Loading...
Welcome To Shelbourne Park A4/A5 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Harlequin Dahliab 1y 44 | Scott Phelan — 27% R15 W4 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 60 (2) | 61 (4) | 68 (3) | 63 (4) | 60 (4) | 57 (3) | 59 (3) | 48 (3) | 46 (3) | - | 23 | - | 2 | - | 60 | 35 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Tiz The Lawd 1y | - | - | - | - | 40 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 40 | 33 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Blackstone Flashd 1y 21 | Michael Taggart(NI) — 29% R34 W10 P21 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 55 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 55 | 26 | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Highview Triveb 1y 1 | Gerry Merriman — 24% R38 W9 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 40 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 40 | 33 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Comeon Me Boyd 1y 11 | Mark Robinson — 40% R15 W6 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 63 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | - | 30 | 63 | 46 | 1 | 6/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Distant Dynamod 1y 1 | - | - | - | - | 38 (6) | 47 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 | 15 | - | 14 | 42 | 39 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harlequin Dahlia | 29.28 | 29.58 | 29.73 | — | +0.45 | Best trap | |
| 2 | Tiz The Law | — | — | — | — | — | One run only | |
| 3 | Blackstone Flash | Last run was over 400m - no proven form at 525m. | — | Distance rise | ||||
| 4 | Highview Trive | — | — | — | — | — | One run only | |
| 5 | Comeon Me Boy | — | — | — | — | — | Won last, weak trap | |
| 6 | Distant Dynamo | — | — | — | — | — | Modest form | |
Shelbourne Park doesn't carry a full track profile in our database yet, but today's own numbers at the 525-metre trip are clear enough to lean on: trap 1 has been the pick of the draw across every grade we've checked this evening, winning at rates from the low twenties up to over a third of the time, while the wide boxes in 2 and 5 have badly under-performed. In this specific A4 heat, trap 1 tops a 296-run sample at 34%, with traps 2 and 5 both under 9% - about as clear a structural edge as you'll see all night. Harlequin Dahlia gets that plum draw and has been racing consistently at this level for six runs, so she should get every chance to leave the traps in touch. Comeon Me Boy has the eye-catching form line - a course win last time - but that came in a much softer novice grade and from a wide box that has been one of the weakest draws here. Expect her to need things to fall right from trap 5, while the others make up the numbers on limited or unproven form.
Drawn in the box that has dominated this grade and trip all evening - trap 1 has won 17 of its last 50 races here, more than one in three. Six runs at this level have produced a settled string of scores in the high 50s to high 60s, with a peak of 68 two runs back, so this looks like an honest, established performer rather than a fluke. Hasn't hit the frame in two runs at this course and distance so far, but the draw does most of the work for her tonight and she should get every chance to be involved from the break. Trainer Scott Phelan's 20% strike rate is nothing flashy, but the trap advantage is the story here.
Won impressively last time out and the trainer, Mark Robinson, has a strong 46% strike rate, which is hard to ignore. But that win came in a softer novice grade, not against A4 company, and it's still only one competitive run - not enough to call this an established performer yet. Trap 5 has been one of the weakest boxes at this trip tonight, winning well under one in ten, so she'll need to overcome the draw as well as the step up in class. The obvious threat to the selection if the step up doesn't faze her.
Modest form across two runs, finishing down the field last time at this course and distance. Trap 6 is a mid-table box here rather than a help or hindrance, so she'll need to find improvement on what she's shown so far to trouble the front two.
Only seen once, over a much shorter 400 metres rather than tonight's 525, so this is genuinely a leap into the unknown on trip. A reasonable third-place effort there but there's nothing to say the extra distance will suit. Trainer Michael Taggart carries a useful 33% strike rate, which is worth noting, but the step up in trip is the bigger question here.
A single run to date, finishing fifth in a novice grade race at this trip - not much to take from that outing. Trap 2 has been one of the weakest boxes at this course and trip tonight, adding to the questions. Needs to find plenty of improvement to figure.
Debut run brought a fourth-placed finish in a novice race at this trip, so there's a little to work with but not much. Trainer Gerry Merriman has a modest 21% strike rate. Trap 4 is a middling draw at this course and distance. Needs more experience before being taken seriously in this company.
Key insight: Trap 1 wins more than one in three at this grade and trip (17 from 50), while traps 2 and 5 combine for just 8 wins from 96 runs - a huge structural gap for a supposedly standard trip.
T1:34% T2:8.16% T3:19.61% T4:16% T5:8.51% T6:16.33%
296 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 400m | 525m | 550m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harlequin Dahlia | 0.561 | — | 0.563 | 0.563 |
| 2 | Tiz The Law | — | — | 0.561 | — |
| 3 | Blackstone Flash | — | 0.550 | — | — |
| 4 | Highview Trive | — | — | 0.570 | — |
| 5 | Comeon Me Boy | — | — | 0.556 | — |
| 6 | Distant Dynamo | — | — | 0.563 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.