Winning Night Out @ Sunderland Dogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Kippers Pumad 2y 19 | C Mcnicholas — 14% R541 W78 P263 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 54 | 56 (6) | 84 (1) | 71 (2) | 49 (5) | 79 (1) | 67 (2) | 46 (5) | 52 (4) | 74 (1) | 59 (2) | 10 | 20 | - | 49 | 67 | 49 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Reneas Boyd 2y 27 | G Strike — 20% R429 W86 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 63 | 69 (4) | 39 (6) | 69 (3) | 86 (1) | 83 (1) | 45 (5) | 69 (3) | 83 (1) | 68 (2) | 55 (4) | 39 | 37 | 17 | 36 | 66 | 43 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Charlies Topshotb 2y 26 | M K Bulmer — 20% R279 W56 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 14 | 71 (3) | 37 (6) | 88 (5) | 83 (1) | 84 (1) | 30 (1) | 48 (5) | 33 (2) | 37 (5) | - | - | 51 | 10 | 44 | 57 | 26 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Antigua Icemand 3y 34 | G Strike — 20% R429 W86 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 44 | 23 (1) | 35 (2) | 20 (6) | 32 (3) | 38 (1) | 30 (4) | 38 (6) | 71 (2) | 72 (2) | 73 (3) | 34 | 39 | 20 | 21 | 60 | 30 | 5 | 7/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Marwood Magicb 2y 18 | G Strike — 20% R429 W86 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 38 | 62 (5) | 75 (3) | 56 (5) | 83 (1) | 56 (4) | 70 (2) | 79 (1) | 47 (6) | 77 (2) | - | 35 | 36 | - | 34 | 68 | 47 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Cowardly Johnd 2yN/R 26 | P Miller — 20% R617 W124 P340 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 54 | 62 (4) | 53 (4) | 55 (5) | 84 (1) | 81 (1) | 80 (1) | 54 (3) | 73 (1) | 38 (5) | 46 (4) | 34 | 40 | - | 42 | 64 | 44 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kippers Puma | 27.66 | 28.07 | 27.66 | 62 | 0.00 | Fastest, won last time | |
| 2 | Reneas Boy | 27.74 | 28.09 | 28.51 | 47 | +0.77 | Well beaten last time | |
| 3 | Charlies Topshot | 27.60 | 27.91 | 28.58 | 52 | +0.98 | Off since May | |
| 4 | Antigua Iceman | 27.91 | 28.17 | 28.66 | 41 | +0.75 | Sprint form, up in trip | |
| 5 | Marwood Magic | 27.79 | 28.05 | 27.83 | 57 | +0.04 | Best average form | |
| 6 | Cowardly John | 27.56 | 28.12 | 28.20 | 54 | +0.64 | Trainer in form |
Sunderland's 450m trip has a long run down to the first bend but a fiddly bend, and trap 1 has been the best-performing box at this A2 grade specifically, winning nearly 22 percent, with trap 2 the weakest at under 16 percent. This is a strong A2 line-up with genuine depth. Kippers Puma should get across nicely from trap 1 with the best clock speed in the field, and comes into this off the back of a win last time out. Marwood Magic, the most consistent performer in the field on recent form, is the type to be doing her best work in the closing stages if the pace up front softens. Cowardly John, drawn six, is capable of racing either way and arrives from a yard in excellent recent form. This looks a race where the strongest all-round package should prevail rather than a single stand-out factor.
Won last time out here on July the eighth with a big rated performance of eighty-four, and her form of eighty-four, seventy-one, forty-nine, seventy-nine, sixty-seven, forty-six shows she's capable of hitting real peaks. She's the fastest dog in this field on the clock, finishes strongly from off the pace, and is rated a very consistent runner. Ten runs at this exact course and distance have brought four wins and seven places, an outstanding return, and trap 1 has been the best-performing box in the field at this grade. Everything stacks up here - the pace, the trap, the course form, and a runner clearly in form.
Third last time out and the most consistent performer in this field on recent form, with a run of seventy-five, fifty-six, eighty-three, fifty-six, seventy, seventy-nine showing she rarely has a truly bad night. She finishes strongly from off the pace and is rated a very consistent runner, and ten course and distance runs have brought three wins and five places. Second-quickest in the field on the clock behind only the selection. If Kippers Puma doesn't have things her own way up front, this is the one most likely to be doing the finishing.
Well beaten in sixth last time out, well below the level of her form of eighty-six and eighty-three a few runs back, so there's clear ability there when she's on song. She's fast early but tends to lose ground late, and ten course and distance runs have brought four wins and five places - a decent record. Trap 2 is the weakest box in the field at this grade, though, and that last run needs explaining before fully trusting her again tonight.
Hasn't raced since mid-May, so there's a big layoff to factor in, and her last run was well beaten in sixth. When fresh she's shown big numbers, with an eighty-eight and eighty-three a few runs back, and she owns the fastest raw time in the field, but her pace pattern is rated inconsistent and she tends to fade once the sustained pace bites. Five course and distance runs have brought three wins and three places, a strong return when she's right, but the lay-off is the concern tonight.
Second last time out but that was over the minimum trip at 261 metres, a significant step down from tonight's 450m, so this represents a big jump in distance for him. He's the slowest in this field on the clock and his recent grade history has mostly been at sprint distances, with only two runs at this exact course and distance for two places and no wins. A tricky trip test against experienced middle-distance types.
Fourth last time out but that followed a run of eighty-four, eighty-one and eighty a few runs earlier, showing real ability when things click. He can race handy or come from off the pace depending on how it unfolds, and ten course and distance runs have brought four wins and four places. His trainer's yard is running at a 30 percent win rate recently, one of the stronger figures on this card, which suggests he's here with a proper chance. Worth including in wider vision.
Key insight: At A2 grade specifically the composite's top pick wins nearly 25 percent of the time, one of the more reliable slices of the Sunderland dataset - upper grades here hold up better than the lower and middle grades where the model is far less trustworthy. Trap 1 is the standout draw at this grade, a reversal of the wider 450m picture where trap 6 usually leads.
T1:21.9% T2:15.8% T3:16.2% T4:17.5% T5:19.4% T6:19.8%
1,702 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Kippers Puma | 48 | 57 | Closer |
2Reneas Boy | 57 | 37 | Fader |
3Charlies Topshot | 92 | 0 | Fader |
4Antigua Iceman | 47 | 52 | All-Rounder |
5Marwood Magic | 30 | 100 | Closer |
6Cowardly John | 52 | 48 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 400m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kippers Puma | — | — | 0.624 |
| 2 | Reneas Boy | — | — | 0.624 |
| 3 | Charlies Topshot | — | 0.625 | 0.621 |
| 4 | Antigua Iceman | 0.622 | — | 0.624 |
| 5 | Marwood Magic | — | — | 0.623 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.