
| 3 | Dashing Tom | 16.31 | 16.50 | 16.31 | 50 | 0.00 | Placed last time | |
| 4 | Lively Paris | 16.37 | 16.44 | 16.50 | 48 | +0.13 | Model's official top pick | |
| 5 | Ballycleary Java | 16.37 | 16.73 | 16.63 | 40 | +0.26 | Career star, worst trap | |
| 6 | Dublin Jimmy | 16.09 | 16.34 | 16.36 | 56 | +0.27 | Danger, tied fastest, weak trap |
The fourth D-grade sprint on the card and the pattern is consistent — speed matters more than the rating at this trip, with speed rank one winning nearly 23% against the top-rated dog's 20.5%. Trap one has been the standout box in this D3 grade at 23%, with trap five the weakest at just over 13%. Mustang Beyonce shares the fastest recorded time in the field from that favoured inside trap and has a capable trainer in these conditions. Dublin Jimmy matches him on the clock but has to do it from the wide six box, where the numbers have been much tougher, though his last three runs — two seconds and a third — are the most consistent recent form in the race. Ballycleary Java, despite modest recent runs, carries a strong career strike rate worth noting if the market takes an interest.
Shares the fastest recorded time in this field and races from trap one, which has been the standout box in this D3 grade at 23%. His recent finishing positions haven't been eye-catching, but he's shown genuine early pace from the rail in his last couple of runs and his trainer has a solid record in these conditions. On pace and draw combined, he ticks the two most important boxes at this trip.
Shares the fastest recorded time in this field and has been the most consistent runner here recently — two runner-up finishes and a third from his last three starts, all with tightly bunched times. The one drawback is trap six, which has been one of the weakest boxes in this grade, and he always races wide rather than hugging the rail. If he can overcome the draw with pure pace, he's right there with the pick.
Finished fourth last time out and his most recent recorded time was well off his best. He's a confirmed closer who finishes strongly from off the pace, which could suit if the pace up front is honest, but on the clock he's towards the back of this field.
Finished runner-up last time out at this course, distance and grade and his times sit in the middle of this field. A balanced runner who doesn't rely purely on early speed, and a fair draw in trap three backs a modest but genuine case.
Carries the model's own top rating tonight and the highest raw performance figure in the field, but she's a fast-early type who fades late and her recorded times don't match the fastest pair. Trap four is a fair box in this grade. Respected by the ratings without the clock fully backing it up.
A career strike rate of 30% from ten starts marks him out as a proven winner in his time, even though he finished last last time out at this course, distance and grade. He's drawn in the weakest trap in this D3 grade too, which compounds the modest recent form. Worth keeping half an eye on given the underlying career figures, but hard to fully back tonight.
Key insight: Speed rank one wins nearly 23% at this trip and grade, ahead of the top-rated dog's 20.5% — and tonight's fastest pair are split between the best and worst draw in the field
Trap one strongest at 23%, trap five weakest at 13%
2,200 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (270m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 270m | 305m | 450m | 460m | 500m | 525m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mustang Beyonce | — | 0.608 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Pauls Opinion | 0.629 | 0.616 | — | 0.635 | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Dashing Tom | — | 0.611 | 0.611 | — | — | 0.602 | 0.567 | 0.557 |
| 4 | Lively Paris | — | 0.608 | — | — | 0.616 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Ballycleary Java | — | 0.620 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Dublin Jimmy | — | 0.605 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.