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The future of racing: PGR TV
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bowes Hill Bockod 2y 111 | R M Emery — 15% R117 W18 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 46 | 86 (1) | 78 (1) | 53 (4) | 66 (2) | 58 (3) | 65 (4) | 69 (4) | 74 (3) | 69 (2) | 73 (2) | 10 | 3 | - | 22 | 66 | 48 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Sporting Havenb 5y 23 | B G Backhurst — 16% R232 W37 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 48 | 58 (4) | 78 (1) | 62 (3) | 50 (5) | 78 (1) | 74 (1) | 55 (4) | 61 (3) | 46 (3) | 49 (3) | 29 | 27 | - | 39 | 63 | 47 | 4 | 28/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bucks Queenb 2y 7 | S Mavrias — 15% R222 W34 P109 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 48 | 67 (3) | 69 (3) | 49 (4) | 63 (3) | 59 (4) | 67 (3) | 53 (4) | 48 (5) | 86 (1) | 51 (6) | 13 | 17 | 14 | 6 | 62 | 49 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Insane Carrab 2y 12 | G Andreas — 14% R254 W36 P121 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 64 | 70 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 21 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 70 | 53 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballydoyle Swiftb 2y 3 | M L Locke — 25% R308 W78 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 52 | 55 (5) | 57 (2) | 56 (6) | 68 (5) | 38 (4) | 37 (6) | 61 (6) | 52 (3) | - | - | 11 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 54 | 41 | 5 | 15/8 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Roseville Chicb 2y 16 | R M Emery — 15% R117 W18 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 54 | 52 (5) | 52 (5) | 79 (1) | 61 (4) | 67 (2) | 71 (2) | 51 (4) | 63 (2) | 48 (5) | 46 (5) | 2 | 28 | - | 31 | 62 | 45 | 3 | 12/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Insane Carra | 29.67 | 29.67 | 29.67 | 57 | 0.00 | Best trap, single run only | |
| 3 | Bucks Queen | 29.40 | 29.80 | 29.75 | 57 | +0.35 | Worst trap tonight | |
| 1 | Bowes Hill Bocko | 29.54 | 29.85 | 29.88 | 52 | +0.34 | Won last time at lower grade | |
| 5 | Ballydoyle Swift | 29.63 | 30.00 | 29.84 | 48 | +0.21 | Fair form | |
| 2 | Sporting Haven | 29.72 | 29.93 | 29.91 | 47 | +0.19 | Strongest C&D record, 2nd-best trap | |
| 6 | Roseville Chic | 29.70 | 29.95 | 29.92 | 47 | +0.22 | Fifth last time out |
The best race on the card tonight, an A2 heat over 491 metres with real depth. Trap 4 has been the standout box at this grade (22%), and it goes to Insane Carra, who arrives with only a single run on record but it came in almost identical conditions to tonight and produced the highest rated performance in the field. Sporting Haven, in the second-best trap, has a genuinely strong course and distance record and steps up in grade fresh from a win last time out. Bowes Hill Bocko also arrives on the back of a big performance but from a modest draw and needs the pace up front to set it up for her late run. This looks a competitive, hard-to-call heat rather than a one-horse race.
Boasts the strongest course and distance record in the entire field -- three wins from seven runs here, a genuinely powerful 43% strike rate at this exact track and trip. She also arrives on the back of a big performance last time out, winning at the easier A3 grade with her highest rating in months, and now steps up to face tougher company. A closer who benefits from the longer 491 metre trip giving her time to get involved. Trap 2 has been the second-best box at this grade tonight at just over 20%. The combination of proven course form, a supporting draw, and a fresh win is hard to overlook even in a strong field.
Just one run on record, but it came in almost identical conditions to tonight -- this same track, trip and grade -- and produced the highest rated performance of anyone in the field, finishing runner-up. Carries the best first-bend rating and shares the fastest recorded time too. A fader with big early pace who quickens away sharply, which suits Central Park's tight opening bend, and she gets the best-performing box in the race at 22%. One run is a small sample to build a confident case on, but what there is looks the most eye-catching in the field.
Won last time out with the highest rated performance of her recent career, though that was at the easier A3 grade and this is a step up to face better company. A closer who does her best work late -- at this longer 491 metre trip that style has more time to come good than it would over a sprint. Trap 1 is only a modest box at this grade, just under 17%, so she'll need the pace to fall her way.
A fader with strong early pace who quickens sharply from the boxes but tends to lose ground late, third last time out at this same grade and trip. Trap 3 has been the weakest box at this grade tonight at just under 15%, which works against a pace-reliant runner who needs to be up with the leaders. The trainer's strike rate is also the lowest in the field.
A closer with a fair recent record, fifth last time out at this same grade and trip. The trainer's 22% strike rate is respectable. Trap 5 is only a fair box at this grade. Nothing here stands out as a strong reason to get involved ahead of the pace-setters in this field.
A fader with a decent course and distance record of one win and four places from eight runs here, but fifth last time out and the slowest recorded time in tonight's field. Trap 6 is a reasonable box at this grade. The underlying record has some merit but the current form is against her.
Key insight: Trap 4 leads at 22.5% from 178 runs, trap 3 is the weakest draw at 14.6%. Speed rank 1 wins 22.8%, ahead of the composite's top pick at 19.7%. Upper grades like this A2 heat are historically the model's more reliable tier -- form tends to be settled and honest at this level.
T1:16.7% T2:20.2% T3:14.6% T4:22.5% T5:17.1% T6:18.4%
1,273 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bowes Hill Bocko | 29 | 100 | Closer |
2Sporting Haven | 49 | 61 | Closer |
3Bucks Queen | 93 | 0 | Fader |
4Insane Carra | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Ballydoyle Swift | 51 | 100 | Closer |
6Roseville Chic | 0 | 39 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 388m | 400m | 450m | 480m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bowes Hill Bocko | 0.627 | — | — | — | 0.607 |
| 2 | Sporting Haven | — | — | 0.619 | — | 0.610 |
| 3 | Bucks Queen | — | — | — | — | 0.607 |
| 4 | Insane Carra | — | — | — | — | 0.604 |
| 5 | Ballydoyle Swift | — | 0.623 | — | — | 0.611 |
| 6 | Roseville Chic | — | — | — | 0.611 | 0.611 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.