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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Willows Hopeb 2y 18 | M K Bulmer — 20% R279 W56 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 44 | 58 (3) | 55 (4) | 58 (3) | 45 (6) | 57 (4) | 55 (5) | 41 (6) | 60 (3) | 74 (1) | 51 (3) | 14 | 22 | 15 | 12 | 54 | 39 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Lex Lutherd 1y | C Jackson — 15% R102 W15 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 17 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 38 | 6 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Hot Chipb 2y 6 | E Y Bell — 20% R542 W111 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 43 | 61 (3) | 57 (4) | 65 (2) | 48 (3) | 35 (6) | 50 (5) | 52 (4) | 48 (5) | 52 (5) | 55 (4) | 9 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 54 | 41 | 2 | 2/1F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Abbys Hopeb 1y 8 | M K Bulmer — 20% R279 W56 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 49 | 51 (4) | 41 (6) | 37 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 39 | 29 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Fruity Ninjad 2y 10 | D Blackbird — 16% R1120 W183 P620 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 54 | 52 (5) | 69 (1) | 42 (6) | 48 (4) | 44 (5) | 64 (1) | 41 (6) | 42 (4) | 51 (3) | 56 (2) | - | 26 | - | 24 | 52 | 40 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Fairest Dayb 3y 9 | C Mcnicholas — 14% R541 W78 P263 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 72 | 52 (3) | 44 (5) | 60 (2) | 72 (1) | 46 (5) | 46 (4) | 34 (6) | 31 (2) | 32 (1) | 25 (4) | 39 | 32 | 41 | 38 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Willows Hope | 27.86 | 28.19 | 28.22 | 56 | +0.36 | Weak C&D record | |
| 2 | Lex Luther | No recorded form of any kind - unraced or data not yet available. Impossible to assess. | — | No form to assess | ||||
| 3 | Hot Chip | 27.90 | 28.30 | 27.90 | 58 | 0.00 | Fastest in the field | |
| 4 | Abbys Hope | 28.30 | 28.51 | 28.30 | 42 | 0.00 | Just two career runs | |
| 5 | Fruity Ninja | 28.06 | 28.45 | 28.23 | 48 | +0.17 | Best C&D record | |
| 6 | Fairest Day | 28.12 | 28.35 | 28.16 | 50 | +0.04 | Fast early, fades | |
Sunderland's 450m trip has a long run to the first bend but a fiddly bend itself, and at A5 grade the trap draw is fairly flat - trap 2 leads at just over 20 percent with trap 4 the weakest at just over 16 percent, so this one is likely to be decided more by pace than by box. At this grade the fastest dog on the clock has actually out-performed the ratings model historically, which points towards Hot Chip, who owns the sharpest speed figure and shares the best average form in the field. Willows Hope isn't far behind on the clock and matches her on recent ratings. Fruity Ninja has the strongest course and distance placing record of anyone here and will be doing her best work if the pace slackens late. One newcomer, Lex Luther, has no recorded form to assess.
Third last time out and her form of sixty-one, fifty-seven, sixty-five, forty-eight, thirty-five, fifty matches the field's best average performance, while also being the fastest dog in this field on the clock. She finishes strongly from off the pace and is a very consistent runner, and her trainer's yard sits at a respectable 21 percent recently. Her course and distance record is modest at just one place from seven runs here, but at this grade raw speed has proven a more reliable guide than the ratings, and she leads the field on that measure.
Fourth last time out and her recent form of fifty-five, fifty-eight, forty-five, fifty-seven, fifty-five, forty-one matches the field's best average performance. She finishes strongly from off the pace and is rated a very consistent runner, and she's the second-quickest in this field on the clock. The concern is her course and distance record - ten runs here have brought only one win and one place, a modest return given the sample size. The raw ability is clearly there, but she hasn't shown it consistently at this specific trip.
No recorded racing form of any kind is available for this runner, so there's simply nothing to go on tonight. Whether that's a first start or a recent switch in ownership, the lack of any performance data, speed figures, or course history makes this one a total shot in the dark. Impossible to assess with any confidence either way.
Sixth last time out and only two career starts recorded, so the sample is tiny - forty-one and thirty-seven don't stand out against more experienced opposition. She races in a balanced style and is rated a very consistent early mover for what little data exists, but with so few runs to judge her on there's no reliable pattern yet. Very much on the upgrade curve rather than a formed performer.
Fifth last time out but her course and distance form stands out - ten runs at this exact trip have brought two wins and three places, the strongest record in this field. Her recent form of fifty-two, sixty-nine, forty-two, forty-eight, forty-four, sixty-four is volatile but that sixty-nine a few runs back shows genuine ability. She races in a balanced style rather than committing fully to one running style, which can be an asset if the pace is uneven. Not the fastest in the field, but she knows this trip better than anyone else here.
Fifth last time out and her form has been mixed - forty-four, sixty, seventy-two, forty-six, forty-six, thirty-four - with that seventy-two a few runs back the standout figure. She's fast away but tends to lose ground once the sustained pace bites, and six runs at this course and distance have brought one win and two places. Trap 6 is a reasonably solid draw at this grade. An each-way type rather than a confident selection.
Key insight: A5 is one of the better-behaved grades in the Sunderland dataset - the top-rated dog wins nearly 24 percent and the fastest dog on the clock wins just over 23 percent, both close to each other. Trap bias is flat here, so there's no standout structural edge from the draw alone.
T1:17.9% T2:20.5% T3:20.3% T4:16.2% T5:18.1% T6:19.3%
1,809 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Willows Hope | 48 | 69 | Closer |
2Lex Luther | — | — | No data |
3Hot Chip | 45 | 64 | Closer |
4Abbys Hope | 50 | 43 | All-Rounder |
5Fruity Ninja | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Fairest Day | 77 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 450m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Willows Hope | — | 0.626 | — |
| 2 | Lex Luther | — | 0.623 | — |
| 3 | Hot Chip | — | 0.630 | 0.567 |
| 4 | Abbys Hope | — | 0.633 | — |
| 5 | Fruity Ninja | — | 0.632 | — |
| 6 | Fairest Day | 0.623 | 0.630 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.