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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Orcas Iconb 2y 16 | A Welch — 13% R309 W40 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 17 (6) | 20 (5) | 18 (5) | 22 (5) | 25 (3) | 27 (2) | 17 (6) | 25 (3) | 21 (5) | - | 8 | 20 | 25 | 13 | 22 | 11 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Athy Townb 2y 15 | J M Liles — 16% R394 W65 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 25 (3) | 34 (5) | 44 (2) | 42 (3) | 20 (5) | 39 (3) | 21 (5) | 41 (2) | 15 (5) | 30 (2) | 16 | 28 | 36 | 12 | 33 | 22 | 4 | 6/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballycleary Bellb 3y 6 | D D Porter — 17% R479 W80 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 29 (1) | 26 (2) | 19 (4) | 20 (5) | 23 (3) | 27 (2) | 17 (6) | 30 (2) | 17 (6) | 23 (3) | 33 | 23 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Salacresgovernord 1y 24 | P H Harnden — 15% R361 W54 P206 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 29 (2) | 47 (5) | 24 (2) | 28 (1) | 24 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | 22 | 28 | 23 | 39 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 7/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Spiffingd 4y 15 | D D Porter — 17% R479 W80 P257 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 27 (3) | 17 (6) | 22 (4) | 28 (2) | 20 (5) | 29 (3) | 32 (1) | 24 (2) | 30 (1) | 20 (5) | 18 | 32 | 39 | 28 | 24 | 21 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Decent Jeffd 4y 24 | N J Deas — 16% R393 W62 P200 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 23 (4) | 22 (5) | 21 (4) | 23 (4) | 22 (4) | 29 (1) | 23 (3) | 25 (2) | 27 (2) | 22 (3) | 29 | 32 | 11 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orcas Icon | 16.49 | 16.68 | 16.91 | 47 | +0.42 | ||
| 2 | Athy Town | 16.20 | 16.72 | 17.28 | 45 | +1.08 | Well off best last time | |
| 3 | Ballycleary Bell | 16.38 | 16.67 | 16.50 | 55 | +0.12 | Pick, fastest in field | |
| 4 | Salacresgovernor | 16.55 | 16.68 | 16.55 | 51 | 0.00 | Model's official top pick | |
| 5 | Spiffing | 16.25 | 16.65 | 17.01 | 50 | +0.76 | Stablemate of the pick | |
| 6 | Decent Jeff | 16.48 | 16.70 | 16.57 | 51 | +0.09 |
A third D-grade sprint over 270m tonight and the same pattern holds — the fastest dog wins nearly one in four here, clearly ahead of the top-rated dog's one in five. Trap four has been the best box in this grade at just over 23%, with trap six the weakest at 15%. Ballycleary Bell owns the fastest recorded time in the field and was runner-up at this exact course, distance and grade last time out. His stablemate Spiffing, trained by the same handler and drawn in the second-best trap, adds useful cover from the same yard. Decent Jeff always races wide from the sixth box and will need to overcome the least productive draw in the grade with pure pace. Salacresgovernor carries the model's own top rating but that's built on shakier ground than it looks, coming off a well-beaten run in much stronger company two months ago.
Owns the fastest recorded speed rating in this field and was runner-up at this exact course, distance and grade last time out, having also gone close with a second a couple of runs before that. His trainer has a solid record in these conditions, winning around one in five. Trap three has been a reasonably productive box in this grade too. On pace, recent form and trainer, he ticks the most boxes in the race.
Shares the same trainer as the pick, Ballycleary Bell, and drawn in the second-best trap in this grade at nearly 22%. His last run was well below his best, finishing down the field, but his personal best time is right up with the leading pack and the yard clearly has faith running two here tonight. The confirmed second string from a stable in form.
Finished fifth last time out at this course, distance and grade and his times sit in the lower half of this field. Nothing in his recent form suggests he's about to trouble the front two tonight.
Steps back down in trip having last run over 460 metres, where he finished fifth. He's a confirmed closer who does his best work late, which is a harder trick over a sharp 270 metres, and his last recorded time was well over a second slower than his best. The form doesn't stack up against the leading pair.
Carries the model's own top rating tonight, but that comes with caveats — his last run was two months ago in much stronger open-race company, where he was slowly away and well beaten. Before that he'd been competitive at this level, with a second and a win in his last three at D4/D5 grade. Drawn in the best trap in this grade, which helps, but his trainer's record in these conditions is on the weak side and the long gap since his last run is a concern.
Always races wide and is drawn in trap six tonight, which has been the least productive box in this grade at just 15%. He matches the speed of the model's top pick and has an early-pace win in his locker from a lower grade, but he needs to overcome the worst draw in the field to make that count.
Key insight: Speed rank one wins nearly 27% at this trip and grade, comfortably the strongest single factor — well clear of the top-rated dog's 23%
Trap four strongest at 23%, trap six weakest at 15%
2,380 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (270m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 460m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orcas Icon | 0.619 | — | — |
| 2 | Athy Town | 0.616 | 0.616 | 0.624 |
| 3 | Ballycleary Bell | 0.618 | — | — |
| 4 | Salacresgovernor | 0.614 | 0.604 | — |
| 5 | Spiffing | 0.616 | — | — |
| 6 | Decent Jeff | 0.619 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.