Bet With The Tote A2 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Highview Summitd 3y 11 | - | - | 52 | - | 78 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 | 15 | - | 30 | 78 | 53 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Highbury Daysd 1y 16 | Patrick Devaney(Snr) — 38% R8 W3 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 33 | - | 89 (1) | 52 (5) | 35 (5) | 41 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 43 | 29 | 5 | 2/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ No Other Wayd 1y 14 | - | - | 50 | - | 69 (3) | 67 (3) | 78 (1) | 46 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | - | 20 | 66 | 48 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Kaladind 1y 6 | Barry Clancy — 21% R39 W8 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 79 (2) | 36 (5) | 50 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 18 | - | 28 | 57 | 49 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Aussie Alertb 2y 46 | - | - | 47 | - | 66 (2) | 73 (3) | 55 (6) | 56 (6) | 87 (1) | 59 (4) | 62 (5) | 59 (3) | 64 (3) | 68 (4) | 14 | 32 | - | 23 | 65 | 38 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Beholderb 1y 2 | - | - | - | - | 49 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 49 | 34 | 6 | 5/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Highview Summit | 29.01 | 29.01 | 29.01 | 52 | 0.00 | One run, class rise | |
| 2 | Highbury Days | 29.39 | 29.39 | 29.39 | 33 | 0.00 | Modest form | |
| 3 | No Other Way | 28.91 | 29.05 | 29.20 | 50 | +0.29 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Kaladin | 28.90 | 28.90 | 28.90 | 57 | 0.00 | Top speed rating | |
| 5 | Aussie Alert | 28.97 | 29.21 | 29.12 | 47 | +0.15 | Big course mileage | |
| 6 | Beholder | Only start came over 400m - first try at 525m tonight. | — | Distance rise, one run | ||||
Shelbourne doesn't have a formal track profile built up in our database, but the pattern at 525 metres tonight is consistent - trap 1 has been the best box all evening, and it repeats here at 23.88% from 134 runs, with trap 5 also doing well at 21.64%. Traps 2, 4 and 6 have all struggled, none topping 16%. This looks a properly competitive A2 heat. No Other Way is already racing at this exact grade and trip and ran creditably last time, which counts for more than the flashier figures elsewhere. Highview Summit has the shiniest recent form line - an easy win - but that came three grades softer, so there's a genuine question over whether it transfers up to A2 company. Kaladin carries the best raw speed in the field and has been in the mix at a similar level recently, so he can't be dismissed either. Aussie Alert has the most course-and-distance miles under his belt of anyone here and his best figure would win this, but he needs to find that level again.
The one runner here already proven at this exact grade, course and distance - third last time out in an A2 race over 525 metres here, rated 68, having also won and placed at this course and distance before that. Form across the last four runs of 68, 67, 78 and 46 shows a dog who performs consistently at this level rather than one relying on a single good result. Trap 3 is a moderate draw rather than a help, but the strike rate at this grade and trip is respectable enough not to be a concern. The steadiest, most battle-tested runner in the field.
Carries the fastest raw time in this field and was second in a similar-level race last time out, rated a career-best 79. Trainer Barry Clancy's 25% strike rate is a reasonable supporting sign. The concern is trap 4, one of the weaker boxes at this trip tonight, winning under 12% of the time, so he'll need his gate speed to overcome the draw. Three runs at this course and distance have brought two places but no win yet. The clear alternative if the pace suits him from the awkward box.
Won impressively and easily last time out, but that was three grades softer than tonight's company, and it's still only one competitive run on the board - not enough to call this proven A2 form yet. The draw does him a favour, landing in trap 1, comfortably the best box at this trip tonight. If the class rise doesn't faze him the pedigree is there, but jumping this many grades off one start is a big ask.
The most experienced runner in the race at this course and distance with seven runs producing a win and a place, and his best recent figure of 87 would win this comfortably. But form has been up and down - 66, 73, 55, 56, 87, 59 - so he's more of a wildcard than a banker. Trap 5 is the second-best box at this trip tonight, which helps his cause. Capable of running to a big figure on his day but needs to find it again.
Only seen once so far, over a much shorter 400 metres, so tonight's step up to 525 is into the unknown. A fourth-place finish there isn't much to build a case on, and trap 6 has been the weakest box at this trip tonight. Needs plenty of improvement, and the extra distance is a genuine query.
Modest recent form of 52, 35 and 41 puts this runner well behind most of these on ability shown so far. Trainer Patrick Devaney's 33% strike rate is a positive, but the figures on the track need to improve a good deal to make an impact here. Trap 2 hasn't been a strong box at this trip tonight either.
Key insight: Trap 1 and trap 5 are the two boxes to be in at this grade and trip, combining for over 45% of recent winners between them, while traps 4 and 6 rarely feature at all.
T1:23.88% T2:15.79% T3:16.18% T4:11.85% T5:21.64% T6:11.19%
806 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 400m | 525m | 550m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Highview Summit | — | 0.553 | — | — |
| 2 | Highbury Days | — | 0.562 | — | — |
| 3 | No Other Way | — | 0.555 | — | — |
| 4 | Kaladin | — | 0.554 | — | — |
| 5 | Aussie Alert | — | 0.555 | 0.552 | 0.556 |
| 6 | Beholder | 0.539 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.