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Watch PGR On Greyhounds.attheraces.com
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollyoak Mableb 5y 25 | R W Butler — 17% R178 W30 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 23 (2) | 21 (4) | 36 (6) | 63 (5) | 48 (2) | 38 (3) | 41 (6) | 48 (3) | 50 (6) | - | 25 | 23 | 18 | 16 | 22 | 16 | 5 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Smooth As Satinb 4y 16 | G L Davidson — 16% R206 W33 P99 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 26 (2) | 17 (6) | 27 (3) | 22 (6) | 28 (2) | 22 (4) | 28 (3) | 20 (6) | 27 (4) | 26 (5) | 29 | 27 | 26 | 16 | 24 | 17 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Vibrationb 1y 4 | R W Butler — 17% R178 W30 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 27 (3) | 24 (2) | 29 (2) | 28 (2) | 22 (3) | 26 (3) | 13 (5) | - | - | - | 32 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 1 | 6/5F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Hollyoak Peaceb 4y 27 | R W Butler — 17% R178 W30 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 27 (2) | 29 (1) | 25 (2) | 27 (1) | 21 (4) | 22 (4) | 23 (4) | 23 (3) | 31 (1) | 19 (5) | 22 | 26 | 26 | 41 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Stophers Wotsitd 4y 25 | G L Davidson — 16% R206 W33 P99 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 10 (6) | 18 (6) | 20 (6) | 31 (1) | 19 (6) | 29 (2) | 26 (4) | 21 (4) | 30 (6) | - | 14 | 24 | 37 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Rydons Dreamb 3y 7 | K A Schimmefennig — 11% R65 W7 P32 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | - | 26 (2) | 22 (4) | 17 (5) | 18 (5) | 54 (3) | 54 (4) | 44 (5) | 16 (6) | 21 (5) | - | 22 | 16 | 23 | 14 | 29 | 27 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hollyoak Peace | 16.98 | 17.25 | 16.98 | 54 | 0.00 | Top speed, strong C&D | |
| 3 | Swift Vibration | 17.05 | 17.22 | 17.05 | 53 | 0.00 | Consistent | |
| 2 | Smooth As Satin | 16.74 | 17.12 | 17.53 | 52 | +0.79 | Best trap tonight | |
| 5 | Stophers Wotsit | 16.97 | 17.18 | 17.39 | 50 | +0.42 | Best trainer, worst trap | |
| 1 | Hollyoak Mable | 17.23 | 17.43 | 17.23 | 43 | 0.00 | Fast-early fader | |
| 6 | Rydons Dream | 17.28 | 17.41 | 17.28 | 42 | 0.00 | Slowest on the clock |
This is the bottom rung of tonight's card, a D4 sprint over 277 metres where trap 2 has been the standout box this grade (22%) and trap 5 has been almost hopeless (13%) -- so the sharp first bend at Central Park still matters even among the weaker dogs. Hollyoak Peace has been building nicely through the grades at this course and distance, with three wins from ten runs here, and carries the fastest recorded time in the field from trap 4. Smooth As Satin gets the best draw in trap 2 but her course and distance record is much thinner. Stophers Wotsit has the best trainer strike rate of the night but lands in the weakest box. Hollyoak Mable is a fader who quickens early and could lead for a way before the finishers close in.
Has been building steadily through the grades at this course and distance, with three wins and five places from ten runs here -- comfortably the strongest course and distance record in the field -- and she carries the fastest recorded time as well. Runner-up last time out stepping up from D5 into this D4 company, and her distance suitability score is the highest of any runner tonight. Trap 4 is only a modest box at 18%, but the combination of top speed, the best C&D record in the race, and steadily improving grades makes her the one to beat.
Gets the best-performing box tonight in trap 2, winning over 22% from this draw, and the trainer's 26% strike rate is the second-best of any connections in the race. Her course and distance record is thinner than the draw suggests, though, with just one win from ten runs here, and she was well beaten last time out after getting crowded at the first bend. The draw alone gives her a squeak.
A fader who quickens away early but tends to lose ground in the closing stages -- with 100% early pace and a zero closing speed ratio, she's the archetypal front-loaded runner. Second last time out and consistent in her way, but at a tight track like this the finishers tend to catch up. Trap 1 has been one of the weaker boxes tonight at just 14%.
A steady if unspectacular performer who has finished in touch in most of her recent starts, third last time out at this same grade and trip. Trap 3 has been a reasonably strong box tonight at nearly 21%. Nothing stands out as a decisive positive or negative here.
The trainer's 28% strike rate is the best of any connections in the race, which is worth noting, but she lands in trap 5 -- the weakest box tonight at just 13%. Sixth last time out and her recent times have drifted away from her best. The good stable form doesn't overcome the poor draw here.
Has the highest average performance rating of anyone in this race on paper, boosted by a couple of stronger efforts a few starts back, but she's also the slowest on the clock of tonight's runners and the trainer's strike rate is the lowest in the field at just 10%. Fourth last time out at this same grade and trip. The raw speed numbers are a concern.
Key insight: Trap 2 dominates at 22.2% from 230 runs, trap 5 is the weak draw at just 13.4%. D-grades are the model's most reliable tier overall (composite rank 1 wins over 30% nationally), so the raw ratings carry more weight here than at higher grades.
T1:14.3% T2:22.2% T3:20.8% T4:18.1% T5:13.4% T6:19.2%
1,462 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hollyoak Mable | 0.629 | 0.619 |
| 2 | Smooth As Satin | 0.619 | — |
| 3 | Swift Vibration | 0.622 | — |
| 4 | Hollyoak Peace | 0.623 | — |
| 5 | Stophers Wotsit | 0.624 | — |
| 6 | Rydons Dream | 0.628 | 0.633 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.