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100th Anniversary of Greyhound Racing
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Nixon Driveb 5y 16 | E Y Bell — 20% R542 W111 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 0 | 53 (2) | 53 (2) | 50 (4) | 62 (2) | 49 (4) | 43 (5) | 56 (3) | 56 (3) | 55 (2) | 71 (1) | 35 | 50 | - | 34 | 55 | 44 | 1 | 5/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Duggies Stitchb 2y 17 | G Strike — 20% R429 W86 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 2 | 49 (5) | 38 (4) | 51 (3) | 43 (5) | 52 (3) | 63 (1) | 55 (2) | 41 (6) | 62 (1) | 41 (4) | 38 | 30 | - | 23 | 48 | 25 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Killeacle Deniseb 2y 15 | D Blackbird — 16% R1120 W183 P620 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 98 | 19 (2) | 53 (3) | 22 (6) | 41 (3) | 49 (3) | 42 (5) | 58 (1) | 55 (3) | 42 (5) | 17 (6) | - | - | - | - | 43 | 36 | 3 | 22/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Macys Honeyb 2y 28 | C Jackson — 15% R102 W15 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 1 | 52 (2) | 52 (3) | 52 (3) | 51 (3) | 58 (2) | 50 (5) | 45 (5) | 48 (4) | 60 (2) | 58 (3) | 36 | 38 | - | 13 | 52 | 36 | 2 | 13/8 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Anglesey Flightb 2y 16 | D Blackbird — 16% R1120 W183 P620 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 100 | 16 (5) | 41 (6) | 53 (3) | 48 (4) | 57 (3) | 42 (5) | 58 (2) | 23 (4) | 39 (6) | 65 (1) | 24 | 26 | - | - | 47 | 53 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Fahrenheit Eveb 2y 17 | D Blackbird — 16% R1120 W183 P620 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 100 | 15 (4) | 28 (5) | 30 (5) | 30 (6) | 61 (1) | 45 (3) | 56 (1) | - | - | - | - | 15 | - | - | 39 | 31 | 4 | 12/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nixon Drive | 27.99 | 28.26 | 28.19 | 53 | +0.20 | Best C&D and form | |
| 2 | Duggies Stitch | 28.23 | 28.50 | 28.77 | 35 | +0.54 | Faded last time | |
| 3 | Killeacle Denise | 27.82 | 28.20 | 28.35 | 54 | +0.53 | Volatile form | |
| 4 | Macys Honey | 28.03 | 28.36 | 28.36 | 48 | +0.33 | Poor C&D record | |
| 5 | Anglesey Flight | No 450m form - every recent run has been over 480m (bar one 290m sprint) at Newcastle. | — | New trip, fastest clock | ||||
| 6 | Fahrenheit Eve | 27.89 | 28.33 | 28.96 | 41 | +1.07 | Out of form | |
Sunderland's 450m trip has a long run down to the first bend but a fiddly bend itself, and trap 6 is normally the strongest draw in the country here, winning over a quarter of races - though tonight's trap 6 runner, Fahrenheit Eve, is out of form and unlikely to trouble the front end. This is a genuinely messy race to call: the two leading candidates point in different directions. Anglesey Flight has by far the sharpest clock speed and best first-bend rating in the field and should be the one setting the pace, but she's stepping down from 480m for the very first time and has a pace profile that tends to fade once the sustained pace kicks in. Nixon Drive, a proven closer with the best average performance in the field and a strong record at this exact course and distance, looks the one best placed to reel her in if the pace does collapse late. With the signals conflicting this hard, this is one to treat with real caution.
Second last time out here on July the seventh, and her form line of fifty-three, fifty, sixty-two, forty-nine, forty-three, fifty-six across her last six runs is the best average performance in a moderate field. She finishes strongly from off the pace and is rated a very consistent runner, and she has ten runs at this exact course and distance with two wins and five places - a proven record at this trip. Trap 1 has also been the standout draw in the small sample of intertrack races run over this trip recently. Not a spectacular yardstick, but the most rounded case in an open contest.
Well beaten last time out at Newcastle but the fastest dog in this field by some margin on the clock, with the best first-bend rating here too and an early pace figure that stands out clearly. The concern is that every single one of her recent runs has come over 480m, so tonight's step down to 450m at a new track is completely uncharted ground for her, and her pace profile shows a habit of burning bright early before losing ground late. If that raw speed translates to the shorter trip she's dangerous to all, but it's a genuine unknown.
Fourth last time out and the slowest of the closers in this field on the clock, with her last outing coming in well off her best time. Ten course and distance runs have brought two wins and three places, which is respectable without standing out. Trap 2 is historically the weakest box at Sunderland over this trip. There are simply more convincing cases elsewhere in this field.
Third last time out but stepping down from a handicap race over 480m. Her recent form has been all over the place - fifty-three, twenty-two, forty-one, forty-nine, forty-two, fifty-eight - with that fifty-eight a few runs back showing she has more in the tank than her average suggests. She's fast early but tends to fade, and has no recorded runs at this course and distance to lean on. A genuine wildcard rather than a confident play.
Third last time out and her form has been steady without threatening to win, sitting in the low fifties across her last six starts. She's a closer with a low early pace figure, so she needs the race to be run at a strong gallop up front to have any chance of getting involved. Ten runs at this course and distance have brought only two places and no wins, which is a modest return given the sample size. Hard to fancy strongly against this opposition.
Fifth last time out and the weakest average performance in this field, with recent form of twenty-eight, thirty, thirty, sixty-one, forty-five, fifty-six - only that sixty-one a few runs back offering any encouragement. She's fast away but fades, and has no course and distance form at Sunderland to draw on. Trap 6 is normally the strongest draw at this trip, but her current form makes it very hard to trust her to use it.
Key insight: Same thin intertrack sample as earlier on the card - only 28 runs, so treat the trap split as a lean. The wider Sunderland 450m picture across thousands of runs favours trap 6 heavily and marks trap 2 as the weakest box, but tonight's trap 6 and trap 2 runners are both out of sorts on current form.
T1:50% T2:0% T3:14.3% T4:20% T5:0% T6:0%
28 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Nixon Drive | 17 | 100 | Closer |
2Duggies Stitch | 20 | 100 | Closer |
3Killeacle Denise | 80 | 0 | Fader |
4Macys Honey | 12 | 100 | Closer |
5Anglesey Flight | 90 | 0 | Fader |
6Fahrenheit Eve | 93 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 450m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nixon Drive | — | 0.628 | — |
| 2 | Duggies Stitch | — | 0.632 | — |
| 3 | Killeacle Denise | 0.619 | 0.621 | 0.627 |
| 4 | Macys Honey | — | 0.630 | — |
| 5 | Anglesey Flight | 0.614 | 0.627 | 0.625 |
| 6 | Fahrenheit Eve | — | 0.626 | 0.630 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.