Drawn in trap three, which has been by far the best-performing box in this grade at nearly 31%, but everything else about his profile argues against him — he's the slowest recorded dog in the field, dropping back in trip having last run over a shorter sprint, and the probability model rates him under a one-in-ten shot here. The draw alone isn't enough to overcome that combination.

Finished fourth last time out at this course, distance and grade and is a fast-early type who tends to weaken in the closing stages. His trainer has a fair record in these conditions and he's not far off the pace on the clock, but trap four has been the weakest draw in this small sample. A place chance rather than a winning one.

Placed third last time out and carries the second-highest raw performance figure in the field. He's a confirmed closer who does his best work late, which could suit if the pace up front goes hard early doors. His trainer's record in these conditions is modest and trap five hasn't been especially productive, but the strong recent form keeps him in the shake-up.

Finished fifth last time out and is another closer who does her best work from off the pace. She's towards the back of the field on the clock and hasn't shown the form of the leading contenders recently. Others have the stronger claims tonight.