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Towcester Tuesday 14th July 2026 Evening PGR Meeting
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Guinness Ladd 2y 15 | A Welch — 13% R309 W40 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 21 (2) | 35 (5) | 36 (3) | 34 (5) | 55 (1) | 35 (3) | 32 (5) | 40 (4) | 46 (2) | 36 (3) | 4 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Brackile Kelseyb 3y 51 | D Jeans — 15% R219 W33 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 19 (5) | 26 (4) | 35 (1) | 35 (1) | 33 (2) | 20 (4) | 27 (3) | 21 (6) | 19 (6) | - | 26 | 15 | - | - | 27 | 2 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Glenvale Jaked 3y 5 | N J Deas — 16% R393 W62 P200 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 15 (6) | 22 (2) | 17 (5) | 17 (4) | 25 (2) | 17 (6) | 22 (4) | 26 (2) | 22 (3) | 23 (2) | 25 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Amka Emberb 2y 23 | D Jeans — 15% R219 W33 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 16 (4) | 22 (3) | 14 (6) | 21 (4) | 15 (6) | 17 (6) | 30 (1) | 18 (5) | 27 (2) | 20 (4) | 14 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Savana Floridab 2y 6 | A Welch — 13% R309 W40 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 27 (2) | 18 (4) | 18 (4) | 15 (5) | 25 (2) | 16 (6) | 13 (6) | 15 (6) | 20 (4) | 23 (3) | 15 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Young Sheldond 4y 24 | D Jeans — 15% R219 W33 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 21 (4) | 20 (4) | 19 (4) | 21 (4) | 19 (5) | 19 (4) | 16 (6) | 16 (5) | 17 (5) | 20 (4) | 20 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 5 | 25/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guinness Lad | 16.86 | 16.86 | 16.81 | 52 | -0.05 | Model pick's danger | |
| 2 | Brackile Kelsey | No recent Towcester 270m form — last six starts all at Oxford over 253m, nine months ago. Times not directly comparable. | — | No 270m form here | ||||
| 3 | Glenvale Jake | 16.74 | 16.92 | 16.76 | 54 | +0.02 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Amka Ember | 16.61 | 17.01 | 17.36 | 45 | +0.75 | Slowest in the field | |
| 5 | Savana Florida | 16.69 | 17.00 | 17.02 | 50 | +0.33 | ||
| 6 | Young Sheldon | 16.88 | 17.04 | 17.03 | 46 | +0.15 | ||
Towcester's 270m sprint is a completely different puzzle to the track's better-known 500m staying trips — here the clock decides far more than the ratings do, and the fastest dog in the field wins more often than the model's own top pick. The best-performing box in this grade has been trap three, winning just over one in five, with trap four the weakest at around one in six. Glenvale Jake looks sharpest on the watch from that favoured trap and has been racing consistently at this course and distance recently. Guinness Lad, a fast-early type who tends to weaken late, gets a pass on that worry over such a short trip and could easily lead into the first bend from the rail. Brackile Kelsey arrives with the biggest raw performance figure on paper but hasn't raced at this track or trip in nine months, so that form needs treating with real caution.
The quickest dog in the field on recent times and drawn in trap three, which has been the best-performing box in this grade at this course and distance, winning just over one in five. He's raced here six times running, twice finishing runner-up, and his times have been consistently among the fastest recorded. His trainer's record in these conditions is modest rather than outstanding, and he hasn't yet turned those places into a win at this level, but on speed and draw combined he's the one to beat over this sharp trip.
Placed last time out from this same trap over course and distance and has been fast into stride throughout his recent runs, though he tends to weaken in the closing stages once the finish arrives. Over a sharp 270 metres that fading tendency matters far less — there simply isn't time for it to cost him. Second-fastest in the field on the clock and trainer A Welch has a reasonable record in these conditions. If he can lead from the rail he'll take some catching.
Carries the best raw form figure in the race on paper, with two wins from six starts last autumn, but every one of those runs came at Oxford over 253 metres and his most recent outing was nine months ago. There is no Towcester form and no true 270m course experience to fall back on, so the good numbers need a health warning attached. A confirmed stewards' trial seven days ago suggests he's freshening up for a comeback, but assessing him on this alone is guesswork.
Drawn in the weakest trap in this grade, winning under 16% of the time, and his recent form has been modest with nothing better than a 4th in his last six starts here. His fastest recorded time is sharp on paper but his last run was well off that pace, suggesting the true level is closer to his average than his best. Up against it on both the draw and the figures.
Consistent without threatening to win, finishing 4th last time out and rarely straying too far from the pack in her recent starts at this course and distance. Third-quickest in the field on the clock, which keeps her in touch with the front two, but trap five has been a modest draw in this grade. Others have the stronger case.
Finished 4th last time out and his last six starts have all produced minor-placed or unplaced efforts without ever threatening the front two. His times are among the slower ones recorded in this field, and while trap six isn't the structural disaster it can be at some tracks, he lacks the speed to trouble the leaders here. Others have stronger claims on the numbers.
Key insight: At Towcester over 270 metres, the fastest dog on the clock wins nearly one in three, well clear of the top-rated dog on the day's ratings, which wins only around one in five
Trap three strongest at 21%, trap four weakest at 16%
622 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (270m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 270m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guinness Lad | — | 0.624 | 0.618 |
| 2 | Brackile Kelsey | 0.627 | — | — |
| 3 | Glenvale Jake | — | 0.626 | — |
| 4 | Amka Ember | 0.634 | 0.630 | — |
| 5 | Savana Florida | — | 0.628 | — |
| 6 | Young Sheldon | — | 0.631 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.