Total prize money on offer today is £ of which the BGRF contributed £360
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Canal Riverb 4y 15 | S Mavrias — 16% R217 W34 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 24 (5) | 24 (5) | 27 (4) | 30 (3) | 29 (2) | 26 (3) | 32 (3) | 33 (3) | 33 (2) | 24 (6) | 25 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 27 | 27 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Seals Beautyb 3y 14 | J J Luckhurst — 13% R252 W33 P113 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 29 (2) | 29 (2) | 31 (4) | 25 (5) | 31 (5) | 28 (5) | 38 (2) | 26 (5) | 34 (4) | 39 (2) | 22 | 25 | 11 | 18 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Only Ifb 6y 24 | G Andreas — 14% R249 W36 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 27 (4) | 21 (5) | 23 (5) | 31 (1) | 18 (6) | 24 (4) | 21 (4) | 28 (4) | 27 (5) | 23 (5) | 11 | 19 | 13 | 16 | 24 | 16 | 6 | 25/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Same Againb 5y 14 | G Andreas — 14% R249 W36 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 16 (6) | 28 (3) | 31 (1) | 26 (3) | 15 (6) | 19 (5) | 18 (5) | 25 (2) | 22 (5) | - | 27 | 20 | 7 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 5 | 40/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Stophers Pumpkinb 1y 5 | G L Davidson — 16% R204 W33 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 29 (2) | 31 (1) | 23 (4) | 18 (5) | 19 (4) | 31 (1) | 23 (3) | 22 (4) | 29 (1) | 16 (5) | - | 33 | 22 | 38 | 25 | 29 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Rockmount Rosieb 4y 18 | J J Luckhurst — 13% R252 W33 P113 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 37 (1) | 35 (1) | 30 (2) | 29 (2) | 22 (6) | 26 (6) | 22 (6) | 52 (6) | 60 (3) | 84 (3) | 30 | 30 | 36 | 38 | 28 | 30 | 2 | 5/6F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Seals Beauty | 16.64 | 16.96 | 16.77 | 61 | +0.13 | Fastest recorded, but off since April | |
| 1 | Canal River | 16.84 | 17.00 | 17.09 | 52 | +0.25 | No C&D win in ten | |
| 6 | Rockmount Rosie | 16.88 | 16.99 | 16.97 | 54 | +0.09 | Won four days ago | |
| 4 | Same Again | 16.90 | 17.21 | 17.01 | 49 | +0.11 | Best trap tonight | |
| 5 | Stophers Pumpkin | 16.94 | 17.23 | 17.12 | 46 | +0.18 | Strongest C&D record | |
| 3 | Only If | 16.92 | 17.21 | 17.14 | 46 | +0.22 | Worst trap tonight |
A tightly-matched D3 sprint over 277 metres where the trap bias is fairly even tonight, with traps 4 and 6 both around 19% and traps 3 and 5 down near 15%. Stophers Pumpkin doesn't have the standout draw but carries by far the strongest course and distance record in the field, with three wins from ten runs here, and was runner-up last time out. Rockmount Rosie arrives full of running having won only four days ago and gets one of the better traps tonight. Seals Beauty clocks the fastest recorded time of anyone here but hasn't raced since early April -- a long layoff that raises a genuine question mark over her fitness.
Carries by far the strongest course and distance record in the field -- three wins from ten runs here, a 30% strike rate -- and was runner-up last time out at this same grade and trip. The trainer's 28% strike rate is also the best of any connections in the race. Trap 5 has been one of the weaker boxes tonight at just under 16%, but with this level of course and distance form and the strongest stable behind her, the draw is a secondary concern.
Arrives full of confidence having won last time out just four days ago, the most recent form of anyone in this field, and gets one of the two best-performing boxes tonight. A fader with big early pace who quickens away sharply but can weaken late -- a running style that suits Central Park's tight first bend even if it fades in the closing stages. A fair course and distance record of one win and three places from six runs backs up the current form.
A regular at this course and distance with ten runs here, but no wins to show for it, just two places. Fifth last time out at this same grade and trip. Trap 1 is a fair box tonight. Plenty of experience without a breakthrough result.
Clocks the fastest recorded time of anyone in the field, but hasn't raced since early April -- more than three months ago -- which is a long time out of competition and raises real questions about sharpness and fitness back at this level. No wins from ten course and distance runs here either. The pure speed is eye-catching but the layoff is a genuine concern.
A modest course and distance record of one win from ten runs here, fourth last time out at this same grade and trip. Trap 3 has been the weakest box tonight at just over 15%. Nothing here suggests she's fancied ahead of the pace-setters in this field.
Gets the best-performing box tonight in trap 4 at just over 19%, and has a fair course and distance record of two wins and three places from ten runs. Third last time out at this same grade and trip. The good draw gives her a squeak without being the strongest contender on form.
Key insight: Traps 4 and 6 are essentially tied as the best boxes at around 19%, trap 3 is the weakest at 15.3%. The composite's top pick wins only 19.1% here -- below the national baseline -- so this grade and trip is a harder one for pure ratings to nail, and course and distance form carries extra weight.
T1:17.3% T2:15.9% T3:15.3% T4:19.1% T5:15.7% T6:19.0%
2,138 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 491m | 664m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canal River | 0.614 | — | — |
| 2 | Seals Beauty | 0.610 | — | — |
| 3 | Only If | 0.621 | — | — |
| 4 | Same Again | 0.623 | — | — |
| 5 | Stophers Pumpkin | 0.622 | — | — |
| 6 | Rockmount Rosie | 0.612 | 0.610 | 0.617 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.